FC Cincinnati II vs Connecticut United: match statistics
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FC Cincinnati II vs Connecticut United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
FC Cincinnati II play Connecticut United in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match date is 16 August 2026. Venue: Northern Kentucky University Stadium.
Current form
FC Cincinnati II: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Connecticut United: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
FC Cincinnati II scores 1.05 and concedes 2.14 goals per match. Connecticut United scores 1.90 and concedes 1.76. League average: 3.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: FC Cincinnati II 52%, Connecticut United 81%. Over 2.5: FC Cincinnati II 67%, Connecticut United 86%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Connecticut United has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.28. FC Cincinnati II: 10.1 shots per match, Connecticut United: 13.6.
Match halves
FC Cincinnati II: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.67. Connecticut United: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
FC Cincinnati II: 76-90+ (6 goals). Connecticut United: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.24 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 50%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| FC Cincinnati II | Connecticut United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Connecticut United is 1100% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - FC Cincinnati II · 2.4 pts / match - Connecticut United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Connecticut United is 81% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - FC Cincinnati II · 1.9 goals / match - Connecticut United
Connecticut United is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.14 goals / match - FC Cincinnati II · 1.76 goals / match - Connecticut United
FC Cincinnati II scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Connecticut United keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 21 matches).
Connecticut United scores in 86% of matches (18 of 21 matches), while FC Cincinnati II keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FC Cincinnati II
Over / Under - Connecticut United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Connecticut United is 108% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.62 pts / match - FC Cincinnati II · 1.29 pts / match - Connecticut United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FC Cincinnati II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Connecticut United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
FC Cincinnati II
Connecticut United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| FC Cincinnati II | Liga | Connecticut United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.19 | 3.24 | ▲ 3.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 61% | ▲ 81% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 67% | 66% | ▲ 86% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 22% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 75% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 83% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): FC Cincinnati II 0 - 0 - 2 Connecticut United. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
When do FC Cincinnati II and Connecticut United play?
FC Cincinnati II face Connecticut United on 16 August 2026 in MLS Next Pro at Northern Kentucky University Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between FC Cincinnati II and Connecticut United?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches FC Cincinnati II won 0, Connecticut United won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before FC Cincinnati II vs Connecticut United?
FC Cincinnati II score 1.05 goals per game on average and Connecticut United 1.90. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 52% of FC Cincinnati II's matches and 81% of Connecticut United's.
What form are FC Cincinnati II and Connecticut United in?
Over the last 5 games FC Cincinnati II have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Connecticut United 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FC Cincinnati II vs Connecticut United?
The statistical background for FC Cincinnati II vs Connecticut United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.