Etincelles vs Police: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Etincelles played Police in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match was played on 20 December 2025. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

Etincelles: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Police: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Etincelles scores 0.83 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Police scores 1.00 and concedes 0.42. League average: 1.84 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Etincelles 67%, Police 42%. Over 2.5: Etincelles 33%, Police 25%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

xG, shots and style

Etincelles has higher xG: 1.26 vs 1.19. Etincelles: 6.5 shots per match, Police: 6.3.

Match halves

Etincelles: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.42. Police: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Etincelles: 31-45+ (3 goals). Police: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National Soccer League: 1.84 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

50Possession (%)50
EtincellesPolice
0Shots1
EtincellesPolice
0Shots on target1
EtincellesPolice
0.31xG0.49
EtincellesPolice
3Corners8
EtincellesPolice
40Dangerous attacks47
EtincellesPolice
10Fouls17
EtincellesPolice
0Cards0
EtincellesPolice

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.83Goals scored / match1
EtincellesPolice
1.25Goals conceded / match0.42
EtincellesPolice
39%Average possession53%
EtincellesPolice
3Shots on target / match2.83
EtincellesPolice

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.5Shots per match6.33
EtincellesPolice
3Shots on target2.83
EtincellesPolice
12.8%Shot conversion15.8%
EtincellesPolice
39%Possession53%
EtincellesPolice
1.26xG for1.19
EtincellesPolice
1.17xG against0.77
EtincellesPolice

Shooting quality

Etincelles: Counter-attackingPolice: Efficient finishing
EtincellesPolice
Accuracy (shots on target)46%45%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.190.19
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Police is 125% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Etincelles · 1.8 pts / match - Police

Etincelles
DLLWL
Season result split
8% W58% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-7-4
0.83 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-4-2
Last 5 at home
0-3-2
LDDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.40BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%
Police
WDDDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
58% W42% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-5-0
2.17 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-3-0
Last 5 away
2-3-0
WWDDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 0.96Opponent xG: 0.82BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Police is 20% better for: goals scored per match.

0.83 goals / match - Etincelles · 1 goals / match - Police

Police is 198% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.25 goals / match - Etincelles · 0.42 goals / match - Police

Etincelles scoring profile: mixed

Etincelles scores in 67% of matches (8 of 12 matches), while Police keeps a clean sheet in 58% (7 of 12 matches).

Police scoring profile: very strong

Police scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while Etincelles keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).

10Goals scored (season)12
EtincellesPolice
15Goals conceded (season)5
EtincellesPolice
2.08Average goals in match1.42
EtincellesPolice
7Goals scored (last 5)4
EtincellesPolice
10Goals conceded (last 5)2
EtincellesPolice

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal75%
EtincellesPolice
8%2 goals25%
EtincellesPolice
8%3 goals0%
EtincellesPolice
0%4 goals0%
EtincellesPolice

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal42%
EtincellesPolice
33%2 goals0%
EtincellesPolice
8%3 goals0%
EtincellesPolice
8%4 goals0%
EtincellesPolice

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

8%BTTS at half-time8%
EtincellesPolice
0%BTTS in both halves0%
EtincellesPolice
0%Scored in both halves25%
EtincellesPolice

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
EtincellesPolice
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
EtincellesPolice
100%BTTS - last 540%
EtincellesPolice

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

58%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
EtincellesPolice
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time8%
EtincellesPolice
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
EtincellesPolice

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
EtincellesPolice
25%Min. 2 goals after half-time17%
EtincellesPolice
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
EtincellesPolice

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Police is 83% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Etincelles · 1.83 pts / match - Police

Etincelles - half-time state
17% leading50% draw33% trailing
Police - half-time state
42% leading58% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.83
EtincellesPolice
0.42Goals scored (1st half)0.5
EtincellesPolice
0.58Goals conceded (1st half)0.08
EtincellesPolice
1Average goals (1st half)0.58
EtincellesPolice
58%Clean sheet before half-time92%
EtincellesPolice
75%No goal before half-time50%
EtincellesPolice

After half-time (2nd half)

1.08Points per match (2nd half)1.5
EtincellesPolice
0.42Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
EtincellesPolice
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0.33
EtincellesPolice
1.08Average goals (2nd half)0.83
EtincellesPolice
50%Clean sheet after half-time67%
EtincellesPolice
58%No goal after half-time50%
EtincellesPolice

Etincelles - second-half results

25% W33% R42% P
12
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding47%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 8%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Police - second-half results

33% W50% R17% P
22
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.83
PPG before half-time
Lead holding138%

Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Etincelles - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.81.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Police - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.60
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match0.60.6
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Etincelles
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
2
1
16-30
3
4
31-45
2
0
46-60
1
4
61-75
2
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Police
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
5
1
16-30
0
0
31-45
3
0
46-60
1
1
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.6 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Etincelles

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.51
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.43
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
136%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Police

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.42
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
46%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.37
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

EtincellesLigaPolice
Average goals in match 2.081.84 1.42
Both teams scored 67%40% 42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 33%28% 25%
Clean sheets 25%38% 58%
Goal before half-time 58%58% 50%
Goal after half-time 75%65% 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.84
Average goals per match
40%
Both teams scored
28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
38%
Clean sheets
0.92
Home goals / match
0.92
Away goals / match
+0%
Home attack advantage
+0%
Home defence advantage
+3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
58%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
3%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Etincelles vs Police?

The National Soccer League match finished Etincelles 0:1 Police. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Etincelles vs Police?

Etincelles score 0.83 goals per game on average and Police 1.00. The National Soccer League average is 1.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Etincelles's matches and 42% of Police's.

What form are Etincelles and Police in?

Over the last 5 games Etincelles have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Police 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Etincelles vs Police?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Etincelles vs Police: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.