Scotland - PremiershipFalkirk Community StadiumData current as of 01 November 2026

Falkirk vs Celtic: match statistics

Falkirk crest
Falkirk
2 : 0half-time 2:0
Celtic crest
Celtic

Falkirk vs Celtic: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Falkirk played Celtic in Premiership (Scotland). The match was played on 1 November 2026. Venue: Falkirk Community Stadium. Final score: 2:0.

Current form

Falkirk: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Celtic: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Falkirk scores 1.18 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. Celtic scores 2.45 and concedes 0.73. League average: 2.84 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Falkirk 64%, Celtic 55%. Over 2.5: Falkirk 55%, Celtic 64%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 59%.

xG, shots and style

Celtic has higher xG: 2.42 vs 1.39. Falkirk: 12.4 shots per match, Celtic: 20.7.

Match halves

Falkirk: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.45. Celtic: half-time lead 55%, second-half goals 0.91.

Goals by minute

Falkirk: 31-45+ (4 goals). Celtic: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premiership: 2.84 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 59%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-5. Average goals 2.80, BTTS 40%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Celtic have won all 5 of their away matches so far, while Falkirk have lost 3 of their 5 home games. The visitors average 2.4 goals scored away from home with an xG of 2.67, while the hosts score 1.4 goals per game at home with an xG of 1.66, pointing to a clear Celtic advantage in chance creation. The defensive gap is just as evident: Celtic concede an average of 0.6 goals away from home, compared with Falkirk’s 1.4 at home. Falkirk have indeed won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 9 goals, but Celtic have netted 13 over the same span, despite conceding as many as 8. That latter figure gives the hosts a chance to score, but with the visitors more clinical away from home, a Celtic win is the more likely outcome.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

In their last 5 matches, both teams scored in 80% of games, well above their season rates: 40% for Falkirk and 60% for Celtic. Celtic’s attack offers a strong signal for a goal: the visitors have averaged 2.6 goals across their last 5 appearances and have not failed to score in a single match this season. Falkirk’s case to score is supported by their average of 1.8 goals in their last 5 matches, as well as Celtic conceding 1.6 goals per game over that period. The attacking potential is also reflected in both teams’ season xG: 2.03 for Falkirk and 2.67 for Celtic. Season clean-sheet rates of 40% for both sides temper confidence in the prediction, but recent scoring form and Celtic’s weaker defence point towards BTTS - Yes.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

In the teams’ last 5 matches, at least 3 goals were scored in 80% of games. Falkirk averaged 1.8 goals, while Celtic averaged 2.6. Celtic generate an average xG of 2.67 compared with Falkirk’s 2.03, indicating greater attacking potential for the visitors. Season data shows the 1.5-goal line was cleared in 80% of Celtic’s matches and 60% of Falkirk’s, while the 3.5-goal line was reached in just 20% of matches for each team. Therefore, Over 1.5 goals is the strongest pick: the forecast of 3.05 goals makes it more likely than the more demanding Over 2.5 goals.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Celtic are slight favorites to lead at the break: like Falkirk, they were ahead at half-time in 3 of the 5 matches covered by the statistics, and both teams conceded an average of 0.4 goals before the break. The visitors’ advantage over the full match is supported by their higher xG, indicating the quality of chances created, at 2.67 compared with the hosts’ 2.03, as well as an average of 10.4 shots on target versus 7.0. Celtic won all 5 matches included in the season statistics, while Falkirk won 4 of 5, and after the break the visitors scored an average of 1.2 goals compared with the hosts’ 0.6. Celtic leading at half-time and holding on therefore has the strongest overall case, although Falkirk’s average of 2.0 goals before the break compared with Celtic’s 1.2 makes a home win from half-time a significant alternative.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

30Possession (%)70
FalkirkCeltic
6Shots24
FalkirkCeltic
2Shots on target9
FalkirkCeltic
0.71xG2.73
FalkirkCeltic
0Corners14
FalkirkCeltic
25Dangerous attacks82
FalkirkCeltic
18Fouls11
FalkirkCeltic
1Cards3
FalkirkCeltic

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.18Goals scored / match2.45
FalkirkCeltic
1.09Goals conceded / match0.73
FalkirkCeltic
47%Average possession61%
FalkirkCeltic
4.18Shots on target / match8.64
FalkirkCeltic

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.36Shots per match20.73
FalkirkCeltic
4.18Shots on target8.64
FalkirkCeltic
9.6%Shot conversion11.8%
FalkirkCeltic
47%Possession61%
FalkirkCeltic
1.39xG for2.42
FalkirkCeltic
1.62xG against1.3
FalkirkCeltic

Shooting quality

Falkirk: BalancedCeltic: Dominant
FalkirkCeltic
Accuracy (shots on target)34%42%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Falkirk
DLWWW
Season result split
36% W27% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-4
1.36 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-3
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
LLWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.61Opponent xG: 1.47BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Celtic
LWWWD
Season result split
82% W9% D9% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-1-1
2.55 pts / match · goal difference +19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-0-0
Last 5 away
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 2.19Opponent xG: 1.47BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Celtic is 108% better for: goals scored per match.

1.18 goals / match - Falkirk · 2.45 goals / match - Celtic

Celtic is 49% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.09 goals / match - Falkirk · 0.73 goals / match - Celtic

Falkirk scoring profile: very strong

Falkirk scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while Celtic keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 matches).

Celtic scoring profile: very strong

Celtic scores in 91% of matches (10 of 11 matches), while Falkirk keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 matches).

13Goals scored (season)27
FalkirkCeltic
12Goals conceded (season)8
FalkirkCeltic
2.27Average goals in match3.18
FalkirkCeltic
8Goals scored (last 5)13
FalkirkCeltic
4Goals conceded (last 5)5
FalkirkCeltic

How often they score at least...

82%1 goal91%
FalkirkCeltic
27%2 goals73%
FalkirkCeltic
9%3 goals27%
FalkirkCeltic
0%4 goals18%
FalkirkCeltic

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal64%
FalkirkCeltic
36%2 goals9%
FalkirkCeltic
0%3 goals0%
FalkirkCeltic
0%4 goals0%
FalkirkCeltic

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

27%BTTS at half-time27%
FalkirkCeltic
0%BTTS in both halves0%
FalkirkCeltic
18%Scored in both halves36%
FalkirkCeltic

BTTS and goal count

45%Min. 3 goals and BTTS55%
FalkirkCeltic
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
FalkirkCeltic
60%BTTS - last 560%
FalkirkCeltic

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time82%
FalkirkCeltic
45%Min. 2 goals before half-time55%
FalkirkCeltic
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time45%
FalkirkCeltic

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
FalkirkCeltic
18%Min. 2 goals after half-time27%
FalkirkCeltic
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time9%
FalkirkCeltic

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Celtic is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.55 pts / match - Falkirk · 1.82 pts / match - Celtic

Falkirk - half-time state
36% leading45% draw18% trailing
Celtic - half-time state
55% leading18% draw27% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.55Points per match (1st half)1.82
FalkirkCeltic
0.73Goals scored (1st half)1.55
FalkirkCeltic
0.55Goals conceded (1st half)0.55
FalkirkCeltic
1.27Average goals (1st half)2.09
FalkirkCeltic
55%Clean sheet before half-time55%
FalkirkCeltic
45%No goal before half-time36%
FalkirkCeltic

After half-time (2nd half)

1.36Points per match (2nd half)2.18
FalkirkCeltic
0.45Goals scored (2nd half)0.91
FalkirkCeltic
0.55Goals conceded (2nd half)0.18
FalkirkCeltic
1Average goals (2nd half)1.09
FalkirkCeltic
55%Clean sheet after half-time82%
FalkirkCeltic
55%No goal after half-time36%
FalkirkCeltic

Falkirk - second-half results

36% W27% D36% L
17
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.55
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Celtic - second-half results

64% W27% D9% L
20
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+11
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.82
PPG before half-time
Lead holding149%

Leads at half-time in 55% of matches and wins 82%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Falkirk - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.60
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+40
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Celtic - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.20
Goals scored / match1.80.8
Goals conceded / match1.00.0
Average goals in match2.80.8
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals60%0%
Clean sheet20%100%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+4+4
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 9

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Falkirk
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
1
2
16-30
4
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
4
0
61-75
0
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Celtic
ScoredConceded
7
1
0-15
2
2
16-30
8
3
31-45
6
1
46-60
3
1
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.73
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+3%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
75%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Falkirk

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.53
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
78%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.64
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Celtic

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.60
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.57
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
186%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
48%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.55
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.6
Late goals
4% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 26% come in the first quarter-hour.
4%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).

Teams vs league

FalkirkLigaCeltic
Average goals in match▼ 2.272.84▲ 3.18
Both teams scored▲ 64%57%▼ 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 55%59%▲ 64%
Clean sheets▲ 27%23%▲ 36%
Goal before half-time▼ 73%82%• 82%
Goal after half-time▲ 82%79%▼ 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.84
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.51
Home goals / match
1.32
Away goals / match
+14%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. FalkirkGoalEthan Ross
  2. FalkirkSubstitutionOn: Jack McMillanOff: Ryan Strain
  3. CelticYellow cardHaissem Hassan
  4. FalkirkYellow cardOwen Eames
  5. FalkirkGoalScott TanserAssist: Owen Eames
  6. CelticSubstitutionOn: James ForrestOff: Callum Osmand
  7. CelticYellow cardJames Forrest
  8. FalkirkSubstitutionOn: Connor AllanOff: Scott Tanser
  9. CelticYellow cardLiam Scales

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): Falkirk 0 - 0 - 5 Celtic. Average goals 2.80, both teams scored in 40% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Falkirk vs Celtic?

The Premiership match finished Falkirk 2:0 Celtic. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Falkirk and Celtic?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Falkirk won 0, Celtic won 5 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Falkirk vs Celtic?

Falkirk score 1.18 goals per game on average and Celtic 2.45. The Premiership average is 2.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Falkirk's matches and 55% of Celtic's.

What form are Falkirk and Celtic in?

Over the last 5 games Falkirk have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Celtic 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Falkirk vs Celtic?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.