Exeter City vs Cardiff City: match statistics
Cardiff City occupies the second position in the table with an impressive record of 22 wins this season, while Exeter City sits in 16th place with just 11 victories. The hosts are going through a form crisis, failing to win any of their last five matches (0-2-3) and conceding as many as 12 goals in that period. Cardiff shows a decisive advantage in ball possession (62% vs 55%) and shot conversion rate (12% vs 10%), as well as a better away goal difference (+8) compared to Exeter at home (+3). The visitors also boast a higher away win rate (44%) than the hosts do at home (39%), coupled with a lower loss percentage. Exeter fails to score in 28% of their home games, which, against Cardiff's solid defense (39% away clean sheets), strongly favors the visitors. Taking all statistics into account, Cardiff City is the favorite in this matchup, although neither team's form over the last five matches is not optimal, increasing the likelihood of a draw.
Exeter City vs Cardiff City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Exeter City played Cardiff City in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 0:4.
Current form
Exeter City: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Cardiff City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Exeter City scores 1.11 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. Cardiff City scores 1.92 and concedes 1.08. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Exeter City 42%, Cardiff City 56%. Over 2.5: Exeter City 42%, Cardiff City 58%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Cardiff City has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.23. Exeter City: 10.7 shots per match, Cardiff City: 14.4.
Match halves
Exeter City: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.75. Cardiff City: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.17.
Goals by minute
Exeter City: 46-60 (10 goals). Cardiff City: 46-60 (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cardiff City occupies the second position in the table with an impressive record of 22 wins this season, while Exeter City sits in 16th place with just 11 victories. The hosts are going through a form crisis, failing to win any of their last five matches (0-2-3) and conceding as many as 12 goals in that period. Cardiff shows a decisive advantage in ball possession (62% vs 55%) and shot conversion rate (12% vs 10%), as well as a better away goal difference (+8) compared to Exeter at home (+3). The visitors also boast a higher away win rate (44%) than the hosts do at home (39%), coupled with a lower loss percentage. Exeter fails to score in 28% of their home games, which, against Cardiff's solid defense (39% away clean sheets), strongly favors the visitors. Taking all statistics into account, Cardiff City is the favorite in this matchup, although neither team's form over the last five matches is not optimal, increasing the likelihood of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Exeter City | Cardiff City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cardiff City is 250% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Exeter City · 1.4 pts / match - Cardiff City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cardiff City is 73% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - Exeter City · 1.92 goals / match - Cardiff City
Cardiff City is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.19 goals / match - Exeter City · 1.08 goals / match - Cardiff City
Exeter City scores in 67% of matches (24 of 36 matches), while Cardiff City keeps a clean sheet in 36% (13 of 36 matches).
Cardiff City scores in 89% of matches (32 of 36 matches), while Exeter City keeps a clean sheet in 31% (11 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Exeter City
Over / Under - Cardiff City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cardiff City is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.03 pts / match - Exeter City · 1.47 pts / match - Cardiff City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Exeter City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cardiff City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (16 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Exeter City
Cardiff City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Exeter City | Liga | Cardiff City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.31 | 2.62 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 52% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 51% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 26% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 70% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 80% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Exeter City 0 - 0 - 1 Cardiff City. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Exeter City vs Cardiff City?
The EFL League One match finished Exeter City 0:4 Cardiff City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Exeter City vs Cardiff City?
Exeter City score 1.11 goals per game on average and Cardiff City 1.92. The EFL League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Exeter City's matches and 56% of Cardiff City's.
What form are Exeter City and Cardiff City in?
Over the last 5 games Exeter City have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Cardiff City 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Exeter City vs Cardiff City?
The statistical background for Exeter City vs Cardiff City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.