Fafe vs CD Trofense: match statistics
Fafe vs CD Trofense: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fafe played CD Trofense in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Fafe: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. CD Trofense: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fafe scores 1.60 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. CD Trofense scores 0.40 and concedes 1.40. League average: 2.46 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fafe 60%, CD Trofense 20%. Over 2.5: Fafe 60%, CD Trofense 20%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Fafe has higher xG: 1.45 vs 0.86. Fafe: 12.0 shots per match, CD Trofense: 6.6.
Match halves
Fafe: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.00. CD Trofense: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.20.
Goals by minute
Fafe: 46-60 (3 goals). CD Trofense: 16-30 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.46 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fafe have a clear edge over their last five matches: they won 3, scored 10 goals and conceded 3, while CD Trofense recorded 1 win, scored 3 and conceded 11. At home, Fafe create chances worth an average xG of 1.64, whereas Trofense manage just 0.81 xG away and have yet to score on the road. The hosts average 15 shots per home match, compared with 6.5 for the visitors away from home, boosting Fafe’s chances of breaking through their opponents’ defence. Caution is still warranted, however: both of Fafe’s home matches so far have ended in draws, with the team averaging just 0.5 goals in those games. Even so, their greater chance creation and significantly better recent results point to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest indication against both teams scoring is CD Trofense’s away record: an average of 0.0 goals scored, with no goals in 100% of these matches. The visitors average just 1 shot on target away from home, and their xG stands at 0.81, further limiting their chances of scoring. Fafe do concede an average of 1.67 goals at home, but have let in just 3 goals across their last 5 matches overall, while Trofense have scored 3 in that period. The hosts are clearly more likely to score, having netted 10 goals in their last 5 matches compared with the visitors’ 3, but a BTTS - Yes bet also requires a Trofense goal. Therefore, the more likely scenario is that at least one team fails to score, even though 40% of each team’s last 5 matches saw both sides find the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Fafe have averaged 2.0 goals in their last 5 matches, while Trofense have conceded 2.2 over the same period, giving the hosts a clear edge in attacking potential. However, the visitors have scored just 0.6 goals per game across their last 5 matches and failed to score in any of the away games included in the statistics. In those same statistics, under 3.5 goals landed in 67% of Fafe’s home matches and 100% of Trofense’s away matches. The hosts’ recent form increases the risk of three goals, but with a projected total of 2.35 goals and the visitors’ limited scoring efficiency, Under 3.5 goals remains the strongest pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time followed by a Fafe win is the most likely outcome: CD Trofense were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches and did not lead in any of them. The visitors have also failed to score in both of their away matches so far, limiting the chances of them taking the lead in the first half. Recent form over the last 5 matches points to a later home victory: Fafe won 3 times and scored an average of 2 goals, while Trofense lost 3 times and conceded an average of 2.2 goals. The difference after the break is particularly notable—Fafe scored an average of 1.2 goals in the second half, while Trofense conceded 1.2. However, this pick carries some uncertainty, as Fafe did not lead at the break in any of the 3 home matches considered and were trailing in 2 of them.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fafe | CD Trofense | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 24% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fafe is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Fafe · 0.8 pts / match - CD Trofense
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fafe is 300% better for: goals scored per match.
1.6 goals / match - Fafe · 0.4 goals / match - CD Trofense
Fafe is 75% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.8 goals / match - Fafe · 1.4 goals / match - CD Trofense
Fafe scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while CD Trofense keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
CD Trofense scores in 40% of matches (2 of 5 matches), while Fafe keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fafe
Over / Under - CD Trofense
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fafe is 300% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.6 pts / match - Fafe · 0.4 pts / match - CD Trofense
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fafe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
CD Trofense - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fafe
CD Trofense
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Fafe | Liga | CD Trofense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.40 | 2.46 | ▼ 1.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 47% | ▼ 20% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 47% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 32% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 68% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 69% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- FafeGoalMário Nuno Leite Correia
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Fafe 0 - 0 - 2 CD Trofense. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fafe vs CD Trofense?
The Liga 3 match finished Fafe 2:2 CD Trofense. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Fafe and CD Trofense?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Fafe won 0, CD Trofense won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Fafe vs CD Trofense?
Fafe score 1.60 goals per game on average and CD Trofense 0.40. The Liga 3 average is 2.46 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Fafe's matches and 20% of CD Trofense's.
What form are Fafe and CD Trofense in?
Over the last 5 games Fafe have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and CD Trofense 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fafe vs CD Trofense?
The statistical background for Fafe vs CD Trofense — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.