Scotland - League TwoBorough BriggsData current as of 15 October 2026

Elgin City vs Edinburgh City: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Elgin City vs Edinburgh City: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Elgin City play Edinburgh City in League Two (Scotland). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Borough Briggs.

Current form

Elgin City: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Edinburgh City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Elgin City scores 2.70 and concedes 1.70 goals per match. Edinburgh City scores 2.00 and concedes 1.80. League average: 3.46 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Elgin City 70%, Edinburgh City 60%. Over 2.5: Elgin City 80%, Edinburgh City 70%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.

xG, shots and style

Elgin City has higher xG: 1.29 vs 1.19. Elgin City: 9.5 shots per match, Edinburgh City: 8.2.

Match halves

Elgin City: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.60. Edinburgh City: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.70.

Goals by minute

Elgin City: 76-90+ (9 goals). Edinburgh City: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 3.46 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 4-0-1. Average goals 4.20, BTTS 40%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.90)
(3.60)
(3.53)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Elgin CityEdinburgh City
2.7Goals scored / match2
Elgin CityEdinburgh City
1.7Goals conceded / match1.8
Elgin CityEdinburgh City
42%Average possession53%
Elgin CityEdinburgh City
5.4Shots on target / match5
Elgin CityEdinburgh City

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.5Shots per match8.2
Elgin CityEdinburgh City
5.4Shots on target5
Elgin CityEdinburgh City
28.4%Shot conversion24.4%
Elgin CityEdinburgh City
42%Possession53%
Elgin CityEdinburgh City
1.29xG for1.19
Elgin CityEdinburgh City
1.13xG against1.05
Elgin CityEdinburgh City

Shooting quality

Elgin City: Counter-attackingEdinburgh City: Efficient finishing
Elgin CityEdinburgh City
Accuracy (shots on target)57%61%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.500.40

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Edinburgh City is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Elgin City · 1.4 pts / match - Edinburgh City

Elgin City
LLLWW
Season result split
50% W20% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-3
1.70 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
DWWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.30BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Edinburgh City
LWWDL
Season result split
40% W30% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-3
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-1
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DWLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.06Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Elgin City is 35% better for: goals scored per match.

2.7 goals / match - Elgin City · 2 goals / match - Edinburgh City

Elgin City is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.7 goals / match - Elgin City · 1.8 goals / match - Edinburgh City

Elgin City scoring profile: very strong

Elgin City scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while Edinburgh City keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).

Edinburgh City scoring profile: very strong

Edinburgh City scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Elgin City keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).

27Goals scored (season)20
Elgin CityEdinburgh City
17Goals conceded (season)18
Elgin CityEdinburgh City
4.4Average goals in match3.8
Elgin CityEdinburgh City
10Goals scored (last 5)13
Elgin CityEdinburgh City
12Goals conceded (last 5)10
Elgin CityEdinburgh City

How often they score at least...

90%1 goal80%
Elgin CityEdinburgh City
60%2 goals50%
Elgin CityEdinburgh City
50%3 goals30%
Elgin CityEdinburgh City
40%4 goals10%
Elgin CityEdinburgh City

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal70%
Elgin CityEdinburgh City
50%2 goals50%
Elgin CityEdinburgh City
20%3 goals40%
Elgin CityEdinburgh City
10%4 goals10%
Elgin CityEdinburgh City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

30%BTTS at half-time10%
Elgin CityEdinburgh City
10%BTTS in both halves0%
Elgin CityEdinburgh City
50%Scored in both halves40%
Elgin CityEdinburgh City

BTTS and goal count

60%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Elgin CityEdinburgh City
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
Elgin CityEdinburgh City
80%BTTS - last 580%
Elgin CityEdinburgh City

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
Elgin CityEdinburgh City
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Elgin CityEdinburgh City
30%Min. 3 goals before half-time30%
Elgin CityEdinburgh City

2nd half

90%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
Elgin CityEdinburgh City
80%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
Elgin CityEdinburgh City
30%Min. 3 goals after half-time30%
Elgin CityEdinburgh City

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Edinburgh City is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.6 pts / match - Elgin City · 1.9 pts / match - Edinburgh City

Elgin City - half-time state
50% leading10% draw40% trailing
Edinburgh City - half-time state
50% leading40% draw10% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.6Points per match (1st half)1.9
Elgin CityEdinburgh City
1.1Goals scored (1st half)1.3
Elgin CityEdinburgh City
0.8Goals conceded (1st half)0.4
Elgin CityEdinburgh City
1.9Average goals (1st half)1.7
Elgin CityEdinburgh City
40%Clean sheet before half-time80%
Elgin CityEdinburgh City
30%No goal before half-time40%
Elgin CityEdinburgh City

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per match (2nd half)0.8
Elgin CityEdinburgh City
1.6Goals scored (2nd half)0.7
Elgin CityEdinburgh City
0.9Goals conceded (2nd half)1.4
Elgin CityEdinburgh City
2.5Average goals (2nd half)2.1
Elgin CityEdinburgh City
30%Clean sheet after half-time30%
Elgin CityEdinburgh City
30%No goal after half-time40%
Elgin CityEdinburgh City

Elgin City - second-half results

40% W30% D30% L
16
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Edinburgh City - second-half results

20% W20% D60% L
19
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.90
PPG before half-time
Lead holding80%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 40%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+1.0

Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Elgin City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.00
Goals scored / match0.41.6
Goals conceded / match1.21.2
Average goals in match1.62.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%0%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-4+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Edinburgh City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.200.20
Goals scored / match2.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.21.8
Average goals in match2.22.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+9-6
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 10

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Elgin City
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
4
2
16-30
6
4
31-45
6
1
46-60
1
4
61-75
9
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Edinburgh City
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
5
2
16-30
5
2
31-45
2
3
46-60
0
6
61-75
5
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

4.10
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.3 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
118%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
65%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+2%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
72%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Elgin City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.84
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.41
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.57
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
138%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.50
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Edinburgh City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.81
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.75
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
133%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.6
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Elgin CityLigaEdinburgh City
Average goals in match▲ 4.403.46▲ 3.80
Both teams scored▲ 70%58%▲ 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 80%66%▲ 70%
Clean sheets▼ 20%22%▲ 30%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%84%▼ 70%
Goal after half-time▲ 90%86%▲ 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.46
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.96
Home goals / match
1.50
Away goals / match
+31%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defence advantage
+28%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
26%
3 goals
16%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): Elgin City 4 - 0 - 1 Edinburgh City. Average goals 4.20, both teams scored in 40% matches.

Edinburgh City
0 : 5
Elgin City
Edinburgh City FC
0 : 3
Elgin City FC
Elgin City FC
3 : 0
Edinburgh City FC
Edinburgh City FC
1 : 3
Elgin City FC
Elgin City FC
2 : 4
Edinburgh City FC

FAQ

When do Elgin City and Edinburgh City play?

Elgin City face Edinburgh City on 17 October 2026 in League Two at Borough Briggs. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Elgin City and Edinburgh City?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Elgin City won 4, Edinburgh City won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Elgin City vs Edinburgh City?

Elgin City score 2.70 goals per game on average and Edinburgh City 2.00. The League Two average is 3.46 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Elgin City's matches and 60% of Edinburgh City's.

What form are Elgin City and Edinburgh City in?

Over the last 5 games Elgin City have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Edinburgh City 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Elgin City vs Edinburgh City?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Elgin City vs Edinburgh City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.