Farense vs Leixões: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched contest between teams with similar form. Farense displays poor home form with just 20% wins at home and as many as 70% of matches without a scored goal, making them unpredictable in attack. Leixões, on the other hand, shows a clear improvement in form with 1.8 points per match in their last five games and remains unbeaten during this period (2 wins, 3 draws). However, the visitors struggle defensively, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per away game. Considering the hosts' high FTS% and the visitors' solid recent run, the most likely scenario seems to be a draw or a narrow victory for either side. The xG statistics (1.91 vs 1.21) favor Farense, but their execution leaves much to be desired, making a draw the most sensible prediction.
Farense vs Leixões: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Farense play Leixões in LigaPro (Portugal). The match date is 14 February 2026 at 16:30. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Farense: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Leixões: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Farense scores 0.91 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. Leixões scores 1.35 and concedes 1.62. League average: 2.44 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Farense 35%, Leixões 56%. Over 2.5: Farense 32%, Leixões 59%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Farense has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.41. Farense: 12.0 shots per match, Leixões: 11.9.
Match halves
Farense: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.56. Leixões: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Farense: 76-90+ (11 goals). Leixões: 16-30 (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
LigaPro: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched contest between teams with similar form. Farense displays poor home form with just 20% wins at home and as many as 70% of matches without a scored goal, making them unpredictable in attack. Leixões, on the other hand, shows a clear improvement in form with 1.8 points per match in their last five games and remains unbeaten during this period (2 wins, 3 draws). However, the visitors struggle defensively, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per away game. Considering the hosts' high FTS% and the visitors' solid recent run, the most likely scenario seems to be a draw or a narrow victory for either side. The xG statistics (1.91 vs 1.21) favor Farense, but their execution leaves much to be desired, making a draw the most sensible prediction.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Farense | Leixões | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Leixões is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Farense · 2.4 pts / match - Leixões
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Leixões is 48% better for: goals scored per match.
0.91 goals / match - Farense · 1.35 goals / match - Leixões
Farense is 49% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.09 goals / match - Farense · 1.62 goals / match - Leixões
Farense scores in 53% of matches (18 of 34 matches), while Leixões keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
Leixões scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while Farense keeps a clean sheet in 35% (12 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Farense
Over / Under — Leixões
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Leixões is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.12 pts / match - Farense · 1.35 pts / match - Leixões
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Farense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Leixões - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (15 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Farense
Leixões
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LigaPro).
Teams vs league
| Farense | Liga | Leixões | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.44 | ▲ 2.97 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 46% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 45% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 32% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 64% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | • 74% | 75% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Farense 1 - 0 - 0 Leixões. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Farense vs Leixões?
The LigaPro match finished Farense 1:2 Leixões. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Farense vs Leixões?
Farense score 0.91 goals per game on average and Leixões 1.35. The LigaPro average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Farense's matches and 56% of Leixões's.
What form are Farense and Leixões in?
Over the last 5 games Farense have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Leixões 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Farense vs Leixões?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Farense vs Leixões: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.