Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Negele Arsi Ketema: match statistics
Negele Arsi Ketema demonstrates significantly better form and statistics in away matches. The visitors occupy 5th place in the table with a 50% win rate away from home, while Ethiopia Nigd Bank sits in 11th position with just a 38% win rate at home. The form from the last five matches clearly favors the visitors (2 PPG vs 1 PPG for the hosts), who have scored 5 goals while conceding only 3. Negele Arsi Ketema has a better goal difference (+2 away), higher ball possession (49% vs 45%), and an impressive 50% clean sheets in away matches. Ethiopia Nigd Bank has recorded a poor streak in their last five home matches (DWDLWWDL), confirming their instability. The visitors' higher average xG (1.26 vs 1.24) and better defense (0.75 goals conceded per away match on average) suggest Negele Arsi Ketema's advantage in this encounter.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Negele Arsi Ketema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ethiopia Nigd Bank played Negele Arsi Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 1 February 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Negele Arsi Ketema: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores 1.18 and concedes 1.18 goals per match. Negele Arsi Ketema scores 1.06 and concedes 0.71. League average: 1.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ethiopia Nigd Bank 71%, Negele Arsi Ketema 35%. Over 2.5: Ethiopia Nigd Bank 41%, Negele Arsi Ketema 29%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Ethiopia Nigd Bank has higher xG: 1.17 vs 1.16. Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 6.8 shots per match, Negele Arsi Ketema: 7.2.
Match halves
Ethiopia Nigd Bank: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.71. Negele Arsi Ketema: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 76-90+ (6 goals). Negele Arsi Ketema: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.72 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Negele Arsi Ketema demonstrates significantly better form and statistics in away matches. The visitors occupy 5th place in the table with a 50% win rate away from home, while Ethiopia Nigd Bank sits in 11th position with just a 38% win rate at home. The form from the last five matches clearly favors the visitors (2 PPG vs 1 PPG for the hosts), who have scored 5 goals while conceding only 3. Negele Arsi Ketema has a better goal difference (+2 away), higher ball possession (49% vs 45%), and an impressive 50% clean sheets in away matches. Ethiopia Nigd Bank has recorded a poor streak in their last five home matches (DWDLWWDL), confirming their instability. The visitors' higher average xG (1.26 vs 1.24) and better defense (0.75 goals conceded per away match on average) suggest Negele Arsi Ketema's advantage in this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ethiopia Nigd Bank | Negele Arsi Ketema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.45 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Negele Arsi Ketema is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank · 2 pts / match - Negele Arsi Ketema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.18 goals / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank · 1.06 goals / match - Negele Arsi Ketema
Negele Arsi Ketema is 66% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.18 goals / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank · 0.71 goals / match - Negele Arsi Ketema
Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores in 82% of matches (14 of 17 matches), while Negele Arsi Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 47% (8 of 17 matches).
Negele Arsi Ketema scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Ethiopia Nigd Bank keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Over / Under - Negele Arsi Ketema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Negele Arsi Ketema is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.94 pts / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank · 1.41 pts / match - Negele Arsi Ketema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ethiopia Nigd Bank - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Negele Arsi Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Negele Arsi Ketema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ethiopia Nigd Bank | Liga | Negele Arsi Ketema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.35 | 1.72 | • 1.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 41% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 41% | 27% | ▲ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 41% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 54% | ▼ 47% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 65% | 57% | ▲ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Negele Arsi Ketema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Ethiopia Nigd Bank 0:2 Negele Arsi Ketema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Negele Arsi Ketema?
Ethiopia Nigd Bank score 1.18 goals per game on average and Negele Arsi Ketema 1.06. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Ethiopia Nigd Bank's matches and 35% of Negele Arsi Ketema's.
What form are Ethiopia Nigd Bank and Negele Arsi Ketema in?
Over the last 5 games Ethiopia Nigd Bank have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Negele Arsi Ketema 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Negele Arsi Ketema?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Negele Arsi Ketema: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.