Esbjerg vs AaB: match statistics
Esbjerg vs AaB: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Esbjerg played AaB in 1st Division (Denmark). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Blue Water Arena. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
Esbjerg: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. AaB: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Esbjerg scores 1.11 and concedes 2.11 goals per match. AaB scores 1.22 and concedes 1.22. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Esbjerg 67%, AaB 56%. Over 2.5: Esbjerg 67%, AaB 56%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
AaB has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.43. Esbjerg: 12.4 shots per match, AaB: 14.3.
Match halves
Esbjerg: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.56. AaB: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
Esbjerg: 46-60 (4 goals). AaB: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1st Division: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AaB sit 5th, while Esbjerg are 12th; over their last five matches, the visitors have lost once, whereas the hosts have suffered three defeats. Away from home, AaB average 1.75 goals and 5 shots on target per match, compared with Esbjerg’s 1 goal and 3.5 shots on target at home. The difference in finishing is reflected in shot conversion rates of 14% for the visitors and 8% for the hosts, although their average xG figures are closer: 1.46 versus 1.35. Esbjerg concede an average of 1.75 goals at home and have yet to keep a clean sheet there, which supports an away win for AaB. A draw remains a realistic outcome, as three of the visitors’ last five matches ended level.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
AaB average 1.75 goals scored away from home and have not failed to score in any of those matches, making an AaB goal quite likely. Esbjerg are more of a concern: they average just 0.8 goals at home and have failed to score in 40% of their matches. Even so, the hosts generate 1.61 xG at home, while AaB allow opponents an average of 1.54 xG, giving Esbjerg a realistic chance of scoring. BTTS - Yes landed in 75% of AaB’s away matches, but in only 40% of Esbjerg’s home games, so the lean is moderately in favour of BTTS - Yes rather than a strong one.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 100% of AaB’s matches and 60% of Esbjerg’s. The visitors score an average of 1.75 goals per match and have found the net in every game, while the hosts concede an average of 1.2 goals. Esbjerg do score only 0.8 goals per match, but their average xG is 1.61, and AaB allow opponents chances worth an average xG of 1.54, giving the hosts a chance to score. In their last five matches, both teams averaged 1.4 goals per game, and at least 3 goals were scored in 60% of each team’s matches. The 2.80-goal forecast supports a goals bet, but the gap between 100% of AaB matches going Over 1.5 and 75% going Over 2.5 indicates a clear edge on the lower line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time followed by an AaB win looks the most likely outcome: Esbjerg were level after 45 minutes in 3 of their 5 home matches and did not concede before the break in any of them. AaB did lead at the break in 3 of their 4 away matches, however, so the 2/2 outcome remains almost equally plausible. The visitors’ average of 1.75 goals scored away from home, compared with Esbjerg’s 0.8 at home, supports an AaB win. After the break, the hosts concede an average of 1.2 goals and have lost the second half in 60% of their home matches, increasing the likelihood of AaB deciding the game in their favour after the interval. This is not a decisive pick, though: Esbjerg have a home xG of 1.61, compared with AaB’s 1.46 away from home, so the hosts also have reason to expect chances.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Esbjerg | AaB | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AaB is 500% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Esbjerg · 1.2 pts / match - AaB
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AaB is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - Esbjerg · 1.22 goals / match - AaB
AaB is 73% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.11 goals / match - Esbjerg · 1.22 goals / match - AaB
Esbjerg scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while AaB keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
AaB scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Esbjerg keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Esbjerg
Over / Under - AaB
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AaB is 64% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / match - Esbjerg · 2 pts / match - AaB
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Esbjerg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 11%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
AaB - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 33%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Esbjerg
AaB
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| Esbjerg | Liga | AaB | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.22 | 2.75 | ▼ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 61% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 54% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 25% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 75% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 75% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Esbjerg 1 - 1 - 0 AaB. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Esbjerg vs AaB?
The 1st Division match finished Esbjerg 3:3 AaB. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Esbjerg and AaB?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Esbjerg won 1, AaB won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Esbjerg vs AaB?
Esbjerg score 1.11 goals per game on average and AaB 1.22. The 1st Division average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Esbjerg's matches and 56% of AaB's.
What form are Esbjerg and AaB in?
Over the last 5 games Esbjerg have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and AaB 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Esbjerg vs AaB?
The statistical background for Esbjerg vs AaB — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.