Esteghlal vs Paykan: match statistics
Esteghlal vs Paykan: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Esteghlal played Paykan in Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran). The match was played on 10 September 2026. Venue: Shahr-e Qods Stadium. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Esteghlal: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Paykan: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Esteghlal scores 1.33 and concedes 0.17 goals per match. Paykan scores 0.83 and concedes 0.83. League average: 1.69 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Esteghlal 17%, Paykan 17%. Over 2.5: Esteghlal 17%, Paykan 17%. League level: BTTS 28%, Over 2.5 19%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Esteghlal: -1.0 shots per match, Paykan: -1.0.
Match halves
Esteghlal: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.83. Paykan: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Esteghlal: 76-90+ (3 goals). Paykan: 16-30 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Persian Gulf Pro League: 1.69 goals per match, BTTS 28%, Over 2.5 19%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Esteghlal sit 2nd in the table, remain unbeaten after 5 rounds (3 wins and 2 draws), and have scored 8 goals while conceding just 1 during that period. At home, the hosts win 67% of their matches, average 2.33 goals scored and just 0.33 conceded, while keeping a clean sheet in 67% of games. Paykan are only 12th in the table, with a record of 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, and have scored just 3 goals in five matches. The visitors’ away attack averages 1 goal per game and failed to score in 67% of their away appearances, while their defence concedes 1.67 goals per match. The difference in current form is clear: Esteghlal have averaged 2.2 points across their last five matches compared with Paykan’s 1 point, which is why a comfortable home win is the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal points to BTTS - No, as Esteghlal have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their home matches so far, conceding just 1 goal in total. Paykan average 1.0 goal scored away from home, but have failed to score in 67% of such matches, which clearly limits their prospects against such a tight defense. In their last five matches, Esteghlal conceded just 0.2 goals per game, while Paykan scored only 0.6 goals. BTTS - Yes occurred in just 20% of the teams’ last five matches, while the league average for this market is a low 31%. A No Goal scenario for one of the sides, particularly Paykan, is therefore significantly more likely than both teams scoring.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The match profile points to a very limited number of goals: the league-wide average is just 1.76 goals, while only 20% of matches go over 2.5 goals. Esteghlal have averaged 1.6 goals scored over their last 5 matches, but conceded just 0.2 per game, allowing opponents only one goal in total during that period. Paykan averaged 0.6 goals per game over the same span, and both teams recorded matches with three or more goals in only 20% of their last five appearances. In addition, only 20% of each team’s recent matches ended with both sides scoring, further reducing the likelihood of an open game. The projected total of 1.81 goals favors Under 3.5, as at least four goals would be required for this selection to lose, despite the hosts’ highly solid defensive record.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Esteghlal have been clearly superior in their last five matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and conceding just 0.2, while remaining unbeaten. By contrast, Paykan have averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. A draw at half-time is nevertheless highly plausible, having occurred in 60% of the hosts’ recent matches and as many as 80% of Paykan’s, while Esteghlal have not conceded before the break in any of their last five outings. After half-time, the hosts improve their attacking output to an average of 1.0 goal, conceding just 0.2, whereas the visitors score only 0.4 goals on average in the second half. Paykan have lost 40% of their last five matches and have not led at the break in any of them, limiting their chances of maintaining a favourable result. The strongest scenario is therefore a cautious 0:0 at half-time, followed by an Esteghlal victory based on their superior quality and stronger performance after the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Esteghlal | Paykan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 0% | 0% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Esteghlal is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Esteghlal · 1.6 pts / match - Paykan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Esteghlal is 60% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Esteghlal · 0.83 goals / match - Paykan
Esteghlal is 388% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.17 goals / match - Esteghlal · 0.83 goals / match - Paykan
Esteghlal scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Paykan keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).
Paykan scores in 33% of matches (2 of 6 matches), while Esteghlal keeps a clean sheet in 83% (5 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Esteghlal
Over / Under - Paykan
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Esteghlal is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / match - Esteghlal · 1.17 pts / match - Paykan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Esteghlal - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Paykan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Esteghlal
Paykan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Persian Gulf Pro League).
Teams vs league
| Esteghlal | Liga | Paykan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.50 | 1.69 | • 1.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 17% | 28% | ▼ 17% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 17% | 19% | ▼ 17% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 83% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 33% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 63% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Esteghlal 0 - 1 - 1 Paykan. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Esteghlal vs Paykan?
The Persian Gulf Pro League match finished Esteghlal 1:0 Paykan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Esteghlal and Paykan?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Esteghlal won 0, Paykan won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Esteghlal vs Paykan?
Esteghlal score 1.33 goals per game on average and Paykan 0.83. The Persian Gulf Pro League average is 1.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 19% of games. Both teams score in 17% of Esteghlal's matches and 17% of Paykan's.
What form are Esteghlal and Paykan in?
Over the last 5 games Esteghlal have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Paykan 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Esteghlal vs Paykan?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.