Portugal - LigaProEstádio de São LuísData current as of 20 October 2026

Farense vs FC Penafiel: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Farense vs FC Penafiel: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Farense play FC Penafiel in LigaPro (Portugal). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Estádio de São Luís.

Current form

Farense: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. FC Penafiel: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Farense scores 1.86 and concedes 0.86 goals per match. FC Penafiel scores 2.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.33 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Farense 71%, FC Penafiel 57%. Over 2.5: Farense 71%, FC Penafiel 71%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 44%.

xG, shots and style

Farense has higher xG: 1.89 vs 1.53. Farense: 16.4 shots per match, FC Penafiel: 13.0.

Match halves

Farense: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.29. FC Penafiel: half-time lead 71%, second-half goals 0.86.

Goals by minute

Farense: 46-60 (5 goals). FC Penafiel: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

LigaPro: 2.33 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 44%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.87)
(3.34)
(4.07)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.86Goals scored / match2
FarenseFC Penafiel
0.86Goals conceded / match1
FarenseFC Penafiel
51%Average possession50%
FarenseFC Penafiel
6.86Shots on target / match5.43
FarenseFC Penafiel

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.43Shots per match13
FarenseFC Penafiel
6.86Shots on target5.43
FarenseFC Penafiel
11.3%Shot conversion15.4%
FarenseFC Penafiel
51%Possession50%
FarenseFC Penafiel
1.89xG for1.53
FarenseFC Penafiel
1.34xG against1.3
FarenseFC Penafiel

Shooting quality

Farense: AttackingFC Penafiel: Efficient finishing
FarenseFC Penafiel
Accuracy (shots on target)42%42%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

FC Penafiel is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Farense · 2.4 pts / match - FC Penafiel

Farense
DLDWW
Season result split
57% W29% D14% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-1
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-0
Last 5 at home
3-1-0
WDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.69Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
FC Penafiel
WWWWL
Season result split
57% W14% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-2
1.86 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 away
2-1-0
DWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.33BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

FC Penafiel is 8% better for: goals scored per match.

1.86 goals / match - Farense · 2 goals / match - FC Penafiel

Farense is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.86 goals / match - Farense · 1 goals / match - FC Penafiel

Farense scoring profile: very strong

Farense scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while FC Penafiel keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).

FC Penafiel scoring profile: very strong

FC Penafiel scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Farense keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).

13Goals scored (season)14
FarenseFC Penafiel
6Goals conceded (season)7
FarenseFC Penafiel
2.71Average goals in match3
FarenseFC Penafiel
8Goals scored (last 5)12
FarenseFC Penafiel
4Goals conceded (last 5)4
FarenseFC Penafiel

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal86%
FarenseFC Penafiel
57%2 goals71%
FarenseFC Penafiel
29%3 goals29%
FarenseFC Penafiel
14%4 goals14%
FarenseFC Penafiel

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal71%
FarenseFC Penafiel
14%2 goals29%
FarenseFC Penafiel
0%3 goals0%
FarenseFC Penafiel
0%4 goals0%
FarenseFC Penafiel

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time0%
FarenseFC Penafiel
0%BTTS in both halves0%
FarenseFC Penafiel
43%Scored in both halves57%
FarenseFC Penafiel

BTTS and goal count

57%Min. 3 goals and BTTS57%
FarenseFC Penafiel
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
FarenseFC Penafiel
60%BTTS - last 560%
FarenseFC Penafiel

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time86%
FarenseFC Penafiel
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time57%
FarenseFC Penafiel
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
FarenseFC Penafiel

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
FarenseFC Penafiel
71%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
FarenseFC Penafiel
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
FarenseFC Penafiel

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

FC Penafiel is 78% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.29 pts / match - Farense · 2.29 pts / match - FC Penafiel

Farense - half-time state
29% leading43% draw29% trailing
FC Penafiel - half-time state
71% leading14% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.29Points per match (1st half)2.29
FarenseFC Penafiel
0.57Goals scored (1st half)1.14
FarenseFC Penafiel
0.43Goals conceded (1st half)0.29
FarenseFC Penafiel
1Average goals (1st half)1.43
FarenseFC Penafiel
57%Clean sheet before half-time86%
FarenseFC Penafiel
57%No goal before half-time29%
FarenseFC Penafiel

After half-time (2nd half)

2.14Points per match (2nd half)1.86
FarenseFC Penafiel
1.29Goals scored (2nd half)0.86
FarenseFC Penafiel
0.43Goals conceded (2nd half)0.71
FarenseFC Penafiel
1.71Average goals (2nd half)1.57
FarenseFC Penafiel
57%Clean sheet after half-time43%
FarenseFC Penafiel
14%No goal after half-time29%
FarenseFC Penafiel

Farense - second-half results

57% W43% D0% L
9
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding197%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

FC Penafiel - second-half results

57% W14% D29% L
16
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding80%

Leads at half-time in 71% of matches and wins 57%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Farense - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.80
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
FC Penafiel - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.402.60
Goals scored / match1.21.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.61.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal20%0%
Goal difference+4+4
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Farense
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
2
1
16-30
1
2
31-45
5
1
46-60
2
0
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

FC Penafiel
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
2
0
16-30
4
0
31-45
2
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.86
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
123%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
64%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-65%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
74%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Farense

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.55
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.45
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.48
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
163%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
72%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

FC Penafiel

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.77
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.47
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
168%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
88%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.54
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LigaPro).

Teams vs league

FarenseLigaFC Penafiel
Average goals in match▲ 2.712.33▲ 3.00
Both teams scored▲ 71%43%▲ 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 71%44%▲ 71%
Clean sheets▼ 29%32%▼ 29%
Goal before half-time▼ 71%75%▲ 86%
Goal after half-time▲ 86%76%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.33
Average goals per match
43%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.14
Home goals / match
1.19
Away goals / match
+-4%
Home attack advantage
+-4%
Home defence advantage
+3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
3%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Farense 0 - 2 - 0 FC Penafiel. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

FC Penafiel
1 : 1
SC Farense
SC Farense
0 : 0
FC Penafiel

FAQ

When do Farense and FC Penafiel play?

Farense face FC Penafiel on 24 October 2026 in LigaPro at Estádio de São Luís. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Farense and FC Penafiel?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Farense won 0, FC Penafiel won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Farense vs FC Penafiel?

Farense score 1.86 goals per game on average and FC Penafiel 2.00. The LigaPro average is 2.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Farense's matches and 57% of FC Penafiel's.

What form are Farense and FC Penafiel in?

Over the last 5 games Farense have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and FC Penafiel 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Farense vs FC Penafiel?

The statistical background for Farense vs FC Penafiel — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.