Dynamo Kyiv vs Karpaty: match statistics
Dynamo Kyiv vs Karpaty: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dynamo Kyiv played Karpaty in Ukrainian Premier League (Ukraine). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky (Kyjiv (Kiev)). Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Dynamo Kyiv: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Karpaty: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dynamo Kyiv scores 1.50 and concedes 0.83 goals per match. Karpaty scores 2.14 and concedes 0.71. League average: 2.34 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dynamo Kyiv 33%, Karpaty 57%. Over 2.5: Dynamo Kyiv 67%, Karpaty 57%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Dynamo Kyiv has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.09. Dynamo Kyiv: 11.8 shots per match, Karpaty: 8.0.
Match halves
Dynamo Kyiv: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.00. Karpaty: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.14.
Goals by minute
Dynamo Kyiv: 76-90+ (4 goals). Karpaty: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ukrainian Premier League: 2.34 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Dynamo Kyiv have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while Karpaty have recorded 2 wins over the same period. At home, the hosts create more chances than their opponents do away from home: they average 13.33 shots per match compared with 9.33, and their xG stands at 1.54 versus 1.23 for the visitors. Their defensive record also provides grounds for cautiously backing a home win: they concede an average of 0.33 goals at home and keep a clean sheet in 67% of matches, while Karpaty concede 0.67 goals away and keep a clean sheet in 33% of games. The visitors are highly clinical, however, averaging 2.33 goals away from home with a 25% shot conversion rate, so despite the hosts' advantage, the outcome remains open.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument against both teams scoring is that Dynamo have recorded BTTS - No in each of their last 5 matches, conceding an average of just 0.6 goals over that period. They have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their home matches, while Karpaty concede an average of only 0.67 goals away from home. The case for BTTS - Yes is supported by their attacking form: both teams have scored in every match they have played so far at home and away, respectively, and Karpaty had BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches. Nevertheless, with the league BTTS rate at 38% and both teams defending well, it is slightly more likely that at least one team will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
All previous matches between the two teams have finished with at least two goals, and neither side has played a match without scoring. This is the strongest argument for Over 1.5 goals, although the small number of matches played means this run should not be treated as a guarantee. In their last five matches, Dynamo averaged 1.2 goals and Karpaty 1.6, but in both cases only 40% of matches went Over 2.5 goals. The 2.45-goal forecast therefore points more clearly to at least two goals than to three or more, especially given the league average of 2.28 goals per match.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Dynamo were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, compared with Karpaty in 2 of 5; in home matches for Dynamo and away matches for Karpaty, these rates were 50% and 67%, respectively. Across their last 5 matches, Dynamo averaged just 0.2 goals scored and 0.2 conceded before half-time, further pointing to a closely contested opening period. After the break, the advantage shifts towards the home side: they won the second half in 60% of their last 5 matches, while Karpaty did so in only 20%. Over the same period, Dynamo averaged 1.0 goals after half-time, compared with Karpaty’s 0.6, and averaged 2.0 points per match overall, against the visitors’ 1.6. Karpaty remain dangerous, averaging 2.33 goals away from home; however, the combination of frequent half-time draws and Dynamo’s stronger recent second-half performances points to an X/1 scenario in the HT/FT market.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dynamo Kyiv | Karpaty | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.58 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Dynamo Kyiv is 25% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Dynamo Kyiv · 1.6 pts / match - Karpaty
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Karpaty is 43% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Dynamo Kyiv · 2.14 goals / match - Karpaty
Karpaty is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.83 goals / match - Dynamo Kyiv · 0.71 goals / match - Karpaty
Dynamo Kyiv scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Karpaty keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
Karpaty scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Dynamo Kyiv keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dynamo Kyiv
Over / Under - Karpaty
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Karpaty is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Dynamo Kyiv · 1.86 pts / match - Karpaty
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dynamo Kyiv - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Karpaty - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dynamo Kyiv
Karpaty
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ukrainian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Dynamo Kyiv | Liga | Karpaty | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.33 | 2.34 | ▲ 2.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 39% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 46% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 38% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 64% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 71% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Dynamo Kyiv 0 - 1 - 1 Karpaty. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dynamo Kyiv vs Karpaty?
The Ukrainian Premier League match finished Dynamo Kyiv 1:0 Karpaty. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Dynamo Kyiv and Karpaty?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Dynamo Kyiv won 0, Karpaty won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Dynamo Kyiv vs Karpaty?
Dynamo Kyiv score 1.50 goals per game on average and Karpaty 2.14. The Ukrainian Premier League average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Dynamo Kyiv's matches and 57% of Karpaty's.
What form are Dynamo Kyiv and Karpaty in?
Over the last 5 games Dynamo Kyiv have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Karpaty 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dynamo Kyiv vs Karpaty?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.