East Kilbride vs Dumbarton: match statistics
East Kilbride is showing significantly better form, winning four of their last five matches and averaging 2.4 points per game, while Dumbarton has not won any of their last five matches (0.4 PPG). The hosts occupy the top position in the table and boast much better offensive statistics, scoring an average of 1.75 goals per home game with a higher xG rate (1.39 vs 0.99). Dumbarton has failed to keep a clean sheet in any away match this season and concedes an average of 2 goals per away game, which, combined with a 50% loss rate in away matches, represents a significant weakness. Additionally, the difference in possession (53% vs 48%) and shot accuracy (5.08 vs 3.25 shots on target) favors East Kilbride. Taking into account all statistical parameters, especially current form and goal difference, the hosts are clear favorites for this match.
East Kilbride vs Dumbarton: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
East Kilbride played Dumbarton in League Two (Scotland). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
East Kilbride: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Dumbarton: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
East Kilbride scores 2.04 and concedes 1.48 goals per match. Dumbarton scores 1.39 and concedes 1.83. League average: 3.01 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: East Kilbride 64%, Dumbarton 78%. Over 2.5: East Kilbride 68%, Dumbarton 61%. League level: BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
East Kilbride has higher xG: 1.39 vs 0.98. East Kilbride: 9.7 shots per match, Dumbarton: 6.4.
Match halves
East Kilbride: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 0.68. Dumbarton: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
East Kilbride: 31-45+ (16 goals). Dumbarton: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 3.01 goals per match, BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
East Kilbride is showing significantly better form, winning four of their last five matches and averaging 2.4 points per game, while Dumbarton has not won any of their last five matches (0.4 PPG). The hosts occupy the top position in the table and boast much better offensive statistics, scoring an average of 1.75 goals per home game with a higher xG rate (1.39 vs 0.99). Dumbarton has failed to keep a clean sheet in any away match this season and concedes an average of 2 goals per away game, which, combined with a 50% loss rate in away matches, represents a significant weakness. Additionally, the difference in possession (53% vs 48%) and shot accuracy (5.08 vs 3.25 shots on target) favors East Kilbride. Taking into account all statistical parameters, especially current form and goal difference, the hosts are clear favorites for this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| East Kilbride | Dumbarton | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 53% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.47 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
East Kilbride is 500% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - East Kilbride · 0.4 pts / match - Dumbarton
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
East Kilbride is 47% better for: goals scored per match.
2.04 goals / match - East Kilbride · 1.39 goals / match - Dumbarton
East Kilbride is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.48 goals / match - East Kilbride · 1.83 goals / match - Dumbarton
East Kilbride scores in 88% of matches (22 of 25 matches), while Dumbarton keeps a clean sheet in 4% (1 of 23 matches).
Dumbarton scores in 83% of matches (19 of 23 matches), while East Kilbride keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - East Kilbride
Over / Under - Dumbarton
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
East Kilbride is 85% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.92 pts / match - East Kilbride · 1.04 pts / match - Dumbarton
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
East Kilbride - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 52%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Dumbarton - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
East Kilbride
Dumbarton
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| East Kilbride | Liga | Dumbarton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.52 | 3.01 | ▲ 3.22 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 64% | 67% | ▲ 78% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 56% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 24% | 19% | ▼ 4% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 92% | 76% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 79% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): East Kilbride 0 - 1 - 1 Dumbarton. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of East Kilbride vs Dumbarton?
The League Two match finished East Kilbride 3:1 Dumbarton. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between East Kilbride and Dumbarton?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches East Kilbride won 0, Dumbarton won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before East Kilbride vs Dumbarton?
East Kilbride score 2.04 goals per game on average and Dumbarton 1.39. The League Two average is 3.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 64% of East Kilbride's matches and 78% of Dumbarton's.
What form are East Kilbride and Dumbarton in?
Over the last 5 games East Kilbride have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Dumbarton 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for East Kilbride vs Dumbarton?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for East Kilbride vs Dumbarton: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.