Scotland - League TwoData current as of 13 September 2026

East Kilbride vs Stirling Albion: match statistics

165%(1.35)
X20%(4.80)
215%(6.25)

East Kilbride are in significantly better form, averaging 2.6 points per match in their last five games (4 wins, 1 draw), while Stirling Albion have only 1 point per match with two defeats in that period. The hosts sit top of the table and have an impressive goal record of 61:40, winning 50% of their home matches with an average of 1.93 goals per game. Stirling Albion have a poor defensive record away from home, conceding an average of 1.71 goals per game and keeping clean sheets in just 7% of matches, which combined with a mere 43% away win rate puts them in a difficult position. The difference in xG quality (1.44 for the hosts vs 1.14 for the visitors away) along with the advantage in possession (53% vs 47%) further supports East Kilbride. Taking all statistics into account, the hosts are clear favorites for this encounter.

East Kilbride vs Stirling Albion: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

East Kilbride played Stirling Albion in League Two (Scotland). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 2:2.

Current form

East Kilbride: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Stirling Albion: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

East Kilbride scores 2.10 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Stirling Albion scores 1.24 and concedes 1.72. League average: 2.96 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: East Kilbride 66%, Stirling Albion 59%. Over 2.5: East Kilbride 69%, Stirling Albion 55%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 57%.

xG, shots and style

East Kilbride has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.12. East Kilbride: 10.1 shots per match, Stirling Albion: 8.3.

Match halves

East Kilbride: half-time lead 59%, second-half goals 0.72. Stirling Albion: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.79.

Goals by minute

East Kilbride: 31-45+ (18 goals). Stirling Albion: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 2.96 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 57%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-0. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 67%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

East Kilbride are in significantly better form, averaging 2.6 points per match in their last five games (4 wins, 1 draw), while Stirling Albion have only 1 point per match with two defeats in that period. The hosts sit top of the table and have an impressive goal record of 61:40, winning 50% of their home matches with an average of 1.93 goals per game. Stirling Albion have a poor defensive record away from home, conceding an average of 1.71 goals per game and keeping clean sheets in just 7% of matches, which combined with a mere 43% away win rate puts them in a difficult position. The difference in xG quality (1.44 for the hosts vs 1.14 for the visitors away) along with the advantage in possession (53% vs 47%) further supports East Kilbride. Taking all statistics into account, the hosts are clear favorites for this encounter.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
1 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

61Possession (%)39
East KilbrideStirling Albion
15Shots5
East KilbrideStirling Albion
6Shots on target2
East KilbrideStirling Albion
1.91xG0.74
East KilbrideStirling Albion
8Corners1
East KilbrideStirling Albion
76Dangerous attacks38
East KilbrideStirling Albion
17Fouls6
East KilbrideStirling Albion
4Cards3
East KilbrideStirling Albion

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

East KilbrideStirling Albion
2.1Goals scored / match1.24
East KilbrideStirling Albion
1.38Goals conceded / match1.72
East KilbrideStirling Albion
53%Average possession46%
East KilbrideStirling Albion
5.21Shots on target / match4.17
East KilbrideStirling Albion

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.1Shots per match8.34
East KilbrideStirling Albion
5.21Shots on target4.17
East KilbrideStirling Albion
20.8%Shot conversion14.9%
East KilbrideStirling Albion
53%Possession46%
East KilbrideStirling Albion
1.42xG for1.12
East KilbrideStirling Albion
1.2xG against1.65
East KilbrideStirling Albion

Shooting quality

East Kilbride: Efficient finishingStirling Albion: Counter-attacking
East KilbrideStirling Albion
Accuracy (shots on target)52%50%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

East Kilbride is 160% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / match - East Kilbride · 1 pts / match - Stirling Albion

East Kilbride
WWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
55% W21% D24% L
Season (W-D-L)
16-6-7
1.86 pts / match · goal difference +21
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-3-4
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
LLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.72Opponent xG: 1.07BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Stirling Albion
WDLDL
Season result split
28% W28% D45% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-8-13
1.10 pts / match · goal difference -14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-2-6
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WWLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 0.95Opponent xG: 2.14BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

East Kilbride is 69% better for: goals scored per match.

2.1 goals / match - East Kilbride · 1.24 goals / match - Stirling Albion

East Kilbride is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.38 goals / match - East Kilbride · 1.72 goals / match - Stirling Albion

East Kilbride scoring profile: very strong

East Kilbride scores in 90% of matches (26 of 29 matches), while Stirling Albion keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 29 matches).

Stirling Albion scoring profile: very strong

Stirling Albion scores in 69% of matches (20 of 29 matches), while East Kilbride keeps a clean sheet in 24% (7 of 29 matches).

61Goals scored (season)36
East KilbrideStirling Albion
40Goals conceded (season)50
East KilbrideStirling Albion
3.48Average goals in match2.97
East KilbrideStirling Albion
16Goals scored (last 5)6
East KilbrideStirling Albion
4Goals conceded (last 5)9
East KilbrideStirling Albion

How often they score at least...

90%1 goal69%
East KilbrideStirling Albion
59%2 goals41%
East KilbrideStirling Albion
41%3 goals10%
East KilbrideStirling Albion
10%4 goals3%
East KilbrideStirling Albion

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal86%
East KilbrideStirling Albion
38%2 goals45%
East KilbrideStirling Albion
14%3 goals31%
East KilbrideStirling Albion
3%4 goals10%
East KilbrideStirling Albion

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

64%
League average

Goal patterns

31%BTTS at half-time14%
East KilbrideStirling Albion
3%BTTS in both halves7%
East KilbrideStirling Albion
28%Scored in both halves28%
East KilbrideStirling Albion

BTTS and goal count

52%Min. 3 goals and BTTS41%
East KilbrideStirling Albion
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
East KilbrideStirling Albion
80%BTTS - last 540%
East KilbrideStirling Albion

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

93%Min. 1 goal before half-time79%
East KilbrideStirling Albion
72%Min. 2 goals before half-time41%
East KilbrideStirling Albion
41%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
East KilbrideStirling Albion

2nd half

72%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
East KilbrideStirling Albion
31%Min. 2 goals after half-time41%
East KilbrideStirling Albion
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
East KilbrideStirling Albion

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

East Kilbride is 96% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.9 pts / match - East Kilbride · 0.97 pts / match - Stirling Albion

East Kilbride - half-time state
59% leading14% draw28% trailing
Stirling Albion - half-time state
24% leading24% draw52% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.9Points per match (1st half)0.97
East KilbrideStirling Albion
1.38Goals scored (1st half)0.45
East KilbrideStirling Albion
0.79Goals conceded (1st half)1
East KilbrideStirling Albion
2.17Average goals (1st half)1.45
East KilbrideStirling Albion
52%Clean sheet before half-time45%
East KilbrideStirling Albion
24%No goal before half-time62%
East KilbrideStirling Albion

After half-time (2nd half)

1.28Points per match (2nd half)1.28
East KilbrideStirling Albion
0.72Goals scored (2nd half)0.79
East KilbrideStirling Albion
0.59Goals conceded (2nd half)0.72
East KilbrideStirling Albion
1.31Average goals (2nd half)1.52
East KilbrideStirling Albion
52%Clean sheet after half-time41%
East KilbrideStirling Albion
59%No goal after half-time41%
East KilbrideStirling Albion

East Kilbride - second-half results

31% W34% D34% L
55
Half-time points
40
Half-time goals
+17
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.90
PPG before half-time
Lead holding93%

Leads at half-time in 59% of matches and wins 55%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Stirling Albion - second-half results

31% W34% D34% L
28
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-16
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.97
PPG before half-time
Lead holding117%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

East Kilbride - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.002.00
Goals scored / match1.61.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match2.21.8
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+5+7
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 8
Stirling Albion - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.40
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match1.40.4
Average goals in match1.81.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-5+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

East Kilbride
ScoredConceded
10
10
0-15
12
6
16-30
18
7
31-45
7
3
46-60
5
6
61-75
9
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (18 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Stirling Albion
ScoredConceded
4
6
0-15
3
6
16-30
6
17
31-45
4
6
46-60
8
7
61-75
11
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.22
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
63%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+3%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
62%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

East Kilbride

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.50
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.68
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
142%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.74
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.7
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Stirling Albion

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.53
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
84%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
116%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

East KilbrideLigaStirling Albion
Average goals in match 3.482.96 2.97
Both teams scored 66%64% 59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 69%57% 55%
Clean sheets 24%21% 14%
Goal before half-time 93%76% 79%
Goal after half-time 72%78% 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.96
Average goals per match
64%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
1.48
Away goals / match
+0%
Home attack advantage
+0%
Home defence advantage
+3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Stirling AlbionYellow cardBilly Hutchingson
  2. East KilbrideYellow cardJack Leitch
  3. East KilbrideGoalConnor YoungAssist: Sam Young
  4. East KilbrideGoalSean FaganAssist: John Robertson
  5. East KilbrideYellow cardKerr Robertson
  6. Stirling AlbionGoalRyan ShanleyAssist: Dylan Wells
  7. Stirling AlbionYellow cardRobbie McNab
  8. East KilbrideSubstitutionOn: Lewis DobbieOff: John Robertson
  9. East KilbrideGoalBobby McLuckieAssist: João Baldé
  10. Stirling AlbionSubstitutionOn: Lee HamiltonOff: Caleb Goldie
  11. Stirling AlbionYellow cardLee Hamilton
  12. East KilbrideSubstitutionOn: Keir FosterOff: Jack Leitch
  13. East KilbrideYellow cardJoão Baldé
  14. East KilbrideSubstitutionOn: Sean WardOff: Kerr Robertson
  15. East KilbrideYellow cardSean Fagan
  16. Stirling AlbionGoalMackenzie CarseAssist: Russell McLean

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Joel KennedyMatches officiated: 10
6.4Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 220%Home wins60%Draws20%Away wins

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): East Kilbride 3 - 0 - 0 Stirling Albion. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.

Stirling Albion FC
1 : 2
East Kilbride FC
East Kilbride FC
2 : 0
Stirling Albion FC
Stirling Albion FC
2 : 3
East Kilbride FC

FAQ

What was the result of East Kilbride vs Stirling Albion?

The League Two match finished East Kilbride 2:2 Stirling Albion. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between East Kilbride and Stirling Albion?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches East Kilbride won 3, Stirling Albion won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before East Kilbride vs Stirling Albion?

East Kilbride score 2.10 goals per game on average and Stirling Albion 1.24. The League Two average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 66% of East Kilbride's matches and 59% of Stirling Albion's.

What form are East Kilbride and Stirling Albion in?

Over the last 5 games East Kilbride have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Stirling Albion 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for East Kilbride vs Stirling Albion?

The statistical background for East Kilbride vs Stirling Albion — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.