Felgueiras 1932 vs Paços de Ferreira: match statistics
Felgueiras 1932 vs Paços de Ferreira: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Felgueiras 1932 played Paços de Ferreira in LigaPro (Portugal). The match was played on 10 April 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Felgueiras 1932: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Paços de Ferreira: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Felgueiras 1932 scores 0.89 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Paços de Ferreira scores 0.93 and concedes 1.39. League average: 2.42 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Felgueiras 1932 39%, Paços de Ferreira 43%. Over 2.5: Felgueiras 1932 32%, Paços de Ferreira 50%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Felgueiras 1932 has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.40. Felgueiras 1932: 12.9 shots per match, Paços de Ferreira: 12.6.
Match halves
Felgueiras 1932: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.54. Paços de Ferreira: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Felgueiras 1932: 76-90+ (8 goals). Paços de Ferreira: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
LigaPro: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Both teams have comparable seasons: Felgueiras 8 wins, 9 draws and 11 losses, Paços 7 wins, 10 draws and 11 losses, occupying 13th and 15th respectively. Felgueiras at home averages 13.43 shots and 4.0 on target per match with xG 1.58, while Paços away records 10.29 shots and 2.93 on target with xG 1.14, giving the hosts a clear advantage in chance creation. Defensively the hosts concede on average 1.00 goals at their stadium (xG against 1.36), and the visitors concede 1.64 goals away (xG against 1.87), so Paços are more exposed at the back. On the other hand in the last 5 matches Felgueiras scored only 1 goal and averaged 1.0 point per match, while Paços scored 6 goals and 1.4 points, yet Paços have a higher share of away matches without scoring (57% vs 43% for the hosts). Considering the home advantage in xG (1.58 vs 1.14), shot volume (13.43 vs 10.29) and lower average goals conceded (1.00 vs 1.64), despite Paços’ better recent efficiency, I tip a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back 'No Goal' (no BTTS) — the key signal is Felgueiras' form over the last 5 matches: 0% BTTS and only 0.2 goals scored per game on average, which greatly reduces the likelihood of the hosts breaking through. Paços de Ferreira concedes 1.64 goals per game this season and has xG against of 1.87, but scores just 0.79 goals per game and posts a season BTTS of 36%, so both-teams-to-score occurrences are infrequent. Felgueiras generates more chances (xG_for 1.66, on average 4.64 shots on target and 14.86 attempts per match), however in the last 5 fixtures they had xG_for 1.26 versus only 0.2 actual goals — indicating finishing issues. Additionally, the league records 63% of matches resulting in a clean sheet, and Felgueiras keep a home clean sheet in 43% of appearances; with a league average goals of 2.42 this all points toward games without both teams on the scoresheet. Based on this I assess BTTS probability at 30% for 'Yes' and 70% for 'No'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG and season averages I estimate expected goals at 1.60 for Felgueiras and 1.18 for Paços, totaling 2.78. A model combining xG (home xG_for 1.66 vs away xG_against 1.87; away xG_for 1.14 vs home xG_against 1.51) with seasonal averages (scored 1.07 and 0.79; conceded 1.14 and 1.64) leads to this projection. Using a Poisson distribution (λ≈2.78) the probability of Over 1.5 goals is about 77%, Over 2.5 ≈53%, and Over 3.5 ≈30%. Seasonal Over1.5 rates are 57% for the home side and 71% for the away side, and shot-on-target numbers 4.64 vs 2.93 plus recent 5-match xG (1.26 vs 1.49) support at least a 2-goal scenario, therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a home win (X/1): the home team were level at the break in 7 of 14 matches (50%), while the visitors were behind at half-time in 8 of 14 matches (57%), so a draw at the break is the most frequent state. After the break the home side perform better: they average 1.5 points in second halves and have a positive goal difference in second halves of +1.0, whereas the visitors have a -2.0 balance, which increases the hosts’ chances of a win after the break. Additionally the hosts create more chances — xG 1.66 versus 1.14 for the visitors, with an average of 4.64 shots on target compared to 2.93 for the opponent — and they have scored 6 goals in minutes 76–90 versus 2 for the visitors, suggesting a home advantage in the closing stages. The hosts led at half-time in only 4 of 14 matches (29%), so the 1/1 outcome is possible but less supported than X/1; at the same time the high number of draws at half-time (50%) justifies giving significant weight to scenarios that start level. On that basis I assign the highest probability to X/1 (22%), allocating the remainder mainly to X/X (16%) and 1/1 (18%) in line with second-half balances and the hosts’ late-match advantage.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Felgueiras 1932 | Paços de Ferreira | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Paços de Ferreira is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Felgueiras 1932 · 1.4 pts / match - Paços de Ferreira
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Felgueiras 1932 is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.21 goals / match - Felgueiras 1932 · 1.39 goals / match - Paços de Ferreira
Felgueiras 1932 scores in 57% of matches (16 of 28 matches), while Paços de Ferreira keeps a clean sheet in 32% (9 of 28 matches).
Paços de Ferreira scores in 50% of matches (14 of 28 matches), while Felgueiras 1932 keeps a clean sheet in 32% (9 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Felgueiras 1932
Over / Under - Paços de Ferreira
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Felgueiras 1932 is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - Felgueiras 1932 · 0.96 pts / match - Paços de Ferreira
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Felgueiras 1932 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Paços de Ferreira - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Felgueiras 1932
Paços de Ferreira
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LigaPro).
Teams vs league
| Felgueiras 1932 | Liga | Paços de Ferreira | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.11 | 2.42 | ▼ 2.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 47% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 44% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 32% | 32% | • 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 64% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 77% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Felgueiras 1932 0 - 1 - 0 Paços de Ferreira. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Felgueiras 1932 vs Paços de Ferreira?
The LigaPro match finished Felgueiras 1932 0:0 Paços de Ferreira. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Felgueiras 1932 vs Paços de Ferreira?
Felgueiras 1932 score 0.89 goals per game on average and Paços de Ferreira 0.93. The LigaPro average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Felgueiras 1932's matches and 43% of Paços de Ferreira's.
What form are Felgueiras 1932 and Paços de Ferreira in?
Over the last 5 games Felgueiras 1932 have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Paços de Ferreira 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Felgueiras 1932 vs Paços de Ferreira?
The statistical background for Felgueiras 1932 vs Paços de Ferreira — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.