Argentina - Prim B NacionalEstadio Ciudad de CaserosData current as of 22 September 2026

Estudiantes Caseros vs San Miguel: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Estudiantes Caseros vs San Miguel: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Estudiantes Caseros play San Miguel in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match date is 26 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Ciudad de Caseros.

Current form

Estudiantes Caseros: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. San Miguel: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Estudiantes Caseros scores 0.90 and concedes 0.83 goals per match. San Miguel scores 0.80 and concedes 1.13. League average: 1.93 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Estudiantes Caseros 33%, San Miguel 47%. Over 2.5: Estudiantes Caseros 27%, San Miguel 30%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 32%.

xG, shots and style

San Miguel has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.20. Estudiantes Caseros: 9.4 shots per match, San Miguel: 10.2.

Match halves

Estudiantes Caseros: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.50. San Miguel: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.53.

Goals by minute

Estudiantes Caseros: 76-90+ (8 goals). San Miguel: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Prim B Nacional: 1.93 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 32%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.77)
(2.91)
(5.05)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel
0.9Goals scored / match0.8
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel
0.83Goals conceded / match1.13
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel
51%Average possession49%
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel
3.17Shots on target / match2.93
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.43Shots per match10.2
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel
3.17Shots on target2.93
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel
9.5%Shot conversion7.8%
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel
51%Possession49%
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel
1.2xG for1.36
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel
1xG against1.32
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel

Shooting quality

Estudiantes Caseros: BalancedSan Miguel: Balanced
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel
Accuracy (shots on target)34%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Estudiantes Caseros is 250% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Estudiantes Caseros · 0.4 pts / match - San Miguel

Estudiantes Caseros
LDLWW
Season result split
37% W30% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-9-10
1.40 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-5-4
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LLWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.21Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
San Miguel
LLLDD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
20% W43% D37% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-13-11
1.03 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-8-6
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LLLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.16Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Estudiantes Caseros is 13% better for: goals scored per match.

0.9 goals / match - Estudiantes Caseros · 0.8 goals / match - San Miguel

Estudiantes Caseros is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.83 goals / match - Estudiantes Caseros · 1.13 goals / match - San Miguel

Estudiantes Caseros scoring profile: strong

Estudiantes Caseros scores in 63% of matches (19 of 30 matches), while San Miguel keeps a clean sheet in 30% (9 of 30 matches).

San Miguel scoring profile: mixed

San Miguel scores in 63% of matches (19 of 30 matches), while Estudiantes Caseros keeps a clean sheet in 40% (12 of 30 matches).

27Goals scored (season)24
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel
25Goals conceded (season)34
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel
1.73Average goals in match1.93
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel
5Goals scored (last 5)4
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel
5Goals conceded (last 5)9
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel

How often they score at least...

63%1 goal63%
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel
20%2 goals17%
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel
7%3 goals0%
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel
0%4 goals0%
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal70%
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel
20%2 goals30%
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel
3%3 goals10%
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel
0%4 goals3%
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

33%
Estudiantes Caseros - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.10 of 30 matches
39%
League average

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time7%
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel
10%Scored in both halves10%
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel

BTTS and goal count

17%Min. 3 goals and BTTS20%
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel
40%BTTS - last 580%
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time53%
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel
23%Min. 2 goals before half-time17%
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel

2nd half

60%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel
27%Min. 2 goals after half-time37%
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel
7%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Estudiantes Caseros - half-time state
20% leading57% draw23% trailing
San Miguel - half-time state
20% leading53% draw27% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.17Points per match (1st half)1.13
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel
0.4Goals scored (1st half)0.27
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel
0.4Goals conceded (1st half)0.43
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel
0.8Average goals (1st half)0.7
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel
70%Clean sheet before half-time67%
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel
70%No goal before half-time73%
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel

After half-time (2nd half)

1.23Points per match (2nd half)1.17
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.53
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel
0.43Goals conceded (2nd half)0.7
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel
0.93Average goals (2nd half)1.23
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel
63%Clean sheet after half-time47%
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel
57%No goal after half-time53%
Estudiantes CaserosSan Miguel

Estudiantes Caseros - second-half results

23% W53% D23% L
35
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding185%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

San Miguel - second-half results

23% W47% D30% L
34
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Estudiantes Caseros - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.40
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match0.41.6
1 goal40%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
San Miguel - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.00
Goals scored / match0.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.41.4
Average goals in match0.42.2
1 goal20%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal100%20%
Goal difference-2-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Estudiantes Caseros
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
5
4
16-30
4
6
31-45
1
3
46-60
6
5
61-75
8
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

San Miguel
ScoredConceded
2
6
0-15
3
4
16-30
3
3
31-45
5
6
46-60
7
5
61-75
4
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.83
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
40%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+9%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
14%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Estudiantes Caseros

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.30
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
76%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
112%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

San Miguel

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.56
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
108%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.63
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).

Teams vs league

Estudiantes CaserosLigaSan Miguel
Average goals in match 1.731.93 1.93
Both teams scored 33%39% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 27%32% 30%
Clean sheets 40%38% 30%
Goal before half-time 50%56% 53%
Goal after half-time 60%70% 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.93
Average goals per match
39%
Both teams scored
32%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
38%
Clean sheets
1.19
Home goals / match
0.74
Away goals / match
+61%
Home attack advantage
+38%
Home defence advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
21%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Estudiantes Caseros 0 - 1 - 0 San Miguel. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Estudiantes Caseros and San Miguel play?

Estudiantes Caseros face San Miguel on 26 September 2026 in Prim B Nacional at Estadio Ciudad de Caseros. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Estudiantes Caseros vs San Miguel?

Estudiantes Caseros score 0.90 goals per game on average and San Miguel 0.80. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Estudiantes Caseros's matches and 47% of San Miguel's.

What form are Estudiantes Caseros and San Miguel in?

Over the last 5 games Estudiantes Caseros have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and San Miguel 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Estudiantes Caseros vs San Miguel?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.