FC Penafiel vs AVS: match statistics
FC Penafiel vs AVS: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
FC Penafiel played AVS in LigaPro (Portugal). The match was played on 9 October 2026. Venue: Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
FC Penafiel: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. AVS: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
FC Penafiel scores 2.17 and concedes 0.83 goals per match. AVS scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.35 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: FC Penafiel 50%, AVS 50%. Over 2.5: FC Penafiel 67%, AVS 33%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
FC Penafiel has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.28. FC Penafiel: 11.0 shots per match, AVS: 11.2.
Match halves
FC Penafiel: half-time lead 83%, second-half goals 0.83. AVS: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
FC Penafiel: 31-45+ (4 goals). AVS: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
LigaPro: 2.35 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
FC Penafiel are in second place and have won their last five matches, scoring 13 goals in the process, while AVS have won twice over the same period. At home, the hosts average 2 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per match, while AVS average 1.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded away from home. The difference in defensive quality is even clearer in the number of chances allowed: opponents' average xG is 1.39 in Penafiel's home matches, compared with 2.42 in AVS's away matches. The visitors have yet to win on the road, although two draws in three such games suggest they can keep the result close. The hosts' conversion rate at home is 17%, compared with AVS's 11% away, making a Penafiel win the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal in favor of BTTS - No comes from FC Penafiel’s defense: they concede an average of 0.33 goals at home and keep a clean sheet in 67% of matches. BTTS has not occurred in any of the hosts’ home matches, and they have failed to score in 67% of them, although AVS concede an average of 1.67 goals away from home. The visitors’ data point to a genuine chance of both teams scoring: they average 1.33 goals away, and BTTS has landed in 100% of their away matches. However, BTTS rates over the last five matches stand at 60% for Penafiel and 40% for AVS, so given the hosts’ strong defense, it is slightly more likely that at least one team will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this line has not been breached in Penafiel’s home matches, while it has been in 33% of AVS’s away matches. Penafiel have conceded an average of just 0.33 goals at home, whereas AVS have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over their last five matches. On the other hand, the hosts have averaged 2.6 goals scored across their last five games, making the 2.5 line less convincing, especially given that AVS concede an average of 1.67 goals away from home. The projected total of 2.55 goals points to a realistic chance of two or three goals, but Under 3.5 offers a clearly stronger edge.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome, as Penafiel were level at the break in all 3 of their home matches so far, while AVS were level in 2 of their 3 away fixtures. The hosts have yet to score at home in the first half, so their advantage may only emerge after the break. Penafiel’s case for a win is supported by their average of just 0.33 goals conceded at home, compared with AVS’s 1.67 goals conceded away; the visitors also concede an average of 1.0 goal after half-time. Penafiel have also won their last 5 matches overall, while AVS have won 2 of 5. The risk with the X/1 pick is that Penafiel were leading at the break in 4 of those 5 matches, but their home record more strongly points to a draw at half-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| FC Penafiel | AVS | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.46 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
FC Penafiel is 117% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - FC Penafiel · 1.2 pts / match - AVS
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
FC Penafiel is 117% better for: goals scored per match.
2.17 goals / match - FC Penafiel · 1 goals / match - AVS
FC Penafiel is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.83 goals / match - FC Penafiel · 1 goals / match - AVS
FC Penafiel scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while AVS keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
AVS scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while FC Penafiel keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FC Penafiel
Over / Under - AVS
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
FC Penafiel is 222% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.67 pts / match - FC Penafiel · 0.83 pts / match - AVS
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FC Penafiel - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 83% of matches and wins 67%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
AVS - second-half results
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +8 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
FC Penafiel
AVS
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LigaPro).
Teams vs league
| FC Penafiel | Liga | AVS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.35 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 41% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 44% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | • 33% | 33% | • 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 76% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 76% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of FC Penafiel vs AVS?
The LigaPro match finished FC Penafiel 1:2 AVS. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before FC Penafiel vs AVS?
FC Penafiel score 2.17 goals per game on average and AVS 1.00. The LigaPro average is 2.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 50% of FC Penafiel's matches and 50% of AVS's.
What form are FC Penafiel and AVS in?
Over the last 5 games FC Penafiel have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and AVS 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FC Penafiel vs AVS?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for FC Penafiel vs AVS: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.