Scotland - PremiershipData current as of 23 July 2026

Falkirk vs Hibernian: match statistics

Falkirk crest
Falkirk
1 : 3half-time 0:3
Hibernian crest
Hibernian

Falkirk vs Hibernian: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Falkirk play Hibernian in Premiership (Scotland). The match date is 9 May 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:3.

Current form

Falkirk: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Hibernian: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Falkirk scores 1.32 and concedes 1.63 goals per match. Hibernian scores 1.53 and concedes 1.16. League average: 2.78 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Falkirk 53%, Hibernian 53%. Over 2.5: Falkirk 58%, Hibernian 55%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Hibernian has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.34. Falkirk: 11.8 shots per match, Hibernian: 12.0.

Match halves

Falkirk: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.74. Hibernian: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.74.

Goals by minute

Falkirk: 61-75 (12 goals). Hibernian: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premiership: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 67%.

Match description

I predict a home win (1). Falkirk averages 1.67 goals per home match with an xG of 1.47 versus Hibernian’s 1.24 goals and xG 1.23 on the road. Falkirk averages 13 shots and 4.28 on target per home game and fails to score in only 17% of matches, while Hibernian averages 10.24 shots, 3.88 on target and fails to score in 41% of away fixtures, indicating a clear offensive edge for the hosts. Defensively the matchup is more balanced — Hibernian concedes 1.35 goals away versus Falkirk’s 1.44 at home, but xG against is 1.48 for Hibernian and 1.40 for Falkirk, suggesting differences in the quality of chances conceded. Over the last 5 matches Falkirk have scored 8 goals and averaged 1.4 points per game, while Hibernian have scored only 5 and averaged 0.8 points; Falkirk have also conceded 11 in that period, pointing to an open game with a slight advantage for the home side.

Half-by-half

0 : 3
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

68Possession (%)32
FalkirkHibernian
8Shots10
FalkirkHibernian
1Shots on target4
FalkirkHibernian
0.97xG1.06
FalkirkHibernian
6Corners5
FalkirkHibernian
54Dangerous attacks20
FalkirkHibernian
10Fouls13
FalkirkHibernian
0Cards1
FalkirkHibernian

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.32Goals scored / match1.53
FalkirkHibernian
1.63Goals conceded / match1.16
FalkirkHibernian
51%Average possession47%
FalkirkHibernian
3.76Shots on target / match4.39
FalkirkHibernian

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.79Shots per match11.97
FalkirkHibernian
3.76Shots on target4.39
FalkirkHibernian
11.2%Shot conversion12.7%
FalkirkHibernian
51%Possession47%
FalkirkHibernian
1.34xG for1.38
FalkirkHibernian
1.48xG against1.42
FalkirkHibernian

Shooting quality

Falkirk: BalancedHibernian: Counter-attacking
FalkirkHibernian
Accuracy (shots on target)32%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Hibernian is 100% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Falkirk · 1.2 pts / match - Hibernian

Falkirk
LWLLL
Season result split
37% W18% R45% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-7-17
1.29 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-5-8
Last 5 at home
1-0-4
LLWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.8xG: 1.13Opponent xG: 1.55BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Hibernian
LLWWL
Season result split
39% W32% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
15-12-11
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-6-6
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DDLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 0.76Opponent xG: 2.03BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Hibernian is 16% better for: goals scored per match.

1.32 goals / match - Falkirk · 1.53 goals / match - Hibernian

Hibernian is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.63 goals / match - Falkirk · 1.16 goals / match - Hibernian

Falkirk scoring profile: strong

Falkirk scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while Hibernian keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).

Hibernian scoring profile: very strong

Hibernian scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while Falkirk keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).

50Goals scored (season)58
FalkirkHibernian
62Goals conceded (season)44
FalkirkHibernian
2.95Average goals in match2.68
FalkirkHibernian
5Goals scored (last 5)7
FalkirkHibernian
14Goals conceded (last 5)7
FalkirkHibernian

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal71%
FalkirkHibernian
37%2 goals53%
FalkirkHibernian
16%3 goals26%
FalkirkHibernian
5%4 goals3%
FalkirkHibernian

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal71%
FalkirkHibernian
45%2 goals34%
FalkirkHibernian
26%3 goals8%
FalkirkHibernian
8%4 goals3%
FalkirkHibernian

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

52%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time26%
FalkirkHibernian
8%BTTS in both halves8%
FalkirkHibernian
18%Scored in both halves39%
FalkirkHibernian

BTTS and goal count

45%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
FalkirkHibernian
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
FalkirkHibernian
60%BTTS - last 580%
FalkirkHibernian

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
FalkirkHibernian
47%Min. 2 goals before half-time45%
FalkirkHibernian
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
FalkirkHibernian

2nd half

87%Min. 1 goal after half-time74%
FalkirkHibernian
39%Min. 2 goals after half-time37%
FalkirkHibernian
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
FalkirkHibernian

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Hibernian is 66% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.95 pts / match - Falkirk · 1.58 pts / match - Hibernian

Falkirk - half-time state
21% leading32% draw47% trailing
Hibernian - half-time state
39% leading39% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.95Points per match (1st half)1.58
FalkirkHibernian
0.58Goals scored (1st half)0.79
FalkirkHibernian
0.89Goals conceded (1st half)0.55
FalkirkHibernian
1.47Average goals (1st half)1.34
FalkirkHibernian
39%Clean sheet before half-time55%
FalkirkHibernian
68%No goal before half-time42%
FalkirkHibernian

After half-time (2nd half)

1.42Points per match (2nd half)1.37
FalkirkHibernian
0.74Goals scored (2nd half)0.74
FalkirkHibernian
0.74Goals conceded (2nd half)0.61
FalkirkHibernian
1.47Average goals (2nd half)1.34
FalkirkHibernian
47%Clean sheet after half-time53%
FalkirkHibernian
42%No goal after half-time47%
FalkirkHibernian

Falkirk - second-half results

39% W24% R37% P
36
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
54
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.95
PPG before half-time
Lead holding176%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Hibernian - second-half results

32% W42% R26% P
60
Half-time points
30
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
52
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.58
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Falkirk - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.201.40
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match2.00.8
Average goals in match2.41.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-8-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Hibernian - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.80
Goals scored / match1.20.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.81.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference+3-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Falkirk
ScoredConceded
8
4
0-15
8
12
16-30
6
18
31-45
10
9
46-60
12
8
61-75
6
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Hibernian
ScoredConceded
10
3
0-15
9
7
16-30
11
11
31-45
9
4
46-60
4
9
61-75
15
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.82
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+42%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Falkirk

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
83%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
137%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.69
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
12% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
12%

Hibernian

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-15.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
129%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).

Teams vs league

FalkirkLigaHibernian
Average goals in match 2.952.78 2.68
Both teams scored 53%52% 53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 58%53% 55%
Clean sheets 24%28% 29%
Goal before half-time 74%76% 76%
Goal after half-time 87%80% 74%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.78
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.59
Home goals / match
1.19
Away goals / match
+34%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Falkirk 1 - 1 - 1 Hibernian. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Falkirk vs Hibernian?

The Premiership match finished Falkirk 1:3 Hibernian. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Falkirk and Hibernian?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Falkirk won 1, Hibernian won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Falkirk vs Hibernian?

Falkirk score 1.32 goals per game on average and Hibernian 1.53. The Premiership average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Falkirk's matches and 53% of Hibernian's.

What form are Falkirk and Hibernian in?

Over the last 5 games Falkirk have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Hibernian 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Falkirk vs Hibernian?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.