Argentina - Primera DivisiónEstadio Norberto Tito TomaghelloData current as of 15 October 2026

Estudiantes vs San Lorenzo: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Estudiantes vs San Lorenzo: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Estudiantes play San Lorenzo in Primera División (Argentina). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello.

Current form

Estudiantes: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. San Lorenzo: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Estudiantes scores 1.17 and concedes 0.72 goals per match. San Lorenzo scores 0.72 and concedes 0.93. League average: 2.16 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Estudiantes 24%, San Lorenzo 28%. Over 2.5: Estudiantes 34%, San Lorenzo 17%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 38%.

xG, shots and style

Estudiantes has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.28. Estudiantes: 14.4 shots per match, San Lorenzo: 10.9.

Match halves

Estudiantes: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.86. San Lorenzo: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.59.

Goals by minute

Estudiantes: 76-90+ (12 goals). San Lorenzo: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.16 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 38%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.20)
(3.01)
(3.65)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

EstudiantesSan Lorenzo
1.17Goals scored / match0.72
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo
0.72Goals conceded / match0.93
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo
56%Average possession49%
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo
5.21Shots on target / match3.62
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.38Shots per match10.9
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo
5.21Shots on target3.62
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo
8.2%Shot conversion6.6%
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo
56%Possession49%
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo
1.63xG for1.28
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo
1.3xG against1.62
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo

Shooting quality

Estudiantes: DominantSan Lorenzo: Balanced
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo
Accuracy (shots on target)36%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.220.20

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Estudiantes
LWLWD
Season result split
45% W21% D34% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-6-10
1.55 pts / match · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-2-4
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.66Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
San Lorenzo
WDLLW
Season result split
31% W34% D34% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-10-10
1.28 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-8-5
Last 5 away
0-2-3
LDLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.73BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Estudiantes is 63% better for: goals scored per match.

1.17 goals / match - Estudiantes · 0.72 goals / match - San Lorenzo

Estudiantes is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.72 goals / match - Estudiantes · 0.93 goals / match - San Lorenzo

Estudiantes scoring profile: mixed

Estudiantes scores in 55% of matches (16 of 29 matches), while San Lorenzo keeps a clean sheet in 48% (14 of 29 matches).

San Lorenzo scoring profile: mixed

San Lorenzo scores in 59% of matches (17 of 29 matches), while Estudiantes keeps a clean sheet in 45% (13 of 29 matches).

34Goals scored (season)21
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo
21Goals conceded (season)27
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo
1.9Average goals in match1.66
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo
8Goals scored (last 5)3
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo
6Goals conceded (last 5)6
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo

How often they score at least...

55%1 goal59%
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo
38%2 goals14%
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo
14%3 goals0%
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo
7%4 goals0%
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo

How often they concede at least...

55%1 goal52%
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo
17%2 goals24%
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo
0%3 goals10%
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo
0%4 goals3%
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

47%
League average

Goal patterns

7%BTTS at half-time3%
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo
0%BTTS in both halves3%
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo
7%Scored in both halves7%
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo

BTTS and goal count

21%Min. 3 goals and BTTS14%
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo
60%BTTS - last 520%
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

48%Min. 1 goal before half-time45%
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo
14%Min. 2 goals before half-time14%
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo

2nd half

69%Min. 1 goal after half-time69%
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo
31%Min. 2 goals after half-time21%
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time7%
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Estudiantes - half-time state
10% leading59% draw31% trailing
San Lorenzo - half-time state
10% leading59% draw31% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.9Points per match (1st half)0.9
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo
0.31Goals scored (1st half)0.14
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo
0.41Goals conceded (1st half)0.48
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo
0.72Average goals (1st half)0.62
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo
62%Clean sheet before half-time66%
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo
83%No goal before half-time86%
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo

After half-time (2nd half)

1.59Points per match (2nd half)1.55
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo
0.86Goals scored (2nd half)0.59
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo
0.31Goals conceded (2nd half)0.45
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo
1.17Average goals (2nd half)1.03
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo
72%Clean sheet after half-time66%
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo
55%No goal after half-time48%
EstudiantesSan Lorenzo

Estudiantes - second-half results

41% W34% D24% L
26
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
+16
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.90
PPG before half-time
Lead holding450%

Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

San Lorenzo - second-half results

38% W41% D21% L
26
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
45
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.90
PPG before half-time
Lead holding310%

Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Estudiantes - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.80
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match1.00.2
Average goals in match1.61.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-2+4
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
San Lorenzo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.602.00
Goals scored / match0.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match0.81.0
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-4+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Estudiantes
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
4
2
16-30
4
7
31-45
8
2
46-60
5
2
61-75
12
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

San Lorenzo
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
1
3
16-30
1
7
31-45
3
7
46-60
7
5
61-75
7
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.77
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 0.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
82%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
26%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+12%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
32%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
18%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Estudiantes

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.33
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-18.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.46
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.58
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
97%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
77%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
35% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 3% come in the first quarter-hour.
35%

San Lorenzo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.56
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.69
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
77%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
77%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.12
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

EstudiantesLigaSan Lorenzo
Average goals in match▼ 1.902.16▼ 1.66
Both teams scored▼ 24%47%▼ 28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 34%38%▼ 17%
Clean sheets▲ 45%33%▲ 48%
Goal before half-time▼ 48%61%▼ 45%
Goal after half-time▼ 69%73%▼ 69%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.16
Average goals per match
47%
Both teams scored
38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.21
Home goals / match
0.94
Away goals / match
+29%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defence advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Estudiantes 1 - 0 - 1 San Lorenzo. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

San Lorenzo
1 : 0
Estudiantes
San Lorenzo
1 : 2
Estudiantes

FAQ

When do Estudiantes and San Lorenzo play?

Estudiantes face San Lorenzo on 18 October 2026 in Primera División at Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Estudiantes and San Lorenzo?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Estudiantes won 1, San Lorenzo won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Estudiantes vs San Lorenzo?

Estudiantes score 1.17 goals per game on average and San Lorenzo 0.72. The Primera División average is 2.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 24% of Estudiantes's matches and 28% of San Lorenzo's.

What form are Estudiantes and San Lorenzo in?

Over the last 5 games Estudiantes have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and San Lorenzo 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Estudiantes vs San Lorenzo?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Estudiantes vs San Lorenzo: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.