FC Cincinnati vs New York RB: match statistics
FC Cincinnati vs New York RB: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
FC Cincinnati played New York RB in MLS (United States). The match was played on 25 April 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
FC Cincinnati: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. New York RB: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
FC Cincinnati scores 1.89 and concedes 2.56 goals per match. New York RB scores 1.78 and concedes 2.56. League average: 3.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: FC Cincinnati 67%, New York RB 78%. Over 2.5: FC Cincinnati 56%, New York RB 78%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
New York RB has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.58. FC Cincinnati: 14.1 shots per match, New York RB: 14.3.
Match halves
FC Cincinnati: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.33. New York RB: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 1.11.
Goals by minute
FC Cincinnati: 76-90+ (9 goals). New York RB: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.20 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win. FC Cincinnati at home averages 2.25 goals per match with an average xG of 1.66 and a 50% home win rate, while New York RB on the road scores 1.4 goals per away match with xG 1.7 and only a 20% away win rate. Defensively the visitors look weaker — NYRB concedes 2.8 goals on average away compared to Cincinnati conceding 1.75 at home, and the visitors’ away record shows a -7 goal difference and 0% clean sheets. The quality of chances favors the hosts: Cincinnati has a higher shot conversion of 14% with 15.75 shots and 5.5 on target per match, whereas the visitors have a 9% conversion with 14.8 shots and 6.2 on target. Although NYRB have 1.6 points per game in their last 5 matches versus the hosts’ 1.2, the high average goals (4.0 in Cincinnati matches and 4.2 in NYRB away matches) suggests a high-scoring game in which home conditions and the hosts’ efficiency provide the edge.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis favors the "BTTS - Yes" scenario, as both teams recorded BTTS in 100% of their last 5 matches (Cincinnati 100%, New York RB 100%), with season BTTS rates of 50% for the home side and 100% for the away side. This season FC Cincinnati averages 2.25 goals scored and 2.25 conceded, while New York RB averages 1.4 scored and 2.8 conceded; the high goals conceded averages (2.25 and 2.8) increase the likelihood that both sides will find the net. xG shows chance creation: xG for the home team 1.67 vs 1.70 for the visitors, and xG against 1.34 vs 1.56; additionally 4.75 vs 6.2 shots on target indicate genuine scoring opportunities for both teams. Clean sheet percentage is only 25% for Cincinnati and 0% for NYRB, the league BTTS rate is 57% with an average of 3.24 goals per match; Over 2.5 goals occurs in 75% of home matches and 80% of away matches. Considering 100% BTTS in the last 5, high goals conceded averages (2.25 and 2.8) and the high share of Over 2.5 matches (75%/80%), I estimate BTTS probability at approximately 80% vs 20% for No BTTS.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Calculated xG is 1.62 for FC Cincinnati (attacking xG 1.67 vs xG conceded to NYRB 1.56) and 1.52 for New York RB (attacking xG 1.70 vs xG conceded to Cincinnati 1.34), totaling xG = 3.14. Seasonal goal averages show Cincinnati scores 2.25 and concedes 2.25, while NYRB scores 1.40 and concedes 2.80, indicating both teams have leaky defenses and generate goals. This season Over 2.5 occurred in 75% of Cincinnati’s matches and 80% of NYRB’s matches, and in the last 5 matches Over 2.5 was 80% for the home side and 100% for the away side, which strongly increases the probability of >2.5. Additionally BTTS is 50% (Cincinnati) and 100% (NYRB) seasonally, and in the last 5 matches both teams scored in 100%; average shots 13.75 and 14.8 with 4.75 and 6.2 on target also support a high-scoring game scenario. As a result the strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5 (recommended) — I estimate about 95% for Over 1.5, about 80% for Over 2.5 and about 55% for Over 3.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a home win at full-time (X/1). Draws at the break occur most frequently — FC Cincinnati have draws at half-time in 50% of matches and lead at the break in only 25% of games, increasing the probability of a draw at half-time. In the second half the home side has a clear advantage: they earn on average 1.5 points in the second half and win that half in 50% of cases, versus 0.8 points and 20% second-half wins for the visitors, which favors a turnaround after a half-time draw. FC Cincinnati score an average of 2.25 goals per match compared to 1.4 for New York RB and are more efficient (conversion 16% vs 9%), with similar xG (1.67 vs 1.7); the visitors have no clean sheets on the road (0%) and 100% of their away matches have seen goals from both sides, so I expect goals from both teams but ultimately a home advantage.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| FC Cincinnati | New York RB | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
FC Cincinnati is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - FC Cincinnati · 1 pts / match - New York RB
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
FC Cincinnati is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.89 goals / match - FC Cincinnati · 1.78 goals / match - New York RB
FC Cincinnati scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while New York RB keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).
New York RB scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while FC Cincinnati keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FC Cincinnati
Over / Under - New York RB
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
New York RB is 79% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.56 pts / match - FC Cincinnati · 1 pts / match - New York RB
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FC Cincinnati - second-half results
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
New York RB - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 3.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 4.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
FC Cincinnati
New York RB
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| FC Cincinnati | Liga | New York RB | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.44 | 3.20 | ▲ 4.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 58% | ▲ 78% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 56% | 63% | ▲ 78% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 24% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 73% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 80% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: FC Cincinnati 0 - 0 - 1 New York RB. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of FC Cincinnati vs New York RB?
The MLS match finished FC Cincinnati 2:0 New York RB. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before FC Cincinnati vs New York RB?
FC Cincinnati score 1.89 goals per game on average and New York RB 1.78. The MLS average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 67% of FC Cincinnati's matches and 78% of New York RB's.
What form are FC Cincinnati and New York RB in?
Over the last 5 games FC Cincinnati have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and New York RB 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FC Cincinnati vs New York RB?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for FC Cincinnati vs New York RB: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.