United States - USL ChampionshipData current as of 22 October 2026

El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United: match statistics

Reasoning:

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El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

El Paso Locomotive play New Mexico United in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 25 October 2026.

Current form

El Paso Locomotive: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. New Mexico United: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

El Paso Locomotive scores 1.66 and concedes 1.28 goals per match. New Mexico United scores 1.52 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.71 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: El Paso Locomotive 62%, New Mexico United 55%. Over 2.5: El Paso Locomotive 62%, New Mexico United 55%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

El Paso Locomotive has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.39. El Paso Locomotive: 12.8 shots per match, New Mexico United: 11.8.

Match halves

El Paso Locomotive: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.62. New Mexico United: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.90.

Goals by minute

El Paso Locomotive: 16-30 (11 goals). New Mexico United: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

USL Championship: 2.71 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-3. Average goals 3.20, BTTS 60%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.81)
(4.02)
(3.58)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
1.66Goals scored / match1.52
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
1.28Goals conceded / match1.17
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
50%Average possession56%
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
4.76Shots on target / match4.38
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.76Shots per match11.79
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
4.76Shots on target4.38
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
13%Shot conversion12.9%
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
50%Possession56%
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
1.5xG for1.39
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
1.47xG against1.84
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United

Shooting quality

El Paso Locomotive: Efficient finishingNew Mexico United: Balanced
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
Accuracy (shots on target)37%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

El Paso Locomotive is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - El Paso Locomotive · 1.2 pts / match - New Mexico United

El Paso Locomotive
WDLWL
Season result split
52% W17% D31% L
Season (W-D-L)
15-5-9
1.72 pts / match · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-3-4
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WWDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 1.73BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
New Mexico United
LLWWL
Season result split
48% W24% D28% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-7-8
1.69 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-4-5
Last 5 away
1-2-2
WDDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.55Opponent xG: 2.02BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

El Paso Locomotive is 9% better for: goals scored per match.

1.66 goals / match - El Paso Locomotive · 1.52 goals / match - New Mexico United

New Mexico United is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.28 goals / match - El Paso Locomotive · 1.17 goals / match - New Mexico United

El Paso Locomotive scoring profile: very strong

El Paso Locomotive scores in 86% of matches (25 of 29 matches), while New Mexico United keeps a clean sheet in 28% (8 of 29 matches).

New Mexico United scoring profile: very strong

New Mexico United scores in 72% of matches (21 of 29 matches), while El Paso Locomotive keeps a clean sheet in 24% (7 of 29 matches).

48Goals scored (season)44
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
37Goals conceded (season)34
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
2.93Average goals in match2.69
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
7Goals scored (last 5)7
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
7Goals conceded (last 5)7
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal72%
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
52%2 goals45%
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
21%3 goals21%
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
7%4 goals10%
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal72%
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
31%2 goals31%
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
14%3 goals10%
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
7%4 goals3%
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

62%
El Paso Locomotive - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.18 of 29 matches
55%
New Mexico United - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.16 of 29 matches
54%
League average

Goal patterns

34%BTTS at half-time21%
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
10%BTTS in both halves7%
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
34%Scored in both halves24%
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United

BTTS and goal count

52%Min. 3 goals and BTTS52%
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
80%BTTS - last 560%
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time66%
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
55%Min. 2 goals before half-time34%
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
21%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time72%
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
34%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

El Paso Locomotive is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.62 pts / match - El Paso Locomotive · 1.31 pts / match - New Mexico United

El Paso Locomotive - half-time state
41% leading38% draw21% trailing
New Mexico United - half-time state
28% leading48% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.62Points per match (1st half)1.31
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
1.03Goals scored (1st half)0.62
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
0.59Goals conceded (1st half)0.45
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
1.62Average goals (1st half)1.07
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
52%Clean sheet before half-time55%
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
31%No goal before half-time59%
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.24Points per match (2nd half)1.48
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
0.62Goals scored (2nd half)0.9
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
0.69Goals conceded (2nd half)0.72
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
1.31Average goals (2nd half)1.62
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
45%Clean sheet after half-time48%
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
48%No goal after half-time45%
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United

El Paso Locomotive - second-half results

31% W31% D38% L
47
Half-time points
30
Half-time goals
+13
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.62
PPG before half-time
Lead holding127%

Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

New Mexico United - second-half results

34% W45% D21% L
38
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.31
PPG before half-time
Lead holding171%

Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

El Paso Locomotive - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.80
Goals scored / match1.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.61.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5
New Mexico United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal100%60%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

El Paso Locomotive
ScoredConceded
8
4
0-15
11
5
16-30
11
8
31-45
10
5
46-60
1
7
61-75
7
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

New Mexico United
ScoredConceded
5
7
0-15
7
4
16-30
6
2
31-45
4
8
46-60
11
5
61-75
11
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.81
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+14%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
62%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

El Paso Locomotive

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.35
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
111%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
105%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.32
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

New Mexico United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.45
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.80
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.67
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
125%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
79%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.49
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).

Teams vs league

El Paso LocomotiveLigaNew Mexico United
Average goals in match▲ 2.932.71• 2.69
Both teams scored▲ 62%54%• 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 62%49%▲ 55%
Clean sheets▼ 24%28%• 28%
Goal before half-time▲ 83%66%• 66%
Goal after half-time▲ 83%77%▼ 72%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.71
Average goals per match
54%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.49
Home goals / match
1.22
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): El Paso Locomotive 1 - 1 - 3 New Mexico United. Average goals 3.20, both teams scored in 60% matches.

New Mexico United
2 : 2
El Paso Locomotive
El Paso Locomotive FC
3 : 0
New Mexico United
New Mexico United
1 : 0
El Paso Locomotive FC
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 2
New Mexico United
New Mexico United
3 : 2
El Paso Locomotive

FAQ

When do El Paso Locomotive and New Mexico United play?

El Paso Locomotive face New Mexico United on 25 October 2026 in USL Championship. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between El Paso Locomotive and New Mexico United?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches El Paso Locomotive won 1, New Mexico United won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United?

El Paso Locomotive score 1.66 goals per game on average and New Mexico United 1.52. The USL Championship average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 62% of El Paso Locomotive's matches and 55% of New Mexico United's.

What form are El Paso Locomotive and New Mexico United in?

Over the last 5 games El Paso Locomotive have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and New Mexico United 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.