Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline Athletic: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Raith Rovers played Dunfermline Athletic in Championship (Scotland). The match was played on 27 December 2025. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

Raith Rovers: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Dunfermline Athletic: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Raith Rovers scores 1.05 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Dunfermline Athletic scores 1.37 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.51 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Raith Rovers 21%, Dunfermline Athletic 37%. Over 2.5: Raith Rovers 26%, Dunfermline Athletic 42%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

Dunfermline Athletic has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.29. Raith Rovers: 10.4 shots per match, Dunfermline Athletic: 10.2.

Match halves

Raith Rovers: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.58. Dunfermline Athletic: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.68.

Goals by minute

Raith Rovers: 76-90+ (5 goals). Dunfermline Athletic: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 2
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

53Possession (%)47
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
10Shots8
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
4Shots on target2
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
1.5xG1.14
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
6Corners5
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
82Dangerous attacks68
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
9Fouls9
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
2Cards3
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
1.05Goals scored / match1.37
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
0.95Goals conceded / match1.11
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
48%Average possession50%
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
3.58Shots on target / match4.37
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.42Shots per match10.16
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
3.58Shots on target4.37
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
10.1%Shot conversion13.5%
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
48%Possession50%
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
1.29xG for1.36
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
1.22xG against1.39
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic

Shooting quality

Raith Rovers: BalancedDunfermline Athletic: Efficient finishing
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
Accuracy (shots on target)34%43%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Raith Rovers is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Raith Rovers · 0.8 pts / match - Dunfermline Athletic

Raith Rovers
LDDWD
Season result split
32% W32% R37% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-6-7
1.26 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-3
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LWDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.18Opponent xG: 1.56BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 40%
Dunfermline Athletic
WLLDL
Season result split
32% W26% R42% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-5-8
1.21 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-4
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WLWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.40Opponent xG: 1.47BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Dunfermline Athletic is 30% better for: goals scored per match.

1.05 goals / match - Raith Rovers · 1.37 goals / match - Dunfermline Athletic

Raith Rovers is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.95 goals / match - Raith Rovers · 1.11 goals / match - Dunfermline Athletic

Raith Rovers scoring profile: mixed

Raith Rovers scores in 53% of matches (10 of 19 matches), while Dunfermline Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 matches).

Dunfermline Athletic scoring profile: mixed

Dunfermline Athletic scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Raith Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 53% (10 of 19 matches).

20Goals scored (season)26
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
18Goals conceded (season)21
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
2Average goals in match2.47
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
6Goals scored (last 5)5
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
3Goals conceded (last 5)7
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic

How often they score at least...

53%1 goal68%
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
26%2 goals42%
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
11%3 goals11%
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
5%4 goals11%
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic

How often they concede at least...

47%1 goal58%
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
37%2 goals42%
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
11%3 goals11%
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
0%4 goals0%
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

37%
Dunfermline Athletic - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.7 of 19 matches
49%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time16%
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
0%BTTS in both halves16%
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
11%Scored in both halves32%
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic

BTTS and goal count

11%Min. 3 goals and BTTS32%
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
16%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
0%BTTS - last 560%
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

58%Min. 1 goal before half-time84%
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
21%Min. 2 goals before half-time42%
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic

2nd half

68%Min. 1 goal after half-time58%
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
26%Min. 2 goals after half-time42%
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Dunfermline Athletic is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.16 pts / match - Raith Rovers · 1.37 pts / match - Dunfermline Athletic

Raith Rovers - half-time state
21% leading53% draw26% trailing
Dunfermline Athletic - half-time state
37% leading26% draw37% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.16Points per match (1st half)1.37
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
0.47Goals scored (1st half)0.68
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
0.47Goals conceded (1st half)0.68
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
0.95Average goals (1st half)1.37
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
63%Clean sheet before half-time53%
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
68%No goal before half-time47%
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic

After half-time (2nd half)

1.26Points per match (2nd half)1.37
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
0.58Goals scored (2nd half)0.68
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
0.47Goals conceded (2nd half)0.42
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
1.05Average goals (2nd half)1.11
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
63%Clean sheet after half-time68%
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic
68%No goal after half-time53%
Raith RoversDunfermline Athletic

Raith Rovers - second-half results

32% W32% R37% P
22
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.16
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Dunfermline Athletic - second-half results

26% W58% R16% P
26
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.37
PPG before half-time
Lead holding86%

Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 32%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Raith Rovers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.20
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match0.81.0
1 goal40%40%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference+2+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Dunfermline Athletic - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.60
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match1.00.4
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-4+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Raith Rovers
ScoredConceded
4
5
0-15
2
2
16-30
3
2
31-45
4
1
46-60
2
3
61-75
5
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Dunfermline Athletic
ScoredConceded
1
7
0-15
4
3
16-30
8
3
31-45
5
1
46-60
3
3
61-75
5
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.24
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
89%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
29%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-11%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
36%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
15%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Raith Rovers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
79%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
81%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Dunfermline Athletic

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
116%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.41
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Raith RoversLigaDunfermline Athletic
Average goals in match 2.002.51 2.47
Both teams scored 21%49% 37%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 26%47% 42%
Clean sheets 53%32% 42%
Goal before half-time 58%70% 84%
Goal after half-time 68%73% 58%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.51
Average goals per match
49%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.33
Home goals / match
1.18
Away goals / match
+13%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Raith RoversYellow cardScott Brown
  2. Raith RoversSubstitutionOn: Richard ChinOff: Ross Matthews
  3. Dunfermline AthleticGoalAndrew TodAssist: Jeremiah Chilokoa-Mullen
  4. Dunfermline AthleticGoalBarney Stewart
  5. Raith RoversGoalDylan Easton
  6. Dunfermline AthleticYellow cardDeniz Mehmet
  7. Dunfermline AthleticYellow cardZak Rudden
  8. Dunfermline AthleticSubstitutionOn: Kane Ritchie-HoslerOff: Zak Rudden
  9. Dunfermline AthleticSubstitutionOn: Tashan Oakley-BootheOff: Andrew Tod

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Dan McFarlaneMatches officiated: 11
5.45Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 236%Home wins27%Draws36%Away wins

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Raith Rovers 1 - 0 - 1 Dunfermline Athletic. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Dunfermline Athletic FC
2 : 0
Raith Rovers FC
Raith Rovers FC
2 : 0
Dunfermline Athletic FC

FAQ

What was the result of Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline Athletic?

The Championship match finished Raith Rovers 1:2 Dunfermline Athletic. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Raith Rovers and Dunfermline Athletic?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Raith Rovers won 1, Dunfermline Athletic won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Raith Rovers score 1.05 goals per game on average and Dunfermline Athletic 1.37. The Championship average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 21% of Raith Rovers's matches and 37% of Dunfermline Athletic's.

What form are Raith Rovers and Dunfermline Athletic in?

Over the last 5 games Raith Rovers have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Dunfermline Athletic 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline Athletic: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.