FAR Rabat vs Difaâ El Jadida: match statistics
FAR Rabat vs Difaâ El Jadida: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
FAR Rabat played Difaâ El Jadida in Botola Pro (Morocco). The match was played on 4 June 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
FAR Rabat: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Difaâ El Jadida: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
FAR Rabat scores 1.52 and concedes 0.57 goals per match. Difaâ El Jadida scores 0.90 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.16 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: FAR Rabat 43%, Difaâ El Jadida 48%. Over 2.5: FAR Rabat 43%, Difaâ El Jadida 38%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
FAR Rabat has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.05. FAR Rabat: 12.2 shots per match, Difaâ El Jadida: 8.0.
Match halves
FAR Rabat: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.95. Difaâ El Jadida: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.52.
Goals by minute
FAR Rabat: 46-60 (8 goals). Difaâ El Jadida: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Botola Pro: 2.16 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
FAR Rabat holds a clear home advantage: they have scored 32 goals this season (1.6 per home match, xG 1.55) and have a +11 goal differential, while Difaâ El Jadida have 19 goals this season (0.8 away, xG 1.00 and away goal differential 0). The hosts average 12 shots and 4.4 on target at home versus 7.1 and 2.6 for the visitors; a conversion rate of 13% versus 11% indicates the superiority in chance volume and quality favors FAR. Defensively FAR looks more solid — conceding 0.5 goals on average at home with 60% clean sheets in home matches, whereas Difaâ concedes 0.8 away and records 40% clean sheets. The last 5 matches for both teams show similar PPG of 1.2 and identical form of 1 win/3 draws/1 loss, so seasonal statistics and home advantage are decisive. Considering the xG edge (1.55 vs 1.00), higher number of shots on target and zero home losses (0% defeats), I expect the hosts to win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In the last 5 matches both teams scored in 80% of fixtures, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per team, which is the strongest signal in favor of goals from both sides. Season BTTS rates are moderate: FAR Rabat 45% and Difaâ 50%, while the league BTTS level is 51%, so the season figures do not contradict the recent form. xG and defensive metrics suggest a chance of goals — average xG against is 1.46 for the home side and 1.56 for the visitors, and in the last 5 matches the away side has xG against of 1.8, indicating greater vulnerability of Difaâ to conceding. FAR hold an attacking edge (32 goals scored vs 19 for the visitors, 8.73 shots and 3.0 on target vs 7.1 and 2.6), therefore I forecast BTTS - Yes with a probability of around 70%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Average xG are 1.10 for FAR Rabat and 1.00 for Difaâ, with xG conceded at 1.46 (FAR) and 1.56 (Difaâ); averaging these gives expected goals of 1.33 for the home side and 1.23 for the away side, i.e. a total of 2.56 goals. From a Poisson model with λ=2.56 the probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) is ~73%, Over 2.5 ~47%, and Over 3.5 ~26%. Seasonal metrics confirm this: FAR has Over 1.5 in 64% and Over 2.5 in 45% of matches, Difaâ has Over 1.5 in 50% and Over 2.5 in 30%, and both teams scored in 45% (home) and 50% (away) of cases; in the last 5 matches the both-teams-to-score rate is 80%. The hosts average 8.73 shots and 3.0 on target per game versus the visitors' 7.1 shots and 2.6 on target, with equal shot conversion of 11%, which supports a higher goal count than season averages alone (1.0 and 0.8 goals per game). On this basis the strongest signal is Over at the 1.5 line (pick: Over 1.5), while the 2.5 and 3.5 lines carry materially lower probabilities.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is 1/1 (FAR Rabat leads at the break and maintains the win). The home side led at half-time in 36% of home matches and score an average of 0.55 goals by the break versus 0.2 for Difaâ, while FAR’s home-season wins are 36%, which strongly supports taking a lead at the break and holding the victory. At the same time the visitors are dangerous after the break: Difaâ averages 1.6 points in the second half and wins 40% of second halves, whereas the hosts concede an average of 0.82 goals after the break, so turnaround scenarios (1/2) and guests overturning a draw (X/2) carry significant probability. The high share of draws this season (home draws 45% and away draws 40%) and moderate xG (1.1 versus 1.0) also justify the inclusion of draw scenarios (X/X and X/1). Overall the home advantage in the first half (0.55 vs 0.2) is the strongest signal, hence the recommendation of 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| FAR Rabat | Difaâ El Jadida | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
FAR Rabat is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - FAR Rabat · 1.2 pts / match - Difaâ El Jadida
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
FAR Rabat is 69% better for: goals scored per match.
1.52 goals / match - FAR Rabat · 0.9 goals / match - Difaâ El Jadida
FAR Rabat is 75% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.57 goals / match - FAR Rabat · 1 goals / match - Difaâ El Jadida
FAR Rabat scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while Difaâ El Jadida keeps a clean sheet in 38% (8 of 21 matches).
Difaâ El Jadida scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while FAR Rabat keeps a clean sheet in 57% (12 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FAR Rabat
Over / Under - Difaâ El Jadida
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
FAR Rabat is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - FAR Rabat · 1.19 pts / match - Difaâ El Jadida
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FAR Rabat - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Difaâ El Jadida - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
FAR Rabat
Difaâ El Jadida
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Botola Pro).
Teams vs league
| FAR Rabat | Liga | Difaâ El Jadida | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.10 | 2.16 | ▼ 1.90 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 51% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 43% | 38% | • 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 57% | 31% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 48% | 61% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 74% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: FAR Rabat 1 - 0 - 0 Difaâ El Jadida. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of FAR Rabat vs Difaâ El Jadida?
The Botola Pro match finished FAR Rabat 2:1 Difaâ El Jadida. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before FAR Rabat vs Difaâ El Jadida?
FAR Rabat score 1.52 goals per game on average and Difaâ El Jadida 0.90. The Botola Pro average is 2.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 43% of FAR Rabat's matches and 48% of Difaâ El Jadida's.
What form are FAR Rabat and Difaâ El Jadida in?
Over the last 5 games FAR Rabat have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Difaâ El Jadida 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FAR Rabat vs Difaâ El Jadida?
The statistical background for FAR Rabat vs Difaâ El Jadida — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.