FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte: match statistics

FC Cincinnati have a clear home advantage: they win 64% of their home matches, score an average of 2.82 goals and create chances worth 1.73 xG per game. Away from home, Charlotte score just 1.40 goals with 1.20 xG and lose 50% of such fixtures, although the hosts also concede heavily, averaging 1.91 goals per match. Cincinnati attack more frequently and accurately, averaging 15.73 shots and 6.64 shots on target, compared with their opponents’ 9.7 attempts and 3.9 on target. Overall form, however, favors Charlotte, who are unbeaten in their last five matches, scoring 11 goals and conceding 5, while Cincinnati have managed just 5 goals and conceded 9. The hosts’ superior home performance should give them a slight edge, but the visitors’ strong run increases the likelihood of a tight, high-scoring match.

FC Cincinnati have recorded BTTS in 69% of their matches, while Charlotte have done so in 60%, compared with a league average of 63%. The hosts score an average of 2.0 goals at home, while Charlotte concede as many as 1.9 goals per away match and keep a clean sheet in only 20% of their games. Charlotte are, however, in good attacking form: they have scored 11 goals in their last five matches, averaging 2.2 per game, while Cincinnati have conceded 9 goals over the same period. In addition, both teams have created solid chances in their last five appearances, with an average xG of 1.71 for Cincinnati and 1.43 for Charlotte. The scenario in which both teams score is therefore clearly more likely than the BTTS - No outcome, meaning that at least one team fails to score.

FC Cincinnati average 2.0 goals per match, while Charlotte concede an average of 1.9, clearly supporting at least two goals for the home side or a high total-goals tally. Charlotte have been highly effective recently, scoring 11 goals in five matches, while Cincinnati have conceded 9 goals over the same period. The 1.5 line was covered in 69% of Cincinnati’s matches and in as many as 90% of Charlotte’s games, while both teams scored Over 0.5 goals in virtually every away fixture. In addition, the average xG figures stand at 1.53 for Cincinnati and 1.20 for Charlotte, with both teams recording high percentages of matches in which both sides scored: 69% and 60%, respectively. Over 1.5 goals therefore has the strongest support from both season-long profiles and Charlotte’s current attacking form.

The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Charlotte win, as both teams are relatively cautious before the break: Cincinnati concede an average of 0.54 goals in that period, while Charlotte concede 0.80. However, Charlotte are clearly more effective in their current form, averaging 2.2 goals scored and just 1.0 conceded over their last five matches, whereas Cincinnati score only 1.0 and concede 1.8. The second half could be decisive, with the hosts averaging just 0.2 goals scored and as many as 1.4 conceded in their last five matches, while the visitors score 1.2 and concede only 0.6. Charlotte have lost none of their last five matches, winning three of them, while Cincinnati have suffered two defeats during that period. Cincinnati's season-long home advantage is reflected in 1.92 points per match compared with Charlotte's 1.10, but the visitors' current form and stronger second-half performances reinforce the X/2 scenario.