FC Bacău vs Dumbrăviţa: match statistics

FC Bacău remain unbeaten in their last five matches, recording 3 wins and 2 draws, scoring 11 goals and conceding just 2. At home, the hosts have won 67% of their matches, average 2 goals per game and have yet to concede, while their average xG against is just 0.83. Dumbrăviţa have failed to win any of their last five matches, scoring only 3 goals during that spell and suffering 3 defeats. Away from home, the visitors concede an average of 1.5 goals, have not kept a clean sheet, and fail to score in half of such matches. Although Dumbrăviţa create chances worth an average of 1.52 xG, their shot conversion rate stands at just 9%, compared with 27% for FC Bacău, which clearly favours the hosts.

The strongest argument against BTTS - Yes is not Dumbrăviţa’s poor current scoring form: they have averaged just 0.6 goals in their last 5 matches, while failing to score in 50% of their league fixtures. FC Bacău are currently very solid defensively, having conceded just 2 goals in total across their last five appearances, or only 0.4 per match, with BTTS landing in just 20% of their games during this period. The hosts should have chances to score, as Dumbrăviţa have conceded an average of 1.2 goals in their last 5 matches and allow opponents an xG of 1.85. Although neither side has kept a clean sheet so far this season, the visitors’ attacking profile is clearly weaker: they average 4.5 shots on target compared with the hosts’ 1.67, while their recent goal production remains low. Therefore, the scenario in which FC Bacău win to nil or Dumbrăviţa fail to convert their chances is more likely than both teams scoring. BTTS - No is the preferred outcome.

FC Bacău are in very good form: over their last 5 matches, they have averaged 2.2 goals scored and just 0.4 conceded, with 11 goals for and 2 against. Over the same period, Dumbrăviţa have scored only 0.6 goals per game, while their average xG stood at 1.14 compared with 1.02 xG against FC Bacău. The hosts should create more chances, as their opponents have allowed an average of 1.85 xG in their last five appearances; however, the visitors’ profile limits their own attacking contribution. Although 80% of FC Bacău’s last five matches went Over 2.5 goals, the projected total of 2.35 goals and only 20% of such matches for Dumbrăviţa support an Under 3.5 goals selection. The Under 3.5 goals line has the edge, as at least four goals would be required to beat it, while the hosts’ defence is currently highly effective at restricting opponents.

FC Bacău are clearly in better current form, averaging 2.2 goals scored and just 0.4 conceded over their last five matches, compared with Dumbrăviţa’s averages of 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. The hosts held a lead at the break in 60% of their recent matches and averaged 1.0 goal in the first half, whereas the visitors failed to lead at half-time in any of those games and managed just 0.2 first-half goals on average. Bacău’s advantage should continue after the interval, as they average 1.2 goals in the second half and have conceded none in their last five matches, while Dumbrăviţa have scored 0.4 and conceded 0.8 goals during that period. The most likely HT/FT scenario is therefore a home lead at half-time followed by a home win, although Dumbrăviţa’s 80% rate of half-time draws leaves a significant chance of the draw/home variant.