England - National LeagueSilverlake StadiumData current as of 19 September 2026

Eastleigh vs Carlisle United: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Eastleigh vs Carlisle United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Eastleigh play Carlisle United in National League (England). The match date is 19 September 2026. Venue: Silverlake Stadium.

Current form

Eastleigh: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Carlisle United: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Eastleigh scores 1.25 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Carlisle United scores 2.00 and concedes 1.63. League average: 3.01 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Eastleigh 75%, Carlisle United 100%. Over 2.5: Eastleigh 50%, Carlisle United 63%. League level: BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 60%.

xG, shots and style

Carlisle United has higher xG: 2.10 vs 1.11. Eastleigh: 7.9 shots per match, Carlisle United: 16.9.

Match halves

Eastleigh: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.88. Carlisle United: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Eastleigh: 46-60 (3 goals). Carlisle United: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National League: 3.01 goals per match, BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 60%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.80)
(3.90)
(1.78)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

EastleighCarlisle United
1.25Goals scored / match2
EastleighCarlisle United
1.25Goals conceded / match1.63
EastleighCarlisle United
42%Average possession56%
EastleighCarlisle United
2.5Shots on target / match7.13
EastleighCarlisle United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.88Shots per match16.88
EastleighCarlisle United
2.5Shots on target7.13
EastleighCarlisle United
15.9%Shot conversion11.9%
EastleighCarlisle United
42%Possession56%
EastleighCarlisle United
1.11xG for2.1
EastleighCarlisle United
1.4xG against1.35
EastleighCarlisle United

Shooting quality

Eastleigh: Counter-attackingCarlisle United: Dominant
EastleighCarlisle United
Accuracy (shots on target)32%42%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.500.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Carlisle United is 20% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Eastleigh · 1.2 pts / match - Carlisle United

Eastleigh
WDLDL
Season result split
38% W25% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-3
1.38 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-0
Last 5 at home
2-2-0
WWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.15Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%
Carlisle United
DWLDD
Season result split
25% W50% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-4-2
1.25 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-1
Last 5 away
0-2-1
DDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.99Opponent xG: 1.61BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Carlisle United is 60% better for: goals scored per match.

1.25 goals / match - Eastleigh · 2 goals / match - Carlisle United

Eastleigh is 30% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.25 goals / match - Eastleigh · 1.63 goals / match - Carlisle United

Eastleigh scoring profile: very strong

Eastleigh scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Carlisle United keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 matches).

Carlisle United scoring profile: very strong

Carlisle United scores in 100% of matches (8 of 8 matches), while Eastleigh keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).

10Goals scored (season)16
EastleighCarlisle United
10Goals conceded (season)13
EastleighCarlisle United
2.5Average goals in match3.63
EastleighCarlisle United
5Goals scored (last 5)9
EastleighCarlisle United
6Goals conceded (last 5)8
EastleighCarlisle United

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal100%
EastleighCarlisle United
25%2 goals50%
EastleighCarlisle United
13%3 goals25%
EastleighCarlisle United
0%4 goals25%
EastleighCarlisle United

How often they concede at least...

88%1 goal100%
EastleighCarlisle United
38%2 goals50%
EastleighCarlisle United
0%3 goals13%
EastleighCarlisle United
0%4 goals0%
EastleighCarlisle United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

66%
League average

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time25%
EastleighCarlisle United
0%BTTS in both halves13%
EastleighCarlisle United
25%Scored in both halves50%
EastleighCarlisle United

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS63%
EastleighCarlisle United
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
EastleighCarlisle United
80%BTTS - last 5100%
EastleighCarlisle United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time88%
EastleighCarlisle United
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
EastleighCarlisle United
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
EastleighCarlisle United

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
EastleighCarlisle United
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time63%
EastleighCarlisle United
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time50%
EastleighCarlisle United

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Carlisle United is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.38 pts / match - Eastleigh · 2.13 pts / match - Carlisle United

Eastleigh - half-time state
25% leading63% draw13% trailing
Carlisle United - half-time state
63% leading25% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.38Points per match (1st half)2.13
EastleighCarlisle United
0.38Goals scored (1st half)1
EastleighCarlisle United
0.38Goals conceded (1st half)0.38
EastleighCarlisle United
0.75Average goals (1st half)1.38
EastleighCarlisle United
75%Clean sheet before half-time63%
EastleighCarlisle United
63%No goal before half-time25%
EastleighCarlisle United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.25Points per match (2nd half)1
EastleighCarlisle United
0.88Goals scored (2nd half)1
EastleighCarlisle United
0.88Goals conceded (2nd half)1.25
EastleighCarlisle United
1.75Average goals (2nd half)2.25
EastleighCarlisle United
25%Clean sheet after half-time25%
EastleighCarlisle United
25%No goal after half-time25%
EastleighCarlisle United

Eastleigh - second-half results

25% W50% D25% L
11
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Carlisle United - second-half results

25% W25% D50% L
17
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding40%

Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.9

Concedes 0.9 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Eastleigh - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.60
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal40%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Carlisle United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.200.40
Goals scored / match1.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.41.2
Average goals in match1.61.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+4-3
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Eastleigh
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
2
16-30
2
0
31-45
3
2
46-60
1
3
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Carlisle United
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
2
2
16-30
4
0
31-45
2
1
46-60
3
1
61-75
3
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.06
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
88%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-18%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
88%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Eastleigh

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
77%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
90%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.38
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Carlisle United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.75
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.38
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
144%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
100%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).

Teams vs league

EastleighLigaCarlisle United
Average goals in match 2.503.01 3.63
Both teams scored 75%66% 100%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%60% 63%
Clean sheets 13%17% 0%
Goal before half-time 50%72% 88%
Goal after half-time 100%89% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.01
Average goals per match
66%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
17%
Clean sheets
1.63
Home goals / match
1.39
Away goals / match
+17%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
89%
1 goal
55%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Eastleigh 0 - 1 - 1 Carlisle United. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Eastleigh FC
1 : 2
Carlisle United FC
Carlisle United FC
1 : 1
Eastleigh FC

FAQ

When do Eastleigh and Carlisle United play?

Eastleigh face Carlisle United on 19 September 2026 in National League at Silverlake Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Eastleigh and Carlisle United?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Eastleigh won 0, Carlisle United won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Eastleigh vs Carlisle United?

Eastleigh score 1.25 goals per game on average and Carlisle United 2.00. The National League average is 3.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Eastleigh's matches and 100% of Carlisle United's.

What form are Eastleigh and Carlisle United in?

Over the last 5 games Eastleigh have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Carlisle United 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Eastleigh vs Carlisle United?

The statistical background for Eastleigh vs Carlisle United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.