Scotland - League OneK Park Training AcademyData current as of 15 October 2026

East Kilbride vs Airdrieonians: match statistics

East Kilbride crest
East Kilbride
2 : 2half-time 2:1
Airdrieonians crest
Airdrieonians

East Kilbride vs Airdrieonians: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

East Kilbride played Airdrieonians in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: K Park Training Academy. Final score: 2:2.

Current form

East Kilbride: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Airdrieonians: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

East Kilbride scores 1.89 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Airdrieonians scores 0.78 and concedes 1.22. League average: 2.77 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: East Kilbride 44%, Airdrieonians 44%. Over 2.5: East Kilbride 78%, Airdrieonians 44%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 59%.

xG, shots and style

East Kilbride has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.09. East Kilbride: 9.4 shots per match, Airdrieonians: 8.2.

Match halves

East Kilbride: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.22. Airdrieonians: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.44.

Goals by minute

East Kilbride: 61-75 (6 goals). Airdrieonians: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.77 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 59%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

East Kilbride have a clear home advantage: they have won 75% of their home matches, scoring an average of 2.75 goals and conceding 0.75, while Airdrieonians have won 25% of their away games. At home, the hosts average 6.25 shots on target per match compared with 3 for the visitors away from home, and their xG stands at 1.67 against their opponents’ 1.00, indicating a higher quality of chances created. In addition, Airdrieonians score just 0.75 goals per away match and have failed to score in half of those games, so they may struggle to break down the hosts’ defence. The main concern for East Kilbride is the visitors’ outstanding recent run of five consecutive wins, while the hosts have won three of their last five matches and conceded 9 goals in that span. Even so, East Kilbride’s superior home scoring record and chance creation point to a home win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

In their last 5 matches, both teams scored in 80% of East Kilbride’s games and 60% of Airdrieonians’ games, which supports a BTTS - Yes pick. Over this period, the hosts averaged 2.8 goals and the visitors 3.4, while East Kilbride conceded an average of 1.8 goals—raising the likelihood that Airdrieonians will also find the net. However, the signal is not conclusive: away from home, the visitors scored an average of just 0.75 goals and failed to score in 50% of matches, while the hosts kept a clean sheet in 60% of their home games. The stronger recent scoring form outweighs these season-long caveats, pointing slightly towards both teams scoring.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

In their last 5 matches, East Kilbride averaged 2.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, while Airdrieonians averaged 3.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, pointing to clear potential for Over 1.5 goals. This line has been cleared in all 5 of East Kilbride’s most recent matches, each of which produced at least 3 goals. However, caution is warranted: across their matches so far this season, the hosts have averaged 0.8 goals scored and the visitors 0.75, so their recent attacking form may not be fully sustainable. Nevertheless, the teams’ latest xG averages of 1.51 and 1.73 respectively point to several good scoring opportunities. Therefore, with a 3.0-goal forecast, Over 1.5 goals is the strongest pick, while higher lines require greater finishing efficiency.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest signal points to Airdrieonians leading at the break and holding on to their advantage: the visitors have won their last five matches, leading at half-time in four of them. Over that period, they scored an average of 3.4 goals per match and conceded 0.6, while East Kilbride scored 2.8 but conceded 1.8. The 2/2 pick is also supported by Airdrieonians having led at half-time in 50% of their away matches so far, compared with 20% of the hosts’ matches. Confidence is tempered by the visitors’ weaker away record: they concede an average of 1.75 goals per match on the road, including 1.5 after half-time, so a turnaround by East Kilbride remains a significant alternative.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

2 : 1
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

59Possession (%)41
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
9Shots9
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
6Shots on target4
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
1.46xG1.1
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
6Corners4
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
65Dangerous attacks35
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
12Fouls12
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
4Cards3
East KilbrideAirdrieonians

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

East KilbrideAirdrieonians
1.89Goals scored / match0.78
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
1.33Goals conceded / match1.22
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
53%Average possession49%
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
4.67Shots on target / match3.56
East KilbrideAirdrieonians

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.44Shots per match8.22
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
4.67Shots on target3.56
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
20%Shot conversion9.5%
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
53%Possession49%
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
1.35xG for1.09
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
0.94xG against1.15
East KilbrideAirdrieonians

Shooting quality

East Kilbride: Efficient finishingAirdrieonians: Balanced
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
Accuracy (shots on target)49%43%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.22

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Airdrieonians is 11% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - East Kilbride · 2 pts / match - Airdrieonians

East Kilbride
LLWWW
Season result split
56% W11% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-1-3
1.78 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-1
Last 5 at home
3-0-1
WWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.00BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Airdrieonians
DLWWW
Season result split
33% W33% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-3
1.33 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Last 5 away
1-1-2
DLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 0.93BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

East Kilbride is 142% better for: goals scored per match.

1.89 goals / match - East Kilbride · 0.78 goals / match - Airdrieonians

Airdrieonians is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.33 goals / match - East Kilbride · 1.22 goals / match - Airdrieonians

East Kilbride scoring profile: mixed

East Kilbride scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Airdrieonians keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 matches).

Airdrieonians scoring profile: very strong

Airdrieonians scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while East Kilbride keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).

17Goals scored (season)7
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
12Goals conceded (season)11
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
3.22Average goals in match2
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
8Goals scored (last 5)5
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
7Goals conceded (last 5)3
East KilbrideAirdrieonians

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal67%
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
56%2 goals11%
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
44%3 goals0%
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
11%4 goals0%
East KilbrideAirdrieonians

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal56%
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
22%2 goals33%
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
22%3 goals22%
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
11%4 goals11%
East KilbrideAirdrieonians

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

45%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time0%
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
0%BTTS in both halves0%
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
44%Scored in both halves11%
East KilbrideAirdrieonians

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
44%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
40%BTTS - last 540%
East KilbrideAirdrieonians

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time56%
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
22%Min. 2 goals before half-time11%
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
East KilbrideAirdrieonians

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
78%Min. 2 goals after half-time56%
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
East KilbrideAirdrieonians

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

East Kilbride is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.56 pts / match - East Kilbride · 1.44 pts / match - Airdrieonians

East Kilbride - half-time state
44% leading22% draw33% trailing
Airdrieonians - half-time state
33% leading44% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.56Points per match (1st half)1.44
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.33
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
0.56Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
1.22Average goals (1st half)0.67
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
56%Clean sheet before half-time78%
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
56%No goal before half-time67%
East KilbrideAirdrieonians

After half-time (2nd half)

1.67Points per match (2nd half)1
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
1.22Goals scored (2nd half)0.44
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
0.78Goals conceded (2nd half)0.89
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
2Average goals (2nd half)1.33
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
44%Clean sheet after half-time44%
East KilbrideAirdrieonians
33%No goal after half-time56%
East KilbrideAirdrieonians

East Kilbride - second-half results

44% W33% D22% L
14
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.56
PPG before half-time
Lead holding127%

Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Airdrieonians - second-half results

11% W67% D22% L
13
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

East Kilbride - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.60
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match1.02.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals0%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Airdrieonians - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.20
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.00.6
Average goals in match0.61.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+3-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

East Kilbride
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
1
1
16-30
3
4
31-45
2
4
46-60
6
2
61-75
3
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Airdrieonians
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
0
3
61-75
2
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.61
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-23%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

East Kilbride

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.54
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
127%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Airdrieonians

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.38
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
74%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
71%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.67
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

East KilbrideLigaAirdrieonians
Average goals in match▲ 3.222.77▼ 2.00
Both teams scored• 44%45%• 44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 78%59%▼ 44%
Clean sheets▼ 22%32%▲ 44%
Goal before half-time▲ 78%66%▼ 56%
Goal after half-time▲ 89%80%▼ 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.77
Average goals per match
45%
Both teams scored
59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.73
Home goals / match
1.05
Away goals / match
+65%
Home attack advantage
+39%
Home defence advantage
+25%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
23%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
27%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. East KilbrideGoalCameron Elliott
  2. East KilbrideGoalCraig McGuffie
  3. East KilbrideYellow cardRhys Armstrong
  4. AirdrieoniansGoalJoshua GentlesAssist: Sam Fisher
  5. East KilbrideSubstitutionOn: Euan EastOff: Mitchell Robertson
  6. East KilbrideSubstitutionOn: Owen CalderOff: Lewis McGrattan
  7. East KilbrideSubstitutionOn: Alexander SmithOff: Owen Calder
  8. AirdrieoniansGoalGavin GallagherAssist: Connor Smith
  9. East KilbrideYellow cardAaron Steele
  10. East KilbrideSubstitutionOn: Callum McKenzieOff: Rhys Armstrong
  11. AirdrieoniansYellow cardSam Fisher
  12. East KilbrideYellow cardJoão Baldé
  13. AirdrieoniansYellow cardAdedapo Mebude
  14. AirdrieoniansSubstitutionOn: Divine IserhienrhienOff: Callum Burnside
  15. East KilbrideYellow cardDarragh O'Connor
  16. AirdrieoniansYellow cardDeclan Gallagher

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: East Kilbride 0 - 1 - 0 Airdrieonians. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of East Kilbride vs Airdrieonians?

The League One match finished East Kilbride 2:2 Airdrieonians. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before East Kilbride vs Airdrieonians?

East Kilbride score 1.89 goals per game on average and Airdrieonians 0.78. The League One average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 44% of East Kilbride's matches and 44% of Airdrieonians's.

What form are East Kilbride and Airdrieonians in?

Over the last 5 games East Kilbride have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Airdrieonians 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for East Kilbride vs Airdrieonians?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for East Kilbride vs Airdrieonians: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.