Dunfermline Athletic vs Raith Rovers: match statistics
Dunfermline Athletic exhibit vastly superior form, securing 10 points from their last 5 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), whereas Raith Rovers managed a mere 3 points (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses). The hosts hold a clear advantage in home fixtures with a 36% win rate and a positive goal difference (+2), scoring an average of 1.29 goals per match. Raith Rovers show very poor offensive efficiency on the road, scoring an average of only 0.43 goals per match and failing to score in 64% of their away fixtures. The visitors' recent form (0 wins in 5 games) and their meager 14% away win rate heavily favor the hosts. The xG statistics also work in Dunfermline's favor (1.42 vs 1.19), suggesting their higher quality in creating goal-scoring opportunities.
Dunfermline Athletic vs Raith Rovers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dunfermline Athletic played Raith Rovers in Championship (Scotland). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Dunfermline Athletic: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Raith Rovers: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dunfermline Athletic scores 1.37 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. Raith Rovers scores 1.04 and concedes 1.04. League average: 2.42 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dunfermline Athletic 37%, Raith Rovers 30%. Over 2.5: Dunfermline Athletic 44%, Raith Rovers 33%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Dunfermline Athletic has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.26. Dunfermline Athletic: 10.3 shots per match, Raith Rovers: 10.0.
Match halves
Dunfermline Athletic: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.67. Raith Rovers: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Dunfermline Athletic: 31-45+ (10 goals). Raith Rovers: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Dunfermline Athletic exhibit vastly superior form, securing 10 points from their last 5 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), whereas Raith Rovers managed a mere 3 points (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses). The hosts hold a clear advantage in home fixtures with a 36% win rate and a positive goal difference (+2), scoring an average of 1.29 goals per match. Raith Rovers show very poor offensive efficiency on the road, scoring an average of only 0.43 goals per match and failing to score in 64% of their away fixtures. The visitors' recent form (0 wins in 5 games) and their meager 14% away win rate heavily favor the hosts. The xG statistics also work in Dunfermline's favor (1.42 vs 1.19), suggesting their higher quality in creating goal-scoring opportunities.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dunfermline Athletic | Raith Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Dunfermline Athletic is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Dunfermline Athletic · 1 pts / match - Raith Rovers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dunfermline Athletic is 32% better for: goals scored per match.
1.37 goals / match - Dunfermline Athletic · 1.04 goals / match - Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.19 goals / match - Dunfermline Athletic · 1.04 goals / match - Raith Rovers
Dunfermline Athletic scores in 70% of matches (19 of 27 matches), while Raith Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 48% (13 of 27 matches).
Raith Rovers scores in 52% of matches (14 of 27 matches), while Dunfermline Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 41% (11 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dunfermline Athletic
Over / Under - Raith Rovers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dunfermline Athletic is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.37 pts / match - Dunfermline Athletic · 1.04 pts / match - Raith Rovers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dunfermline Athletic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Raith Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dunfermline Athletic
Raith Rovers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Dunfermline Athletic | Liga | Raith Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.56 | 2.42 | ▼ 2.07 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 49% | ▼ 30% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 44% | 44% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 32% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 68% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 70% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Dunfermline Athletic 2 - 0 - 1 Raith Rovers. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dunfermline Athletic vs Raith Rovers?
The Championship match finished Dunfermline Athletic 3:0 Raith Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Dunfermline Athletic and Raith Rovers?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Dunfermline Athletic won 2, Raith Rovers won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Dunfermline Athletic vs Raith Rovers?
Dunfermline Athletic score 1.37 goals per game on average and Raith Rovers 1.04. The Championship average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Dunfermline Athletic's matches and 30% of Raith Rovers's.
What form are Dunfermline Athletic and Raith Rovers in?
Over the last 5 games Dunfermline Athletic have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Raith Rovers 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dunfermline Athletic vs Raith Rovers?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.