Hungary - NB IGroupama ArénaData current as of 21 October 2026

Ferencváros vs MTK: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Ferencváros vs MTK: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Ferencváros play MTK in NB I (Hungary). The match date is 25 October 2026. Venue: Groupama Aréna.

Current form

Ferencváros: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. MTK: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Ferencváros scores 1.44 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. MTK scores 1.60 and concedes 1.70. League average: 3.05 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Ferencváros 67%, MTK 70%. Over 2.5: Ferencváros 44%, MTK 80%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 58%.

xG, shots and style

Ferencváros has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.66. Ferencváros: 13.9 shots per match, MTK: 12.8.

Match halves

Ferencváros: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.78. MTK: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.90.

Goals by minute

Ferencváros: 61-75 (5 goals). MTK: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NB I: 3.05 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 58%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.28)
(5.20)
(7.50)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.44Goals scored / match1.6
FerencvárosMTK
1.11Goals conceded / match1.7
FerencvárosMTK
58%Average possession51%
FerencvárosMTK
4.89Shots on target / match6.4
FerencvárosMTK

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.89Shots per match12.8
FerencvárosMTK
4.89Shots on target6.4
FerencvárosMTK
10.4%Shot conversion12.5%
FerencvárosMTK
58%Possession51%
FerencvárosMTK
1.7xG for1.66
FerencvárosMTK
1.2xG against1.62
FerencvárosMTK

Shooting quality

Ferencváros: BalancedMTK: Balanced
FerencvárosMTK
Accuracy (shots on target)35%50%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Ferencváros is 75% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Ferencváros · 0.8 pts / match - MTK

Ferencváros
WDDDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
33% W56% D11% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-5-1
1.56 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-4-0
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-3-0
Last 5 at home
0-3-0
DDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.95Opponent xG: 1.20BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%
MTK
DLLLW
Season result split
30% W30% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-4
1.20 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-3-1
Last 5 away
0-3-1
DDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.78Opponent xG: 1.92BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

MTK is 11% better for: goals scored per match.

1.44 goals / match - Ferencváros · 1.6 goals / match - MTK

Ferencváros is 53% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.11 goals / match - Ferencváros · 1.7 goals / match - MTK

Ferencváros scoring profile: very strong

Ferencváros scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while MTK keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).

MTK scoring profile: very strong

MTK scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while Ferencváros keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).

13Goals scored (season)16
FerencvárosMTK
10Goals conceded (season)17
FerencvárosMTK
2.56Average goals in match3.3
FerencvárosMTK
8Goals scored (last 5)5
FerencvárosMTK
5Goals conceded (last 5)9
FerencvárosMTK

How often they score at least...

89%1 goal90%
FerencvárosMTK
44%2 goals50%
FerencvárosMTK
11%3 goals20%
FerencvárosMTK
0%4 goals0%
FerencvárosMTK

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal80%
FerencvárosMTK
22%2 goals60%
FerencvárosMTK
11%3 goals30%
FerencvárosMTK
11%4 goals0%
FerencvárosMTK

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time40%
FerencvárosMTK
0%BTTS in both halves10%
FerencvárosMTK
11%Scored in both halves30%
FerencvárosMTK

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%
FerencvárosMTK
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
FerencvárosMTK
80%BTTS - last 560%
FerencvárosMTK

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
FerencvárosMTK
22%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
FerencvárosMTK
22%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
FerencvárosMTK

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
FerencvárosMTK
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
FerencvárosMTK
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time40%
FerencvárosMTK

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ferencváros is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.44 pts / match - Ferencváros · 1.3 pts / match - MTK

Ferencváros - half-time state
33% leading44% draw22% trailing
MTK - half-time state
30% leading40% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.44Points per match (1st half)1.3
FerencvárosMTK
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.7
FerencvárosMTK
0.56Goals conceded (1st half)0.8
FerencvárosMTK
1.22Average goals (1st half)1.5
FerencvárosMTK
56%Clean sheet before half-time40%
FerencvárosMTK
56%No goal before half-time40%
FerencvárosMTK

After half-time (2nd half)

1.67Points per match (2nd half)1.4
FerencvárosMTK
0.78Goals scored (2nd half)0.9
FerencvárosMTK
0.56Goals conceded (2nd half)0.9
FerencvárosMTK
1.33Average goals (2nd half)1.8
FerencvárosMTK
56%Clean sheet after half-time40%
FerencvárosMTK
44%No goal after half-time40%
FerencvárosMTK

Ferencváros - second-half results

44% W33% D22% L
13
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

MTK - second-half results

40% W20% D40% L
13
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.30
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Ferencváros - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.00
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference0+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
MTK - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.20
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.41.4
Average goals in match1.01.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1-5
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Ferencváros
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
3
1
16-30
3
3
31-45
2
4
46-60
5
0
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

MTK
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
2
4
16-30
2
3
31-45
2
3
46-60
4
2
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.92
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
69%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+25%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
80%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Ferencváros

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.50
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
83%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
84%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.16
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

MTK

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
121%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
98%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).

Teams vs league

FerencvárosLigaMTK
Average goals in match▼ 2.563.05▲ 3.30
Both teams scored▲ 67%63%▲ 70%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 44%58%▲ 80%
Clean sheets▲ 33%20%• 20%
Goal before half-time• 67%68%▲ 80%
Goal after half-time▼ 78%81%• 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.05
Average goals per match
63%
Both teams scored
58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.73
Home goals / match
1.32
Away goals / match
+31%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
58%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Ferencváros 2 - 1 - 0 MTK. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 100% matches.

MTK Budapest FC
1 : 3
Ferencvárosi TC
Ferencvárosi TC
4 : 1
MTK Budapest FC
MTK Budapest FC
1 : 1
Ferencvárosi TC

FAQ

When do Ferencváros and MTK play?

Ferencváros face MTK on 25 October 2026 in NB I at Groupama Aréna. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Ferencváros and MTK?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Ferencváros won 2, MTK won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Ferencváros vs MTK?

Ferencváros score 1.44 goals per game on average and MTK 1.60. The NB I average is 3.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Ferencváros's matches and 70% of MTK's.

What form are Ferencváros and MTK in?

Over the last 5 games Ferencváros have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and MTK 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ferencváros vs MTK?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.