Uganda - Uganda Premier LeagueData current as of 23 July 2026

Express vs SC Villa: match statistics

Express crest
Express
0 : 1half-time 0:1
SC Villa crest
SC Villa
130%(0.00)
X25%(0.00)
245%(0.00)

SC Villa displays significantly better form and league standing (4th place) compared to Express (10th place). The visitors hold an impressive record of 7 wins and just 2 losses this season, while the hosts have managed only 3 wins against 5 defeats. In their last 5 matches, SC Villa averaged 2 points per game with a 6:2 goal difference, whereas Express averaged only 0.8 points with a negative 4:9 balance. Although Express wins 60% of their home games, SC Villa maintains a 40% away win rate with superior efficiency (18% shot conversion vs 14%) and better game control (50% possession vs 46%). The higher xG for the hosts (1.28) in home matches does not outweigh the visitors' advantage in quality and form, making SC Villa the favorite for this encounter.

Express vs SC Villa: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Express play SC Villa in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 8 January 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

Express: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. SC Villa: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Express scores 0.93 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. SC Villa scores 1.52 and concedes 0.59. League average: 2.09 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Express 30%, SC Villa 38%. Over 2.5: Express 37%, SC Villa 38%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.

xG, shots and style

SC Villa has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.30. Express: 8.7 shots per match, SC Villa: 9.9.

Match halves

Express: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.50. SC Villa: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.79.

Goals by minute

Express: 16-30 (7 goals). SC Villa: 0-15 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Uganda Premier League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.

Match description

SC Villa displays significantly better form and league standing (4th place) compared to Express (10th place). The visitors hold an impressive record of 7 wins and just 2 losses this season, while the hosts have managed only 3 wins against 5 defeats. In their last 5 matches, SC Villa averaged 2 points per game with a 6:2 goal difference, whereas Express averaged only 0.8 points with a negative 4:9 balance. Although Express wins 60% of their home games, SC Villa maintains a 40% away win rate with superior efficiency (18% shot conversion vs 14%) and better game control (50% possession vs 46%). The higher xG for the hosts (1.28) in home matches does not outweigh the visitors' advantage in quality and form, making SC Villa the favorite for this encounter.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

55Possession (%)45
ExpressSC Villa
7Shots8
ExpressSC Villa
6Shots on target3
ExpressSC Villa
1.32xG1.12
ExpressSC Villa
5Corners3
ExpressSC Villa
62Dangerous attacks55
ExpressSC Villa
10Fouls25
ExpressSC Villa
0Cards0
ExpressSC Villa

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.93Goals scored / match1.52
ExpressSC Villa
1.03Goals conceded / match0.59
ExpressSC Villa
45%Average possession50%
ExpressSC Villa
3.5Shots on target / match3.69
ExpressSC Villa

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.7Shots per match9.93
ExpressSC Villa
3.5Shots on target3.69
ExpressSC Villa
10.7%Shot conversion15.3%
ExpressSC Villa
45%Possession50%
ExpressSC Villa
1.3xG for1.42
ExpressSC Villa
1.67xG against1.22
ExpressSC Villa

Shooting quality

Express: BalancedSC Villa: Efficient finishing
ExpressSC Villa
Accuracy (shots on target)40%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.41

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

SC Villa is 43% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Express · 2 pts / match - SC Villa

Express
LWWDL
Season result split
30% W33% R37% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-10-11
1.23 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-4-4
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WDLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.38Opponent xG: 1.73BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
SC Villa
LDWWW
Season result split
59% W24% R17% P
Season (W-D-L)
17-7-5
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +27
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-2-5
Last 5 away
4-0-1
WWLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 1.17BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

SC Villa is 63% better for: goals scored per match.

0.93 goals / match - Express · 1.52 goals / match - SC Villa

SC Villa is 75% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.03 goals / match - Express · 0.59 goals / match - SC Villa

Express scoring profile: more difficult

Express scores in 43% of matches (13 of 30 matches), while SC Villa keeps a clean sheet in 52% (15 of 29 matches).

SC Villa scoring profile: strong

SC Villa scores in 76% of matches (22 of 29 matches), while Express keeps a clean sheet in 40% (12 of 30 matches).

28Goals scored (season)44
ExpressSC Villa
31Goals conceded (season)17
ExpressSC Villa
1.97Average goals in match2.1
ExpressSC Villa
6Goals scored (last 5)9
ExpressSC Villa
6Goals conceded (last 5)5
ExpressSC Villa

How often they score at least...

43%1 goal76%
ExpressSC Villa
23%2 goals38%
ExpressSC Villa
20%3 goals21%
ExpressSC Villa
7%4 goals10%
ExpressSC Villa

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal48%
ExpressSC Villa
30%2 goals10%
ExpressSC Villa
10%3 goals0%
ExpressSC Villa
3%4 goals0%
ExpressSC Villa

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time0%
ExpressSC Villa
0%BTTS in both halves0%
ExpressSC Villa
17%Scored in both halves21%
ExpressSC Villa

BTTS and goal count

23%Min. 3 goals and BTTS28%
ExpressSC Villa
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
ExpressSC Villa
40%BTTS - last 560%
ExpressSC Villa

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

47%Min. 1 goal before half-time59%
ExpressSC Villa
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time24%
ExpressSC Villa
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
ExpressSC Villa

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time59%
ExpressSC Villa
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
ExpressSC Villa
7%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
ExpressSC Villa

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

SC Villa is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.17 pts / match - Express · 1.55 pts / match - SC Villa

Express - half-time state
17% leading67% draw17% trailing
SC Villa - half-time state
38% leading41% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.17Points per match (1st half)1.55
ExpressSC Villa
0.43Goals scored (1st half)0.69
ExpressSC Villa
0.47Goals conceded (1st half)0.24
ExpressSC Villa
0.9Average goals (1st half)0.93
ExpressSC Villa
63%Clean sheet before half-time79%
ExpressSC Villa
70%No goal before half-time62%
ExpressSC Villa

After half-time (2nd half)

1.17Points per match (2nd half)1.72
ExpressSC Villa
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.79
ExpressSC Villa
0.57Goals conceded (2nd half)0.31
ExpressSC Villa
1.07Average goals (2nd half)1.1
ExpressSC Villa
57%Clean sheet after half-time69%
ExpressSC Villa
70%No goal after half-time45%
ExpressSC Villa

Express - second-half results

27% W37% R37% P
35
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding176%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

SC Villa - second-half results

38% W59% R3% P
45
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+13
Goal difference (1st half)
50
Second-half points
+14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.55
PPG before half-time
Lead holding155%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Express - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.80
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal40%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
SC Villa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.20
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.41.4
1 goal60%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+3+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Express
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
7
7
16-30
4
5
31-45
5
4
46-60
3
7
61-75
7
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

SC Villa
ScoredConceded
11
3
0-15
8
2
16-30
2
3
31-45
7
0
46-60
10
5
61-75
6
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.04
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
34%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
33%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
14%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Express

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.37
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.64
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
74%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
124%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

SC Villa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.73
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-17.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.63
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
183%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
47%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

ExpressLigaSC Villa
Average goals in match 1.972.09 2.10
Both teams scored 30%38% 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 37%35% 38%
Clean sheets 40%39% 52%
Goal before half-time 47%59% 59%
Goal after half-time 67%62% 59%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.09
Average goals per match
38%
Both teams scored
35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
1.26
Home goals / match
0.83
Away goals / match
+52%
Home attack advantage
+34%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Express 0 - 1 - 0 SC Villa. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Express vs SC Villa?

The Uganda Premier League match finished Express 0:1 SC Villa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Express vs SC Villa?

Express score 0.93 goals per game on average and SC Villa 1.52. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 30% of Express's matches and 38% of SC Villa's.

What form are Express and SC Villa in?

Over the last 5 games Express have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and SC Villa 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Express vs SC Villa?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.