Elgin City vs Stirling Albion: match statistics
Elgin City vs Stirling Albion: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Elgin City played Stirling Albion in League Two (Scotland). The match was played on 29 August 2026. Venue: Borough Briggs. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Elgin City: 2-2-0, 2.00 points/match. Stirling Albion: 1-1-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Elgin City scores 3.25 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Stirling Albion scores 1.50 and concedes 2.00. League average: 3.14 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Elgin City 75%, Stirling Albion 50%. Over 2.5: Elgin City 75%, Stirling Albion 75%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Stirling Albion has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.27. Elgin City: 8.8 shots per match, Stirling Albion: 9.0.
Match halves
Elgin City: half-time lead 75%, second-half goals 1.50. Stirling Albion: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.25.
Goals by minute
Elgin City: 31-45+ (4 goals). Stirling Albion: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 3.14 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-2-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Elgin City remain unbeaten at home, recording a 50% win rate and 50% draw rate, while Stirling Albion have lost both of their away matches so far. The hosts average 2.5 goals per game on home soil with a 29% shot conversion rate, whereas the visitors score just once per away match and have failed to find the net in 50% of such appearances. Stirling’s defence is a clear concern, conceding an average of 3 goals away from home and allowing opponents an xG of 1.49, compared with 1 goal and an xG against of 0.73 for Elgin. Although the visitors have averaged 75% possession away from home, this has not translated into points or attacking efficiency, so the superior chance quality and home advantage point to an Elgin City victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The case for BTTS - Yes is strengthened by current form: Elgin City have recorded BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches, while Stirling Albion have done so in 60%. During this period, the hosts averaged 2.8 goals scored, compared with 2.0 for the visitors, while conceding 1.4 and 2.0 goals per match respectively. Elgin City average 2.0 goals at home, while Stirling Albion’s defence concedes as many as 3.0, making a home goal highly likely. The risk to the pick is that Stirling Albion have failed to score in 50% of their matches this season; however, their recent xG of 1.30 and lack of clean sheets away from home point to a realistic chance of breaking through the hosts’ defence. Consequently, the scenario in which both teams score has slightly stronger foundations than the alternative in which at least one of them fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Elgin City average 2.0 goals per home match, while Stirling Albion concede as many as 3.0 goals away from home, which clearly strengthens the hosts’ attacking potential. In their last five matches, both teams recorded games with Over 2.5 goals in 80% of cases, averaging 4.2 goals in Elgin matches and 4.0 in Stirling matches. The 1.5 line has been covered by both teams in the current campaign, while the league-wide average stands at a high 3.2 goals. The hosts average 11 shots, including 7 on target, while the visitors’ defence have yet to keep a single clean sheet. Over 1.5 is the strongest selection, as even with more conservative finishing, the data from both teams strongly points to at least two goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal points to Elgin City leading at the break and maintaining their advantage through to full-time: the hosts were ahead after 45 minutes in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Stirling Albion were trailing at that stage in 3 of their last 5. Elgin averaged 1.6 goals before half-time across their last five matches, whereas the visitors scored just 0.8 and conceded 1.2 goals on average. Season data further favours the hosts, who average 2.0 goals per match and concede 1.0, while Stirling Albion concede as many as 3.0 goals per game and have lost every away match so far. Elgin’s advantage is also supported by greater attacking activity, averaging 11 shots and 7 on target compared with their opponents’ 7 shots and 5 on target. After the interval, the hosts retain the potential to control the result, having averaged 1.2 goals in the second half over their last five appearances; therefore, the 1/1 scenario is the most likely outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Elgin City | Stirling Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 71% | 67% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.52 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Elgin City is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Elgin City · 1 pts / match - Stirling Albion
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Elgin City is 117% better for: goals scored per match.
3.25 goals / match - Elgin City · 1.5 goals / match - Stirling Albion
Elgin City is 60% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Elgin City · 2 goals / match - Stirling Albion
Elgin City scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Stirling Albion keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
Stirling Albion scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Elgin City keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Elgin City
Over / Under - Stirling Albion
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Elgin City is 233% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.5 pts / match - Elgin City · 0.75 pts / match - Stirling Albion
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Elgin City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 75% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Stirling Albion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.50 | 1.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 75% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 0% | 25% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.75 | 2.25 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 75% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 50% |
| No goal | 75% | 25% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Elgin City
Stirling Albion
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Elgin City | Liga | Stirling Albion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.50 | 3.14 | ▲ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 62% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 24% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 76% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 86% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Elgin City 2 - 2 - 0 Stirling Albion. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Elgin City vs Stirling Albion?
The League Two match finished Elgin City 4:0 Stirling Albion. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Elgin City and Stirling Albion?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Elgin City won 2, Stirling Albion won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Elgin City vs Stirling Albion?
Elgin City score 3.25 goals per game on average and Stirling Albion 1.50. The League Two average is 3.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Elgin City's matches and 50% of Stirling Albion's.
What form are Elgin City and Stirling Albion in?
Over the last 5 games Elgin City have a 2-2-0 record (2.00 points per game) and Stirling Albion 1-1-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Elgin City vs Stirling Albion?
The statistical background for Elgin City vs Stirling Albion — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.