FC Penafiel vs Leixões: match statistics
FC Penafiel and Leixões are two teams fighting for survival, occupying 18th and 17th place in the table respectively. Penafiel presents very poor form with only one victory in the last five matches and just 0.6 points per match, placing them in a difficult situation. Leixões has shown slightly better disposition recently, earning 1.6 points per match in the last five meetings, with two wins and two draws. The hosts have a better goal difference at home (-2) than the guests do on the road (-4), however, both teams are characterized by similar efficiency—33% wins in their matches. Taking into account the balanced statistics, the weak form of both teams, and the fact that this is a direct duel for survival, I expect a cautious, level match ending in a split of points. Penafiel has a slight home ground advantage, but Leixões' recent form may balance this out.
FC Penafiel vs Leixões: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
FC Penafiel played Leixões in LigaPro (Portugal). The match was played on 30 January 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
FC Penafiel: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Leixões: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
FC Penafiel scores 0.89 and concedes 1.16 goals per match. Leixões scores 1.11 and concedes 1.89. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: FC Penafiel 42%, Leixões 47%. Over 2.5: FC Penafiel 37%, Leixões 53%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Leixões has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.32. FC Penafiel: 11.1 shots per match, Leixões: 11.7.
Match halves
FC Penafiel: half-time lead 5%, second-half goals 0.63. Leixões: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
FC Penafiel: 76-90+ (7 goals). Leixões: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
LigaPro: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
FC Penafiel and Leixões are two teams fighting for survival, occupying 18th and 17th place in the table respectively. Penafiel presents very poor form with only one victory in the last five matches and just 0.6 points per match, placing them in a difficult situation. Leixões has shown slightly better disposition recently, earning 1.6 points per match in the last five meetings, with two wins and two draws. The hosts have a better goal difference at home (-2) than the guests do on the road (-4), however, both teams are characterized by similar efficiency—33% wins in their matches. Taking into account the balanced statistics, the weak form of both teams, and the fact that this is a direct duel for survival, I expect a cautious, level match ending in a split of points. Penafiel has a slight home ground advantage, but Leixões' recent form may balance this out.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| FC Penafiel | Leixões | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Leixões is 167% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - FC Penafiel · 1.6 pts / match - Leixões
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Leixões is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
0.89 goals / match - FC Penafiel · 1.11 goals / match - Leixões
FC Penafiel is 63% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.16 goals / match - FC Penafiel · 1.89 goals / match - Leixões
FC Penafiel scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Leixões keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
Leixões scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while FC Penafiel keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FC Penafiel
Over / Under - Leixões
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Leixões is 59% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.79 pts / match - FC Penafiel · 1.26 pts / match - Leixões
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FC Penafiel - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 5% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Leixões - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
FC Penafiel
Leixões
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LigaPro).
Teams vs league
| FC Penafiel | Liga | Leixões | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.05 | 2.47 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 49% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 37% | 44% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 30% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 66% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 78% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: FC Penafiel 0 - 0 - 1 Leixões. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of FC Penafiel vs Leixões?
The LigaPro match finished FC Penafiel 0:0 Leixões. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before FC Penafiel vs Leixões?
FC Penafiel score 0.89 goals per game on average and Leixões 1.11. The LigaPro average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 42% of FC Penafiel's matches and 47% of Leixões's.
What form are FC Penafiel and Leixões in?
Over the last 5 games FC Penafiel have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Leixões 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FC Penafiel vs Leixões?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.