FCV Dender EH vs Cercle Brugge: match statistics
FCV Dender EH vs Cercle Brugge: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
FCV Dender EH played Cercle Brugge in Pro League (Belgium). The match was played on 19 April 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
FCV Dender EH: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Cercle Brugge: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
FCV Dender EH scores 0.81 and concedes 1.66 goals per match. Cercle Brugge scores 1.38 and concedes 1.53. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: FCV Dender EH 56%, Cercle Brugge 63%. Over 2.5: FCV Dender EH 50%, Cercle Brugge 53%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Cercle Brugge has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.27. FCV Dender EH: 10.9 shots per match, Cercle Brugge: 14.3.
Match halves
FCV Dender EH: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.44. Cercle Brugge: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
FCV Dender EH: 0-15 (7 goals). Cercle Brugge: 31-45+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Pro League: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cercle Brugge is the favorite for this fixture: they average 1.38 goals per away match with a shot conversion rate around 11%, whereas FCV Dender EH score only 0.81 goals at home with a 7% conversion. Defensively the visitors perform better — they concede 1.13 goals on average away compared to 1.88 conceded by the hosts at home, and Cercle’s clean sheet rate on the road is 38% versus Dender’s 19%. In terms of chance quality Cercle posts higher average xG (1.45 away vs 1.31 xG for the hosts) and more shots on target (3.94 vs 3.63), translating into 10 goals scored in the last 5 matches compared to Dender’s 5. Form metrics confirm the edge: Cercle averages 1.4 points per match over the last 5, Dender only 0.8, with both teams having conceded 9 goals in that period. Considering superior attacking efficiency, more stable away defense and higher xG, I predict an away victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes with a 72% vs 28% probability because FCV Dender have a home BTTS of 75% and concede 1.94 goals per game with only 13% clean sheets, promoting goal exchanges. Cercle Brugge have a season BTTS of 50% and 38% clean sheets away, but in their last 5 matches BTTS is 80%, they score 2.0 goals on average (recent xG_for 1.91) and concede 1.8 goals on average, so recent form points to goals from both sides. Additionally, Dender generate higher season xG_for 1.74 vs 1.45, more shots 15.63 vs 12.94 and more shots on target 5.31 vs 3.94, confirming the hosts’ ability to create chances. Considering the league BTTS rate of 54% and the combination of 75% (Dender) and 80% (Cercle in last 5), the ‘Yes’ scenario is statistically stronger.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG I expect a total around 3.17 goals: 1.68 for FCV Dender EH (attacking xG 1.74 vs Cercle’s defensive xG conceded 1.62) and 1.49 for Cercle Brugge (attacking xG 1.45 vs hosts’ defensive xG conceded 1.52). Seasonally Dender have 94% of matches over 1.5 goals, Cercle 81%, and Dender matches have seen goals from both sides in 75% of cases (Cercle 50%), which increases the likelihood of scoring. A Poisson model with mean 3.17 yields roughly 82% chance for Over 1.5, about 61% for Over 2.5 and about 39% for Over 3.5; these results align with seasonal rates (Over 2.5: Dender 69% vs Cercle 38%, and in the last 5 matches the away side has 100% Over 2.5). Therefore the strongest and safest signal is a bet on Over 1.5 (recommended), Over 2.5 is a moderate option, and Over 3.5 is too risky.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is the away team leading at half-time and winning the match: the visitors led at the break in 44% of their season matches and score an average of 1.00 goals in the first half versus 0.69 for the home team. Final- result statistics also favor Cercle: the visitors average 1.5 points per match and have a 38% win rate this season, while the hosts average 0.69 p.p.m. and only 13% wins. Although the home side have a higher xG (1.74 versus 1.45), they concede significantly more goals (1.94 vs 1.13 per match), and the visitors keep a clean sheet in 38% of games, which reduces the likelihood of the hosts maintaining a lead. Additionally, in the last 5 matches the visitors led at half-time in 60% of games versus 20% for the hosts, therefore I assign the highest weight (34%) to the 2/2 combination, with smaller weights reserved for draws and potential home turnarounds after the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| FCV Dender EH | Cercle Brugge | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cercle Brugge is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - FCV Dender EH · 1.4 pts / match - Cercle Brugge
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cercle Brugge is 70% better for: goals scored per match.
0.81 goals / match - FCV Dender EH · 1.38 goals / match - Cercle Brugge
Cercle Brugge is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.66 goals / match - FCV Dender EH · 1.53 goals / match - Cercle Brugge
FCV Dender EH scores in 63% of matches (20 of 32 matches), while Cercle Brugge keeps a clean sheet in 25% (8 of 32 matches).
Cercle Brugge scores in 78% of matches (25 of 32 matches), while FCV Dender EH keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FCV Dender EH
Over / Under - Cercle Brugge
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cercle Brugge is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - FCV Dender EH · 1.25 pts / match - Cercle Brugge
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FCV Dender EH - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 13%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cercle Brugge - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 25%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
FCV Dender EH
Cercle Brugge
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Pro League).
Teams vs league
| FCV Dender EH | Liga | Cercle Brugge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.47 | 2.61 | ▲ 2.91 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 54% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 27% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 70% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 75% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): FCV Dender EH 0 - 2 - 0 Cercle Brugge. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of FCV Dender EH vs Cercle Brugge?
The Pro League match finished FCV Dender EH 1:4 Cercle Brugge. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between FCV Dender EH and Cercle Brugge?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches FCV Dender EH won 0, Cercle Brugge won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before FCV Dender EH vs Cercle Brugge?
FCV Dender EH score 0.81 goals per game on average and Cercle Brugge 1.38. The Pro League average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 56% of FCV Dender EH's matches and 63% of Cercle Brugge's.
What form are FCV Dender EH and Cercle Brugge in?
Over the last 5 games FCV Dender EH have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Cercle Brugge 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FCV Dender EH vs Cercle Brugge?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for FCV Dender EH vs Cercle Brugge: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.