FC Cincinnati II vs Connecticut United: match statistics
FC Cincinnati II vs Connecticut United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
FC Cincinnati II played Connecticut United in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match was played on 16 August 2026. Venue: Northern Kentucky University Stadium. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
FC Cincinnati II: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Connecticut United: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
FC Cincinnati II scores 1.05 and concedes 2.14 goals per match. Connecticut United scores 1.90 and concedes 1.76. League average: 3.25 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: FC Cincinnati II 52%, Connecticut United 81%. Over 2.5: FC Cincinnati II 67%, Connecticut United 86%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Connecticut United has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.28. FC Cincinnati II: 10.1 shots per match, Connecticut United: 13.6.
Match halves
FC Cincinnati II: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.67. Connecticut United: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
FC Cincinnati II: 76-90+ (6 goals). Connecticut United: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.25 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Connecticut United arrive in significantly better form, having won 4 of their last 5 matches, while FC Cincinnati II have failed to win any of theirs and suffered 4 defeats. The visitors scored 12 goals during this period, while the hosts conceded as many as 16, which strongly supports the case for their offensive superiority. Away from home, Connecticut United average 2.00 goals per match and create chances worth 1.82 xG, compared with FC Cincinnati II’s 1.45 goals and 1.33 xG at home. The visitors also register more shots on target per match, 6.56 compared with 4.00, while the hosts have weaker control of the game, averaging 40% possession. The main risk to this pick is Connecticut United’s defense, which concedes an average of 1.89 goals away from home and has kept no clean sheets, but their current form and greater attacking potential point towards an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS signal is very strong: FC Cincinnati II have seen both teams score in 75% of their matches, while Connecticut United have recorded BTTS in as many as 89%, compared with the league average of 61%. In their last five games, BTTS occurred in 100% of cases for both teams, with the hosts conceding an average of 3.2 goals and the visitors scoring 2.4. Connecticut United have kept no clean sheets this season, while FC Cincinnati II have done so in only 17% of matches, significantly increasing the likelihood of goals at both ends. Their attacking potential is supported by xG figures of 1.62 for the hosts and 1.82 for the visitors, as well as averages of 5.75 and 6.56 shots on target per match, respectively. A BTTS - No scenario is less likely, as the hosts failed to score in only 17% of matches and the visitors in just 11%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams are almost constantly involved in matches featuring at least 2 goals: the 1.5-goal line was surpassed in 92% of FC Cincinnati II’s matches and in every Connecticut United game. In addition, Over 2.5 goals landed in 83% and 89% of their league matches, respectively, while each team recorded five consecutive results above 2.5 goals in their last five games. Connecticut United average 2.00 goals per match, while Cincinnati II conceded as many as 3.20 goals per game across their last five outings. The hosts have also struggled defensively over the course of the season, conceding 1.67 goals per match, while the visitors have kept no clean sheets. Over 1.5 goals remains the strongest pick, as the exceptionally high consistency of this line is further supported by a projected total of 3.70 goals in the match.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Connecticut United are showing clearly better current form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.4 goals and conceding 1.6, while FC Cincinnati II have failed to win any of their games, conceding an average of 3.2 goals and losing 4 times. The visitors also have an edge in chance creation, with an average xG of 1.82 compared with the hosts’ 1.62, and they average 6.56 shots on target against their opponents’ 5.75. Cincinnati II were trailing at half-time in 60% of their last five appearances and conceded as many as 2.0 goals per match before the break, reinforcing the scenario of the visitors taking the lead in the first half. Connecticut were leading at the break in 44% of their matches this season, while the hosts won only 20% of second halves in their last five games. The most likely outcome is therefore an HT/FT scenario in which the visitors take the lead before half-time and hold on to it until the final whistle.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| FC Cincinnati II | Connecticut United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Connecticut United is 1100% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - FC Cincinnati II · 2.4 pts / match - Connecticut United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Connecticut United is 81% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - FC Cincinnati II · 1.9 goals / match - Connecticut United
Connecticut United is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.14 goals / match - FC Cincinnati II · 1.76 goals / match - Connecticut United
FC Cincinnati II scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Connecticut United keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 21 matches).
Connecticut United scores in 86% of matches (18 of 21 matches), while FC Cincinnati II keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FC Cincinnati II
Over / Under - Connecticut United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Connecticut United is 108% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.62 pts / match - FC Cincinnati II · 1.29 pts / match - Connecticut United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FC Cincinnati II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Connecticut United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
FC Cincinnati II
Connecticut United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| FC Cincinnati II | Liga | Connecticut United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.19 | 3.25 | ▲ 3.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 61% | ▲ 81% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 67% | 66% | ▲ 86% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 22% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 76% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 84% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): FC Cincinnati II 0 - 0 - 2 Connecticut United. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of FC Cincinnati II vs Connecticut United?
The MLS Next Pro match finished FC Cincinnati II 2:3 Connecticut United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between FC Cincinnati II and Connecticut United?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches FC Cincinnati II won 0, Connecticut United won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before FC Cincinnati II vs Connecticut United?
FC Cincinnati II score 1.05 goals per game on average and Connecticut United 1.90. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 52% of FC Cincinnati II's matches and 81% of Connecticut United's.
What form are FC Cincinnati II and Connecticut United in?
Over the last 5 games FC Cincinnati II have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Connecticut United 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FC Cincinnati II vs Connecticut United?
The statistical background for FC Cincinnati II vs Connecticut United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.