FC Cincinnati vs Montreal Impact: match statistics
FC Cincinnati holds a clear home advantage, supported by a 50% win rate in home matches and a positive goal difference (+1) at their stadium. Montreal Impact exhibits very poor away form with 75% losses and a disastrous goal difference (-6), conceding an average of 2.5 goals per match. The hosts boast superior xG metrics (1.2 vs 1.0) and ball possession dominance (56% vs 46%), indicating control of the game. Montreal shows slightly higher shot accuracy (11% vs 8%), but the visitors' defensive struggles (averaging 2.5 goals conceded away) should be a decisive factor. Both teams have identical form in their last 5 matches (0.6 PPG), but the home field advantage and Cincinnati's more solid defense (0.5 goals conceded in home matches) favor a home win.
FC Cincinnati vs Montreal Impact: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
FC Cincinnati played Montreal Impact in MLS (United States). The match was played on 22 March 2026. Final score: 4:3.
Current form
FC Cincinnati: 1-0-3, 0.75 points/match. Montreal Impact: 1-0-3, 0.75 points/match.
Goal statistics
FC Cincinnati scores 0.75 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Montreal Impact scores 1.00 and concedes 2.50. League average: 2.99 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: FC Cincinnati 25%, Montreal Impact 25%. Over 2.5: FC Cincinnati 25%, Montreal Impact 100%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
FC Cincinnati has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.00. FC Cincinnati: 13.3 shots per match, Montreal Impact: 9.5.
Match halves
FC Cincinnati: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50. Montreal Impact: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.25.
Goals by minute
FC Cincinnati: 76-90+ (2 goals). Montreal Impact: 0-15 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 2.99 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
FC Cincinnati holds a clear home advantage, supported by a 50% win rate in home matches and a positive goal difference (+1) at their stadium. Montreal Impact exhibits very poor away form with 75% losses and a disastrous goal difference (-6), conceding an average of 2.5 goals per match. The hosts boast superior xG metrics (1.2 vs 1.0) and ball possession dominance (56% vs 46%), indicating control of the game. Montreal shows slightly higher shot accuracy (11% vs 8%), but the visitors' defensive struggles (averaging 2.5 goals conceded away) should be a decisive factor. Both teams have identical form in their last 5 matches (0.6 PPG), but the home field advantage and Cincinnati's more solid defense (0.5 goals conceded in home matches) favor a home win.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| FC Cincinnati | Montreal Impact | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.17 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Montreal Impact is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
0.75 goals / match - FC Cincinnati · 1 goals / match - Montreal Impact
FC Cincinnati is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - FC Cincinnati · 2.5 goals / match - Montreal Impact
FC Cincinnati scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while Montreal Impact keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
Montreal Impact scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while FC Cincinnati keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FC Cincinnati
Over / Under - Montreal Impact
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FC Cincinnati - second-half results
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Montreal Impact - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 25% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 25% |
| No goal | 75% | 75% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 75% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 75% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
FC Cincinnati
Montreal Impact
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| FC Cincinnati | Liga | Montreal Impact | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.75 | 2.99 | ▲ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 49% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 59% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 29% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 25% | 72% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 83% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of FC Cincinnati vs Montreal Impact?
The MLS match finished FC Cincinnati 4:3 Montreal Impact. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before FC Cincinnati vs Montreal Impact?
FC Cincinnati score 0.75 goals per game on average and Montreal Impact 1.00. The MLS average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 25% of FC Cincinnati's matches and 25% of Montreal Impact's.
What form are FC Cincinnati and Montreal Impact in?
Over the last 5 games FC Cincinnati have a 1-0-3 record (0.75 points per game) and Montreal Impact 1-0-3 (0.75 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FC Cincinnati vs Montreal Impact?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.