Fafe vs AD Marco 09: match statistics
Fafe displays vastly superior home form with a 64% win rate and an impressive goal difference (+7) at home. The hosts have won four of their last five home matches, confirming their solidity at their own stadium. AD Marco 09 performs very poorly on the road, winning only 9% of away games and failing to score in 55% of fixtures. The difference in average xG (1.98 for Fafe vs 1.45 for the visitors) and the possession advantage (56% vs 48%) further support the hosts. AD Marco 09's weak form in their last five matches (0.8 PPG) and a negative goal difference (-7) away make a Fafe victory the most likely scenario.
Fafe vs AD Marco 09: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fafe played AD Marco 09 in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 15 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Fafe: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. AD Marco 09: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fafe scores 1.27 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. AD Marco 09 scores 0.82 and concedes 1.27. League average: 2.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fafe 50%, AD Marco 09 50%. Over 2.5: Fafe 41%, AD Marco 09 41%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Fafe has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.40. Fafe: 12.1 shots per match, AD Marco 09: 11.1.
Match halves
Fafe: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.86. AD Marco 09: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.32.
Goals by minute
Fafe: 76-90+ (7 goals). AD Marco 09: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.21 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fafe displays vastly superior home form with a 64% win rate and an impressive goal difference (+7) at home. The hosts have won four of their last five home matches, confirming their solidity at their own stadium. AD Marco 09 performs very poorly on the road, winning only 9% of away games and failing to score in 55% of fixtures. The difference in average xG (1.98 for Fafe vs 1.45 for the visitors) and the possession advantage (56% vs 48%) further support the hosts. AD Marco 09's weak form in their last five matches (0.8 PPG) and a negative goal difference (-7) away make a Fafe victory the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fafe | AD Marco 09 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fafe is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Fafe · 0.8 pts / match - AD Marco 09
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fafe is 55% better for: goals scored per match.
1.27 goals / match - Fafe · 0.82 goals / match - AD Marco 09
Fafe is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.14 goals / match - Fafe · 1.27 goals / match - AD Marco 09
Fafe scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while AD Marco 09 keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).
AD Marco 09 scores in 59% of matches (13 of 22 matches), while Fafe keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fafe
Over / Under - AD Marco 09
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fafe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
AD Marco 09 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fafe
AD Marco 09
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Fafe | Liga | AD Marco 09 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.41 | 2.21 | ▼ 2.09 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 41% | 38% | ▲ 41% |
| Clean sheets | • 32% | 32% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 66% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 73% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Fafe 0 - 2 - 0 AD Marco 09. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fafe vs AD Marco 09?
The Liga 3 match finished Fafe 1:1 AD Marco 09. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Fafe and AD Marco 09?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Fafe won 0, AD Marco 09 won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Fafe vs AD Marco 09?
Fafe score 1.27 goals per game on average and AD Marco 09 0.82. The Liga 3 average is 2.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Fafe's matches and 50% of AD Marco 09's.
What form are Fafe and AD Marco 09 in?
Over the last 5 games Fafe have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and AD Marco 09 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fafe vs AD Marco 09?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.