Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelle Kenema: match statistics
Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelle Kenema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ethiopia Bunna play Mekelle Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 26 June 2026 at 15:00. Venue: Addis Ababa Stadium. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Ethiopia Bunna: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Mekelle Kenema: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ethiopia Bunna scores 1.05 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. Mekelle Kenema scores 0.79 and concedes 0.95. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ethiopia Bunna 47%, Mekelle Kenema 37%. Over 2.5: Ethiopia Bunna 37%, Mekelle Kenema 34%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Ethiopia Bunna has higher xG: 1.22 vs 1.10. Ethiopia Bunna: 7.5 shots per match, Mekelle Kenema: 6.4.
Match halves
Ethiopia Bunna: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.47. Mekelle Kenema: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.42.
Goals by minute
Ethiopia Bunna: 31-45+ (9 goals). Mekelle Kenema: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Ethiopia Bunna holds an offensive edge at home: on average 8 shots per match, 2.94 on target, and with a conversion rate of 15% this translates to 1.22 goals per match, whereas Mekelle Kenema away averages 6.22 shots, 2.06 on target and scores only 0.61 goals (10% conversion). The visitors, however, defend very solidly on the road — conceding just 0.72 goals on average and keeping 50% clean sheets, while the hosts concede 1.39 goals at home and have only a 17% clean sheet rate, which limits the home advantage. In the last 5 matches Mekelle collected 7 points (1 win, 4 draws), i.e. 1.4 points per game, and Ethiopia only 4 points (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses), i.e. 0.8 points per game, indicating greater result stability from the visitors. xG confirms a balanced picture: hosts have home xG 1.26 versus visitors' away xG 1.06, so the difference in chance quality is small and a slight home edge can be expected, but not a high number of goals. Considering Ethiopia Bunna's higher season goal output (37 vs 27), better shooting efficiency by the hosts and simultaneously a high share of away matches without a goal for Mekelle (61%), I predict a home win; I propose probability distribution 55% for '1', 30% for 'X' and 15% for '2'.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ethiopia Bunna | Mekelle Kenema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mekelle Kenema is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Ethiopia Bunna · 1.2 pts / match - Mekelle Kenema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ethiopia Bunna is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - Ethiopia Bunna · 0.79 goals / match - Mekelle Kenema
Mekelle Kenema is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.03 goals / match - Ethiopia Bunna · 0.95 goals / match - Mekelle Kenema
Ethiopia Bunna scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Mekelle Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 39% (15 of 38 matches).
Mekelle Kenema scores in 53% of matches (20 of 38 matches), while Ethiopia Bunna keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ethiopia Bunna
Over / Under — Mekelle Kenema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ethiopia Bunna is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Ethiopia Bunna · 1.16 pts / match - Mekelle Kenema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ethiopia Bunna - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mekelle Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ethiopia Bunna
Mekelle Kenema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ethiopia Bunna | Liga | Mekelle Kenema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.08 | 1.78 | • 1.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 40% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 37% | 28% | ▲ 34% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 34% | 40% | • 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 66% | 56% | • 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 68% | 59% | ▲ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ethiopia Bunna 0 - 1 - 0 Mekelle Kenema. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelle Kenema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Ethiopia Bunna 3:0 Mekelle Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelle Kenema?
Ethiopia Bunna score 1.05 goals per game on average and Mekelle Kenema 0.79. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Ethiopia Bunna's matches and 37% of Mekelle Kenema's.
What form are Ethiopia Bunna and Mekelle Kenema in?
Over the last 5 games Ethiopia Bunna have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Mekelle Kenema 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelle Kenema?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.