Ethiopian Medhin vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank: match statistics
Ethiopian Medhin vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ethiopian Medhin play Ethiopia Nigd Bank in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 11 May 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Ethiopian Medhin: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ethiopian Medhin scores 0.78 and concedes 0.84 goals per match. Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores 1.18 and concedes 1.18. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ethiopian Medhin 43%, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 58%. Over 2.5: Ethiopian Medhin 24%, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 47%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Ethiopian Medhin has higher xG: 1.23 vs 1.13. Ethiopian Medhin: 7.3 shots per match, Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 6.6.
Match halves
Ethiopian Medhin: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.32. Ethiopia Nigd Bank: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Ethiopian Medhin: 76-90+ (8 goals). Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict a draw (X): the home side draw 50% of matches at home, while the away side draw 53% on the road, with low win rates of 14% for homes at home and 13% for guests away. The hosts have a defensive edge — they concede only 0.71 goals per game at home and record 29% clean sheets, whereas the visitors concede 1.27 goals away and have 20% clean sheets. Offensively both teams are limited: the hosts score 0.64 goals at home with an xG of 1.28 (indicating poor chance conversion), while the visitors score 0.93 goals away with an xG of 1.08 but are more efficient (shot conversion 16% vs 8% for the hosts) and are less likely to be shut out — share of matches without a goal is 27% for visitors vs 57% for hosts. In the last 5 matches the hosts average 1.8 points per game with a goal difference of 6:4, and the visitors average 1.4 points per game with a goal difference of 5:3, giving a slight form advantage to the hosts. Considering the hosts' lower average goals conceded and the very frequent draws on both sides, I assess probabilities as: Draw 48%, Home win 30%, Away win 22%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ethiopian Medhin | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Ethiopian Medhin · 1 pts / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank is 51% better for: goals scored per match.
0.78 goals / match - Ethiopian Medhin · 1.18 goals / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Ethiopian Medhin is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.84 goals / match - Ethiopian Medhin · 1.18 goals / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Ethiopian Medhin scores in 54% of matches (20 of 37 matches), while Ethiopia Nigd Bank keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).
Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Ethiopian Medhin keeps a clean sheet in 30% (11 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ethiopian Medhin
Over / Under — Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ethiopian Medhin is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Ethiopian Medhin · 1.18 pts / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ethiopian Medhin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ethiopian Medhin
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ethiopian Medhin | Liga | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.62 | 1.78 | ▲ 2.37 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 43% | 40% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 28% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 30% | 40% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 51% | 56% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | • 59% | 59% | ▲ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ethiopian Medhin 0 - 0 - 1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ethiopian Medhin vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Ethiopian Medhin 2:1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ethiopian Medhin vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
Ethiopian Medhin score 0.78 goals per game on average and Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1.18. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Ethiopian Medhin's matches and 58% of Ethiopia Nigd Bank's.
What form are Ethiopian Medhin and Ethiopia Nigd Bank in?
Over the last 5 games Ethiopian Medhin have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ethiopian Medhin vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ethiopian Medhin vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.