Étoile Carouge vs Aarau: match statistics
Aarau presents significantly better form and statistics this season, occupying 2nd place in the table with a 67% away win rate, while Étoile Carouge sits in 9th position with just 25% wins at home. The visitors are characterized by high offensive efficiency, scoring an average of 2.17 goals per away match and recording 0% of matches without scoring, indicating consistent attacking power. The hosts have a negative goal difference in home matches (-5) and defensive issues, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match. Aarau also shows better shot conversion (14% vs 8%) and more shots on target per match (5.58 vs 4.25), confirming their qualitative advantage. Considering all statistics, a victory for the visitors is the most probable scenario, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the identical form of both teams in the last 5 matches.
Étoile Carouge vs Aarau: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Étoile Carouge played Aarau in Challenge League (Switzerland). The match was played on 6 March 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Étoile Carouge: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Aarau: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Étoile Carouge scores 1.04 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Aarau scores 2.00 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.80 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Étoile Carouge 54%, Aarau 67%. Over 2.5: Étoile Carouge 50%, Aarau 67%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Aarau has higher xG: 1.95 vs 1.36. Étoile Carouge: 12.3 shots per match, Aarau: 17.4.
Match halves
Étoile Carouge: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.58. Aarau: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.17.
Goals by minute
Étoile Carouge: 16-30 (5 goals). Aarau: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Challenge League: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Aarau presents significantly better form and statistics this season, occupying 2nd place in the table with a 67% away win rate, while Étoile Carouge sits in 9th position with just 25% wins at home. The visitors are characterized by high offensive efficiency, scoring an average of 2.17 goals per away match and recording 0% of matches without scoring, indicating consistent attacking power. The hosts have a negative goal difference in home matches (-5) and defensive issues, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match. Aarau also shows better shot conversion (14% vs 8%) and more shots on target per match (5.58 vs 4.25), confirming their qualitative advantage. Considering all statistics, a victory for the visitors is the most probable scenario, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the identical form of both teams in the last 5 matches.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Étoile Carouge | Aarau | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aarau is 92% better for: goals scored per match.
1.04 goals / match - Étoile Carouge · 2 goals / match - Aarau
Aarau is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Étoile Carouge · 1.38 goals / match - Aarau
Étoile Carouge scores in 67% of matches (16 of 24 matches), while Aarau keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 matches).
Aarau scores in 96% of matches (23 of 24 matches), while Étoile Carouge keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Étoile Carouge
Over / Under - Aarau
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Aarau is 51% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.08 pts / match - Étoile Carouge · 1.63 pts / match - Aarau
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Étoile Carouge - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Aarau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Étoile Carouge
Aarau
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Challenge League).
Teams vs league
| Étoile Carouge | Liga | Aarau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.54 | 2.80 | ▲ 3.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 52% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 54% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 28% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 68% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 80% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Étoile Carouge 0 - 0 - 2 Aarau. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Étoile Carouge vs Aarau?
The Challenge League match finished Étoile Carouge 0:3 Aarau. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Étoile Carouge and Aarau?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Étoile Carouge won 0, Aarau won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Étoile Carouge vs Aarau?
Étoile Carouge score 1.04 goals per game on average and Aarau 2.00. The Challenge League average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Étoile Carouge's matches and 67% of Aarau's.
What form are Étoile Carouge and Aarau in?
Over the last 5 games Étoile Carouge have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Aarau 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Étoile Carouge vs Aarau?
The statistical background for Étoile Carouge vs Aarau — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.