Ferro Carril Oeste vs All Boys: match statistics

Ferro Carril Oeste have a clear home advantage: they win 58% of their home matches, while All Boys win only 8% of their away games and lose as many as 67%. The hosts average 1.25 goals scored at home with an xG of 1.65, whereas the visitors score just 0.50 goals away from home and fail to score in 58% of their matches. Ferro also create more chances, averaging 14.67 shots and 3.75 shots on target per game, compared with All Boys’ 9.33 shots and 2.75 on target. The hosts’ defence allows an average xG of 0.89, while the visitors concede an xG of 1.56 to their opponents and allow 1.50 goals per away match, further strengthening the case for a Ferro win. All Boys have conceded just 3 goals in their last five matches, but have scored only 2, making a controlled home victory the most likely outcome.

The scenario in which both teams fail to score is clearly supported by the low BTTS figures: Ferro Carril Oeste records BTTS in 38% of matches, while All Boys does so in just 33%, against a league average of 40%. The visitors score only 0.50 goals per match on average, have failed to score in 58% of their games, and have found the net just 2 times in their last five matches, averaging 0.40 goals. Ferro Carril Oeste keeps a clean sheet in 62% of home matches, while their season average of goals conceded stands at just 0.38, which significantly limits the chances of the All Boys attack. The hosts are not a particularly prolific side either, averaging 0.69 goals, although the visitors’ weak defence, conceding 1.50 goals per match, primarily increases the likelihood of a one-goal Ferro victory. Although the hosts’ last five matches produced BTTS in 60% of cases, All Boys’ low attacking efficiency and their 20% BTTS rate over this period suggest that at least one team will fail to score. This supports the BTTS - No / No Goal selection, meaning that at least one team does not score—not necessarily a 0:0 draw or a match in which neither team finds the net.

Ferro Carril Oeste scores an average of just 0.69 goals at home and concedes 0.38, clearly indicating defensively controlled matches. All Boys scores only 0.50 goals per away game, and in as many as 58% of those matches they fail to find the net. Over the course of the season, fewer than 3.5 goals were scored in 100% of Ferro’s matches and 83% of All Boys’ games, while the league averages just 1.93 goals per match. The hosts have greater chance-creation potential, with an average xG of 1.44 compared with the visitors’ 1.19; however, their low shot-conversion rates of 6% and 5%, respectively, limit the chances of an open, high-scoring game. Although Ferro conceded an average of 1.8 goals in their last five appearances, All Boys’ weak attack and the very strong season-long data point primarily towards Under 3.5 goals.

The first half should be very cautious: Ferro were level at the break in 85% of their matches, compared with 67% for All Boys, with averages of just 0.46 and 0.67 goals scored before half-time, respectively. The hosts concede only 0.38 goals per home game and kept a clean sheet in 62% of their outings, while All Boys score just 0.50 goals away from home. Ferro’s advantage after the interval is nevertheless clear, as they have not lost a single second half, whereas their opponents lost the second half in 57% of matches and conceded an average of 1.00 goal during it. Despite Ferro’s superior xG of 1.44 compared with All Boys’ 1.19, the hosts finished 69% of their matches level, making the draw/draw scenario the most likely HT/FT outcome.