Rwanda - National Soccer LeagueStade UmugandaData current as of 15 October 2026

Etincelles vs Marines: match statistics

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Etincelles vs Marines: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Etincelles play Marines in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Stade Umuganda.

Current form

Etincelles: 2-1-1, 1.75 points/match. Marines: 1-1-1, 1.33 points/match.

Goal statistics

Etincelles scores 0.50 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. Marines scores 1.33 and concedes 1.33. League average: 1.54 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Etincelles 0%, Marines 33%. Over 2.5: Etincelles 0%, Marines 33%. League level: BTTS 23%, Over 2.5 15%.

xG, shots and style

Marines has higher xG: 1.76 vs 1.27. Etincelles: 9.8 shots per match, Marines: 13.0.

Match halves

Etincelles: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.25. Marines: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.00.

Goals by minute

Etincelles: 31-45+ (1 goals). Marines: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National Soccer League: 1.54 goals per match, BTTS 23%, Over 2.5 15%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.5Goals scored / match1.33
EtincellesMarines
0.5Goals conceded / match1.33
EtincellesMarines
51%Average possession49%
EtincellesMarines
3.5Shots on target / match5.67
EtincellesMarines

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.75Shots per match13
EtincellesMarines
3.5Shots on target5.67
EtincellesMarines
5.1%Shot conversion10.3%
EtincellesMarines
51%Possession49%
EtincellesMarines
1.27xG for1.76
EtincellesMarines
1.23xG against1.26
EtincellesMarines

Shooting quality

Etincelles: BalancedMarines: Balanced
EtincellesMarines
Accuracy (shots on target)36%44%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.140.23

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Etincelles is 32% better for: last-5 form.

1.75 pts / match - Etincelles · 1.33 pts / match - Marines

Etincelles
DWWL
Season result split
50% W25% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-1
1.75 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-1
1.75 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Last 5 at home
1-1-0
DW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.5Goals conceded: 0.5xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 1.23BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%
Marines
WLD
Season result split
33% W33% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-1
1.33 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-1
1.33 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 away
0-0-1
L
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.3Goals conceded: 1.3xG: 1.76Opponent xG: 1.26BTTS: 33%Over 2.5: 33%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Marines is 166% better for: goals scored per match.

0.5 goals / match - Etincelles · 1.33 goals / match - Marines

Etincelles is 166% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.5 goals / match - Etincelles · 1.33 goals / match - Marines

Etincelles scoring profile: more difficult

Etincelles scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while Marines keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).

Marines scoring profile: more difficult

Marines scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Etincelles keeps a clean sheet in 75% (3 of 4 matches).

2Goals scored (season)4
EtincellesMarines
2Goals conceded (season)4
EtincellesMarines
1Average goals in match2.67
EtincellesMarines
2Goals scored (last 5)4
EtincellesMarines
2Goals conceded (last 5)4
EtincellesMarines

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal67%
EtincellesMarines
0%2 goals67%
EtincellesMarines
0%3 goals0%
EtincellesMarines
0%4 goals0%
EtincellesMarines

How often they concede at least...

25%1 goal33%
EtincellesMarines
25%2 goals33%
EtincellesMarines
0%3 goals33%
EtincellesMarines
0%4 goals33%
EtincellesMarines

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time33%
EtincellesMarines
0%BTTS in both halves0%
EtincellesMarines
0%Scored in both halves0%
EtincellesMarines

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
EtincellesMarines
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
EtincellesMarines
0%BTTS - last 533%
EtincellesMarines

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
EtincellesMarines
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time67%
EtincellesMarines
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time33%
EtincellesMarines

2nd half

50%Min. 1 goal after half-time33%
EtincellesMarines
0%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
EtincellesMarines
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
EtincellesMarines

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Marines is 86% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.25 pts / match - Etincelles · 2.33 pts / match - Marines

Etincelles - half-time state
25% leading50% draw25% trailing
Marines - half-time state
67% leading33% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.25Points per match (1st half)2.33
EtincellesMarines
0.25Goals scored (1st half)1.33
EtincellesMarines
0.25Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
EtincellesMarines
0.5Average goals (1st half)1.67
EtincellesMarines
75%Clean sheet before half-time67%
EtincellesMarines
75%No goal before half-time33%
EtincellesMarines

After half-time (2nd half)

1.25Points per match (2nd half)0.67
EtincellesMarines
0.25Goals scored (2nd half)0
EtincellesMarines
0.25Goals conceded (2nd half)1
EtincellesMarines
0.5Average goals (2nd half)1
EtincellesMarines
75%Clean sheet after half-time67%
EtincellesMarines
75%No goal after half-time100%
EtincellesMarines

Etincelles - second-half results

25% W50% D25% L
5
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Marines - second-half results

0% W67% D33% L
7
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
2
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding49%

Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 33%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Etincelles - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.251.25
Goals scored / match0.30.3
Goals conceded / match0.30.3
Average goals in match0.50.5
1 goal50%50%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet75%75%
No goal75%75%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 25% leading - 50% draw - 25% trailing
2nd half: 25% won - 50% draw - 25% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Marines - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.330.67
Goals scored / match1.30.0
Goals conceded / match0.31.0
Average goals in match1.71.0
1 goal67%33%
2 goals67%33%
3 goals33%33%
Clean sheet67%67%
No goal33%100%
Goal difference+3-3
Half-time: 67% leading - 33% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 67% draw - 33% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 33% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Etincelles
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Marines
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
2
1
31-45
0
1
46-60
0
1
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.83
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
119%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
17%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+91%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
34%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
17%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Etincelles

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.77
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.73
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
54%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
81%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

Marines

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.50
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.50
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.43
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
215%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
145%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-1.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

EtincellesLigaMarines
Average goals in match▼ 1.001.54▲ 2.67
Both teams scored▼ 0%23%▲ 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 0%15%▲ 33%
Clean sheets▲ 75%46%▲ 67%
Goal before half-time▼ 50%62%▲ 67%
Goal after half-time▼ 50%54%▼ 33%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.54
Average goals per match
23%
Both teams scored
15%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
46%
Clean sheets
0.92
Home goals / match
0.62
Away goals / match
+48%
Home attack advantage
+33%
Home defence advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
19%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
54%
1 goal
12%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Etincelles 1 - 0 - 1 Marines. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Marines
2 : 3
Etincelles
Etincelles
0 : 2
Marines

FAQ

When do Etincelles and Marines play?

Etincelles face Marines on 17 October 2026 in National Soccer League at Stade Umuganda. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Etincelles and Marines?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Etincelles won 1, Marines won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Etincelles vs Marines?

Etincelles score 0.50 goals per game on average and Marines 1.33. The National Soccer League average is 1.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 15% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Etincelles's matches and 33% of Marines's.

What form are Etincelles and Marines in?

Over the last 5 games Etincelles have a 2-1-1 record (1.75 points per game) and Marines 1-1-1 (1.33 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Etincelles vs Marines?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.