FC Arouca vs CD Nacional: match statistics
FC Arouca vs CD Nacional: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
FC Arouca played CD Nacional in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 1 November 2026. Venue: Estádio Municipal de Arouca. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
FC Arouca: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. CD Nacional: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
FC Arouca scores 1.33 and concedes 0.78 goals per match. CD Nacional scores 1.11 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: FC Arouca 33%, CD Nacional 44%. Over 2.5: FC Arouca 44%, CD Nacional 56%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
FC Arouca has higher xG: 1.23 vs 1.15. FC Arouca: 11.2 shots per match, CD Nacional: 10.7.
Match halves
FC Arouca: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67. CD Nacional: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
FC Arouca: 16-30 (3 goals). CD Nacional: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
FC Arouca have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while CD Nacional have lost 4 of 5, which points to the home side. Arouca have won 75% of their home games, scoring an average of 2 goals, whereas Nacional are yet to win away and have conceded an average of 2 goals. At home, the hosts average 5 shots on target per match, compared with Nacional’s 2.75 away, while their xG stands at 1.37 versus Nacional’s 0.93. The defensive numbers also favour Arouca: they concede an average of 0.75 goals at home, while the visitors have yet to keep a clean sheet away. Although Arouca have conceded 7 goals in their last 5 matches, their edge in chance creation and both teams’ results in their respective home and away roles point to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The biggest obstacle to both teams scoring is CD Nacional’s attacking efficiency: the visitors have failed to score in 50% of their matches and have averaged just 0.8 goals per game across their last five fixtures. FC Arouca have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their matches, further increasing the likelihood that Nacional will be held scoreless. The hosts have considerably better scoring prospects: their average xG is 1.33 compared with the visitors’ 0.93, while Nacional have conceded an average of 2.2 goals per game over their last five matches. Although the visitors could take advantage of Arouca conceding an average of 1.4 goals during that period, the share of matches in which both teams scored stands at just 40% for the hosts and 50% for the visitors. Therefore, it is slightly more likely that at least one team will fail to score (BTTS - No).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
At least 2 goals were scored in 80% of Arouca’s matches and 75% of Nacional’s, providing the strongest indication in favor of Over 1.5 goals. Nacional concede an average of 2.0 goals per match and have yet to keep a clean sheet, while Arouca have averaged 1.8 goals across their last 5 matches. On the other hand, Arouca concede an average of 2.0 goals per match this season, although the visitors have scored just 0.8 goals per game in their last 5 matches. I expect around 3.0 goals in total, but Nacional’s lower scoring output gives Over 1.5 a clearer edge than Over 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is Arouca leading at the break and holding that advantage through to full time: the hosts were ahead at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Nacional did not lead at the break in any of their 4 away games. Arouca have won 3 of their last 5 matches, whereas Nacional have lost 4, further strengthening the hosts’ advantage in the projected full-time result. Across those same five matches, Arouca averaged 1.8 goals scored, while Nacional conceded 2.2; the teams’ average xG figures are 1.33 and 0.93 respectively, suggesting that the hosts create chances more frequently. Even if Arouca do not establish an advantage before half-time, they have a case for the second half: they have recently averaged 1.2 goals after the break, compared with Nacional’s 0.4. A half-time draw remains a significant alternative, having occurred in 2 of Arouca’s 5 home matches and 2 of Nacional’s 4 away games; however, the hosts’ better form makes 1/1 the strongest HT/FT scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| FC Arouca | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
FC Arouca is 167% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - FC Arouca · 0.6 pts / match - CD Nacional
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
FC Arouca is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - FC Arouca · 1.11 goals / match - CD Nacional
FC Arouca is 156% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.78 goals / match - FC Arouca · 2 goals / match - CD Nacional
FC Arouca scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while CD Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
CD Nacional scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while FC Arouca keeps a clean sheet in 56% (5 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FC Arouca
Over / Under - CD Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
FC Arouca is 85% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - FC Arouca · 0.78 pts / match - CD Nacional
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FC Arouca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
CD Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
FC Arouca
CD Nacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| FC Arouca | Liga | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.11 | 2.75 | ▲ 3.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 49% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 56% | • 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 56% | 28% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 73% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 77% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): FC Arouca 2 - 0 - 0 CD Nacional. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of FC Arouca vs CD Nacional?
The Liga NOS match finished FC Arouca 1:0 CD Nacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between FC Arouca and CD Nacional?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches FC Arouca won 2, CD Nacional won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before FC Arouca vs CD Nacional?
FC Arouca score 1.33 goals per game on average and CD Nacional 1.11. The Liga NOS average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 33% of FC Arouca's matches and 44% of CD Nacional's.
What form are FC Arouca and CD Nacional in?
Over the last 5 games FC Arouca have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and CD Nacional 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FC Arouca vs CD Nacional?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.