Express vs SC Villa: match statistics
SC Villa displays significantly better form and league standing (4th place) compared to Express (10th place). The visitors hold an impressive record of 7 wins and just 2 losses this season, while the hosts have managed only 3 wins against 5 defeats. In their last 5 matches, SC Villa averaged 2 points per game with a 6:2 goal difference, whereas Express averaged only 0.8 points with a negative 4:9 balance. Although Express wins 60% of their home games, SC Villa maintains a 40% away win rate with superior efficiency (18% shot conversion vs 14%) and better game control (50% possession vs 46%). The higher xG for the hosts (1.28) in home matches does not outweigh the visitors' advantage in quality and form, making SC Villa the favorite for this encounter.
Express vs SC Villa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Express played SC Villa in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match was played on 8 January 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Express: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. SC Villa: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Express scores 1.00 and concedes 1.27 goals per match. SC Villa scores 1.45 and concedes 0.64. League average: 2.34 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Express 27%, SC Villa 45%. Over 2.5: Express 45%, SC Villa 45%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
SC Villa has higher xG: 1.28 vs 1.24. Express: 8.1 shots per match, SC Villa: 7.5.
Match halves
Express: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.55. SC Villa: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Express: 46-60 (3 goals). SC Villa: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.34 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
SC Villa displays significantly better form and league standing (4th place) compared to Express (10th place). The visitors hold an impressive record of 7 wins and just 2 losses this season, while the hosts have managed only 3 wins against 5 defeats. In their last 5 matches, SC Villa averaged 2 points per game with a 6:2 goal difference, whereas Express averaged only 0.8 points with a negative 4:9 balance. Although Express wins 60% of their home games, SC Villa maintains a 40% away win rate with superior efficiency (18% shot conversion vs 14%) and better game control (50% possession vs 46%). The higher xG for the hosts (1.28) in home matches does not outweigh the visitors' advantage in quality and form, making SC Villa the favorite for this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Express | SC Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.46 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
SC Villa is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Express · 2 pts / match - SC Villa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
SC Villa is 45% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Express · 1.45 goals / match - SC Villa
SC Villa is 98% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.27 goals / match - Express · 0.64 goals / match - SC Villa
Express scores in 45% of matches (5 of 11 matches), while SC Villa keeps a clean sheet in 45% (5 of 11 matches).
SC Villa scores in 91% of matches (10 of 11 matches), while Express keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Express
Over / Under - SC Villa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Express - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
SC Villa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 64%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Express
SC Villa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Express | Liga | SC Villa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.27 | 2.34 | ▼ 2.09 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 27% | 46% | • 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 45% | 42% | ▲ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 32% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 64% | 61% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 73% | 62% | ▲ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- SC VillaGoalFrank Ssebuufu
FAQ
What was the result of Express vs SC Villa?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Express 0:1 SC Villa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Express vs SC Villa?
Express score 1.00 goals per game on average and SC Villa 1.45. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Express's matches and 45% of SC Villa's.
What form are Express and SC Villa in?
Over the last 5 games Express have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and SC Villa 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Express vs SC Villa?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.