El Kanemi Warriors vs Shooting Stars: match statistics
El Kanemi Warriors vs Shooting Stars: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
El Kanemi Warriors played Shooting Stars in NPFL (Nigeria). The match was played on 19 April 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
El Kanemi Warriors: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Shooting Stars: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
El Kanemi Warriors scores 0.85 and concedes 1.12 goals per match. Shooting Stars scores 1.03 and concedes 1.06. League average: 1.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: El Kanemi Warriors 26%, Shooting Stars 38%. Over 2.5: El Kanemi Warriors 38%, Shooting Stars 32%. League level: BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 30%.
xG, shots and style
Shooting Stars has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.07. El Kanemi Warriors: 1.9 shots per match, Shooting Stars: 7.1.
Match halves
El Kanemi Warriors: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.35. Shooting Stars: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
El Kanemi Warriors: 31-45+ (8 goals). Shooting Stars: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 1.93 goals per match, BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 30%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
El Kanemi Warriors have a strong home record: 71% wins and 71% clean sheets, averaging 1.35 goals scored and only 0.35 conceded per home match. Shooting Stars sit higher in the table (5th vs 10th) and have 15 wins and 35 goals this season, but are poor away — averaging only 0.35 goals per away match and failing to score in 71% of away fixtures. The visitors generate xG 1.13 on the road with xG against 1.57 and concede on average 1.41 goals away, indicating lower quality of chance creation in away games. Conversely, the hosts’ last 5 matches show 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses with a goal record of 3-7 (PPG 1.0), so form is unstable. Considering the hosts’ defensive strength at home and Shooting Stars’ very low away efficiency, I assess probabilities as 60% for the home team, 25% for a draw and 15% for the visitors.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The home side averages 1.71 goals scored and concedes 0.71 at home, keeping a clean sheet in 41% of home matches; Shooting Stars score just 0.35 goals on average and failed to score in 71% of their season appearances. Seasonal BTTS rate is 53% for El Kanemi and only 24% for Shooting Stars, while the league BTTS average is 36%, indicating a strong asymmetry in odds. Guests have a shot conversion of 4% versus 14% for the hosts, with xG of 1.53 for El Kanemi and 1.13 for Shooting Stars and xG against the visitors 1.57 — meaning Shooting Stars create fewer expected chances than anticipated and finish poorly. In the last 5 matches both teams show 40% BTTS and the visitors average 1.2 goals, but the seasonal indicators (0.35 goals and 71% of games without a goal for the visitors) carry more weight, so I assign 26% to BTTS (BTTS - Yes) and 74% to No Goal, recommending No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model based on xG and defensive parameters yields 1.55 xG for El Kanemi and 0.95 xG for Shooting Stars, totaling 2.50 expected goals. According to a Poisson distribution this translates to roughly a 71% chance of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), ~46% for at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) and ~24% for at least 4 goals (Over 3.5). Team metrics support this signal: El Kanemi at home scores on average 1.71 goals with xG 1.53, registers 3.77 shots on target and a finishing rate of 14%, while Shooting Stars away average 0.35 goals with xG 1.13 and a 4% finishing rate. Seasonal percentages also favor Over 1.5 (home teams 65% Over 1.5 at home vs away teams 53%), whereas Over 2.5 is less certain (home 47% vs away 18%), therefore the strongest and most reliable pick is the Over line at 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
El Kanemi Warriors are clear favorites: at home they win 76% of matches and lead at the break in 59% of games, with an average of 0.88 goals by half-time versus 0.18 scored by Shooting Stars. The visitors average just 0.35 goals per match with a 4% conversion rate, which reduces their chances of mounting a turnaround after the break. xG confirms the hosts' advantage: home xG 1.53 versus away 1.13, while the hosts concede an xG against of 0.76 compared to 1.57 for Shooting Stars, indicating better defense and more clear chances for the home side. Additionally, the hosts score on average 0.82 goals in the second half versus just 0.18 for the visitors, so the scenario of leading at the break and winning at full-time (HT/FT 1/1) is the strongest; I assign this scenario a 49% probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| El Kanemi Warriors | Shooting Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 3% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.57 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 14.17 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Shooting Stars is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - El Kanemi Warriors · 1.4 pts / match - Shooting Stars
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Shooting Stars is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
0.85 goals / match - El Kanemi Warriors · 1.03 goals / match - Shooting Stars
Shooting Stars is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.12 goals / match - El Kanemi Warriors · 1.06 goals / match - Shooting Stars
El Kanemi Warriors scores in 56% of matches (19 of 34 matches), while Shooting Stars keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
Shooting Stars scores in 59% of matches (20 of 34 matches), while El Kanemi Warriors keeps a clean sheet in 44% (15 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - El Kanemi Warriors
Over / Under - Shooting Stars
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Shooting Stars is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / match - El Kanemi Warriors · 1.35 pts / match - Shooting Stars
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
El Kanemi Warriors - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Shooting Stars - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
El Kanemi Warriors
Shooting Stars
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| El Kanemi Warriors | Liga | Shooting Stars | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.97 | 1.93 | ▲ 2.09 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 26% | 37% | • 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 38% | 30% | ▲ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 38% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 65% | 59% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 62% | ▲ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: El Kanemi Warriors 0 - 0 - 1 Shooting Stars. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of El Kanemi Warriors vs Shooting Stars?
The NPFL match finished El Kanemi Warriors 1:2 Shooting Stars. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before El Kanemi Warriors vs Shooting Stars?
El Kanemi Warriors score 0.85 goals per game on average and Shooting Stars 1.03. The NPFL average is 1.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 26% of El Kanemi Warriors's matches and 38% of Shooting Stars's.
What form are El Kanemi Warriors and Shooting Stars in?
Over the last 5 games El Kanemi Warriors have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Shooting Stars 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for El Kanemi Warriors vs Shooting Stars?
The statistical background for El Kanemi Warriors vs Shooting Stars — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.