FC Penafiel vs Portimonense: match statistics
The match promises to be extremely competitive, confirmed by the close table positions of both teams (14th and 15th place). FC Penafiel presents a solid defense at home, conceding an average of 0.88 goals per match and recording 50% clean sheets in home games, which constitutes their main asset. Portimonense shows better offensive efficiency away (1.38 goals/match versus the hosts' 0.88), yet their defense is significantly weaker, conceding an average of 1.88 goals on the road. The form of both teams in the last five matches is similar (1.2 vs 1.4 points per match), and the goal difference varies slightly (0 vs -4 in the respective configurations). Considering FC Penafiel's defensive strength at home and the hosts' higher FTS% (25% versus the visitors' 13%), the most probable scenario seems to be a draw or a narrow victory for one side, with a slight edge for the hosts due to home field advantage.
FC Penafiel vs Portimonense: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
FC Penafiel played Portimonense in LigaPro (Portugal). The match was played on 17 January 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
FC Penafiel: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Portimonense: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
FC Penafiel scores 0.94 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Portimonense scores 1.06 and concedes 1.53. League average: 2.46 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: FC Penafiel 41%, Portimonense 65%. Over 2.5: FC Penafiel 35%, Portimonense 47%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Portimonense has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.40. FC Penafiel: 11.8 shots per match, Portimonense: 13.0.
Match halves
FC Penafiel: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.65. Portimonense: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
FC Penafiel: 76-90+ (7 goals). Portimonense: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
LigaPro: 2.46 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be extremely competitive, confirmed by the close table positions of both teams (14th and 15th place). FC Penafiel presents a solid defense at home, conceding an average of 0.88 goals per match and recording 50% clean sheets in home games, which constitutes their main asset. Portimonense shows better offensive efficiency away (1.38 goals/match versus the hosts' 0.88), yet their defense is significantly weaker, conceding an average of 1.88 goals on the road. The form of both teams in the last five matches is similar (1.2 vs 1.4 points per match), and the goal difference varies slightly (0 vs -4 in the respective configurations). Considering FC Penafiel's defensive strength at home and the hosts' higher FTS% (25% versus the visitors' 13%), the most probable scenario seems to be a draw or a narrow victory for one side, with a slight edge for the hosts due to home field advantage.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| FC Penafiel | Portimonense | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Portimonense is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - FC Penafiel · 1.4 pts / match - Portimonense
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Portimonense is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
0.94 goals / match - FC Penafiel · 1.06 goals / match - Portimonense
FC Penafiel is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - FC Penafiel · 1.53 goals / match - Portimonense
FC Penafiel scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while Portimonense keeps a clean sheet in 18% (3 of 17 matches).
Portimonense scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while FC Penafiel keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FC Penafiel
Over / Under - Portimonense
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Portimonense is 74% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.88 pts / match - FC Penafiel · 1.53 pts / match - Portimonense
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FC Penafiel - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Portimonense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 29%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
FC Penafiel
Portimonense
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LigaPro).
Teams vs league
| FC Penafiel | Liga | Portimonense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.46 | ▲ 2.59 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 48% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 42% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 31% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 47% | 67% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 76% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: FC Penafiel 0 - 0 - 1 Portimonense. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of FC Penafiel vs Portimonense?
The LigaPro match finished FC Penafiel 0:2 Portimonense. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before FC Penafiel vs Portimonense?
FC Penafiel score 0.94 goals per game on average and Portimonense 1.06. The LigaPro average is 2.46 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 41% of FC Penafiel's matches and 65% of Portimonense's.
What form are FC Penafiel and Portimonense in?
Over the last 5 games FC Penafiel have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Portimonense 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FC Penafiel vs Portimonense?
The statistical background for FC Penafiel vs Portimonense — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.