Fasil Ketema vs Sheger Ketema: match statistics
Fasil Ketema vs Sheger Ketema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fasil Ketema play Sheger Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 29 May 2026 at 17:00. Venue: Polisportivo Comunale di Tarvisio. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Fasil Ketema: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Sheger Ketema: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fasil Ketema scores 0.74 and concedes 0.74 goals per match. Sheger Ketema scores 0.92 and concedes 0.81. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fasil Ketema 26%, Sheger Ketema 41%. Over 2.5: Fasil Ketema 18%, Sheger Ketema 22%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Fasil Ketema has higher xG: 1.14 vs 1.11. Fasil Ketema: 7.2 shots per match, Sheger Ketema: 7.3.
Match halves
Fasil Ketema: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.42. Sheger Ketema: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
Fasil Ketema: 76-90+ (7 goals). Sheger Ketema: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
The match looks evenly matched and a draw is the most likely outcome given similar offensive-defensive profiles: the home side average xG 1.10 at home and concede 0.81 goals per game, while the visitors generate xG 1.24 on the road and concede 1.07 goals per game. This season the hosts have recorded 11 wins and sit 6th, whereas Sheger have 8 wins and 13th place, giving the hosts a minimal table advantage. In the last 5 matches the hosts scored 5 and conceded 8 (averaging 0.8 points per game), while the visitors scored 3 and conceded 4 (averaging 1.0 point), which suggests better recent points stability for the visitors. Offensively the visitors are more efficient — conversion 13% vs the hosts' 11% and a lower share of goalless away matches 20% vs 38% for the hosts — which increases the likelihood of goals from both sides. Considering the hosts' defensive solidity at home (clean sheets in 50% of home games) together with the visitors' higher attacking efficiency, I predict a draw; proposed probabilities: home 35%, draw 40%, away 25%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fasil Ketema | Sheger Ketema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sheger Ketema is 11% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Fasil Ketema · 2 pts / match - Sheger Ketema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sheger Ketema is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
0.74 goals / match - Fasil Ketema · 0.92 goals / match - Sheger Ketema
Fasil Ketema is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.74 goals / match - Fasil Ketema · 0.81 goals / match - Sheger Ketema
Fasil Ketema scores in 58% of matches (22 of 38 matches), while Sheger Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 49% (18 of 37 matches).
Sheger Ketema scores in 68% of matches (25 of 37 matches), while Fasil Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 55% (21 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Fasil Ketema
Over / Under — Sheger Ketema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fasil Ketema is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / match - Fasil Ketema · 1.19 pts / match - Sheger Ketema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fasil Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sheger Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fasil Ketema
Sheger Ketema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Fasil Ketema | Liga | Sheger Ketema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.47 | 1.78 | • 1.73 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 26% | 40% | • 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 18% | 28% | ▼ 22% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 55% | 40% | ▲ 49% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 34% | 56% | ▼ 43% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 61% | 59% | ▲ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Fasil Ketema 0 - 1 - 0 Sheger Ketema. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fasil Ketema vs Sheger Ketema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Fasil Ketema 0:1 Sheger Ketema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fasil Ketema vs Sheger Ketema?
Fasil Ketema score 0.74 goals per game on average and Sheger Ketema 0.92. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 26% of Fasil Ketema's matches and 41% of Sheger Ketema's.
What form are Fasil Ketema and Sheger Ketema in?
Over the last 5 games Fasil Ketema have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Sheger Ketema 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fasil Ketema vs Sheger Ketema?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Fasil Ketema vs Sheger Ketema: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.