Famalicão vs Alverca: match statistics
Famalicão vs Alverca: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Famalicão played Alverca in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 12 October 2026. Venue: Estádio Municipal de Famalicão. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
Famalicão: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Alverca: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Famalicão scores 1.29 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Alverca scores 1.29 and concedes 1.57. League average: 2.71 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Famalicão 57%, Alverca 71%. Over 2.5: Famalicão 43%, Alverca 57%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Alverca has higher xG: 1.28 vs 1.17. Famalicão: 9.6 shots per match, Alverca: 11.9.
Match halves
Famalicão: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.43. Alverca: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
Famalicão: 0-15 (4 goals). Alverca: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.71 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Alverca have a slight edge thanks to their more effective away attack, averaging 1.33 goals per match compared with Famalicão’s 0.67 at home. The visitors also average 5 shots on target in away matches, while the hosts manage only 2.33 at home, although the gap in the quality of chances created is narrower — xG stands at 1.28 and 1.08, respectively. The teams have each scored 7 goals across their last five matches, but Alverca won two of those games, compared with just one for Famalicão. The visitors’ chances are tempered by a defence that concedes an average of 2 goals away from home, making a draw a realistic outcome, especially as the hosts have drawn 2 of their 3 home matches so far.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The case for both teams to score is supported by how often these results occur: 75% of Famalicão’s matches and 67% of Alverca’s. Famalicão average 1.25 goals at home, while Alverca concede 2.0 goals away and have yet to keep a clean sheet on the road, strengthening the hosts’ chances of finding the net. The visitors also have reason to believe they can score: they average 1.33 goals away, while the hosts concede 1.25 at home. However, caution is warranted, as Alverca have failed to score in 33% of their away matches, and across their last five matches, Famalicão have seen both teams score in only 40%, compared with 80% for Alverca. Despite this risk, the weight of the season data and Alverca’s lack of away clean sheets point towards a BTTS - Yes pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line was cleared in 75% of Famalicão matches and 100% of Alverca matches. The hosts score an average of 1.25 goals per match, while the visitors concede 2.00, giving Famalicão a clear chance to score. Alverca average 1.33 goals, although Famalicão concede just 1.25, so the outlook for the visitors is more cautious. The combined projected total of 2.73 goals is close to the league average of 2.74, but Over 2.5 goals has landed in 50% of the hosts’ matches and 67% of the visitors’ matches, making the higher line less compelling.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal in favour of Famalicão leading at the break is their home record: the hosts were ahead at half-time in 2 of 4 matches and never trailed, while Alverca were behind at the break in 2 of 3 away games. Famalicão have not conceded in the first half at home, whereas Alverca have conceded an average of 1.0 goals before half-time away from home, strengthening the case for an early home advantage. The likelihood of the hosts holding their lead is supported by Alverca scoring an average of just 0.33 goals in the second half away from home, while conceding an average of 2.0 goals across full matches. However, 1/1 is not a decisive pick: Famalicão have won only 25% of their home matches, and Alverca led at the break in 3 of their last 5 games, so I also assign a significant probability to a half-time draw followed by a home win.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Famalicão | Alverca | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Alverca is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Famalicão · 1.4 pts / match - Alverca
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Famalicão is 57% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Famalicão · 1.57 goals / match - Alverca
Famalicão scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Alverca keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
Alverca scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Famalicão keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Famalicão
Over / Under - Alverca
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Famalicão is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.71 pts / match - Famalicão · 1.57 pts / match - Alverca
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Famalicão - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Alverca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 29%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Famalicão
Alverca
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Famalicão | Liga | Alverca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.29 | 2.71 | ▲ 2.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 50% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 54% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 28% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 71% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 76% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Famalicão 1 - 0 - 1 Alverca. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Famalicão vs Alverca?
The Liga NOS match finished Famalicão 1:4 Alverca. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Famalicão and Alverca?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Famalicão won 1, Alverca won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Famalicão vs Alverca?
Famalicão score 1.29 goals per game on average and Alverca 1.29. The Liga NOS average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Famalicão's matches and 71% of Alverca's.
What form are Famalicão and Alverca in?
Over the last 5 games Famalicão have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Alverca 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Famalicão vs Alverca?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Famalicão vs Alverca: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.