Eyüpspor vs Rizespor: match statistics

Rizespor boasts a very strong away profile: they have won both of their matches on the road so far, scoring an average of 1.5 goals and conceding just 0.5 per game. The visitors are also more effective at creating danger, registering 4.5 shots on target per match compared with Eyüpspor’s 2.5, while their shot conversion rate stands at 13%, versus 9% for the hosts. Eyüpspor do enjoy 60% possession at home, but they fail to score in half of such matches and have yet to keep a clean sheet. Rizespor average 1.37 xG away from home, slightly more than Eyüpspor’s 1.28 xG at home, while also remaining unbeaten on the road. The last five-match record also marginally favors the visitors, who have averaged 1.2 points per game compared with 0.8 for the hosts, making an away win the most likely outcome.

The strongest signal against BTTS is Eyüpspor’s lack of attacking efficiency so far: the hosts have yet to score despite averaging 24.5 shots, 6.5 shots on target, and an xG of 2.50. Rizespor have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches and conceded just 0.5 goals on average, increasing the likelihood that the hosts will fail to score again. The visitors, however, have the potential to score themselves, with an average xG of 1.37, while Eyüpspor concede 1.5 goals on average and have recorded 1.66 xG against them over their last five matches. BTTS has occurred in only 40% of the teams’ last five matches, well below the league average of 53%. A scenario in which at least one team fails to score is therefore more likely than a Goal/Goal outcome.

Recent form points to moderate scoring potential: Eyüpspor averaged 1.0 goal in their last 5 matches, while Rizespor averaged 0.8. The hosts conceded 1.8 goals per game during this period, but Rizespor scored only 0.8 on average, despite a high xG of 2.00. Eyüpspor created significantly fewer quality chances, with an average xG of 0.94, while Rizespor’s defense allowed an average xG of 0.95. Season data shows that neither team has played a match featuring at least 4 goals, while the percentage of games finishing Under 3.5 goals stands at 100% for both sides. The projected total of 2.45 goals suggests that the strongest edge lies with Under 3.5 goals, even though the 2.5 line remains considerably more balanced.

Rizespor has a clearly superior record in the matches played so far: they average 3.0 points per game, have won 100% of their matches and score an average of 1.5 goals, while Eyüpspor have lost both matches, failed to score and concede 1.5 goals per game. The visitors’ advantage is particularly evident before the break, as they score an average of 1.0 goal and have not conceded any, whereas the hosts have failed to score and were trailing at half-time in 50% of their matches. Rizespor were leading after 45 minutes in 50% of their games, while Eyüpspor have never gone into the break with the lead. After half-time, the hosts still look defensively vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.0 goal while averaging zero goals scored. Although Eyüpspor generate a high xG of 2.50 and register 6.5 shots on target per match, their lack of finishing and Rizespor’s 50% clean-sheet rate support the visitors maintaining their lead until full-time.