Fiorentina vs Atalanta: match statistics
Fiorentina vs Atalanta: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fiorentina played Atalanta in Serie A (Italy). The match was played on 29 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Artemio Franchi. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Fiorentina: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Atalanta: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fiorentina scores 1.13 and concedes 2.38 goals per match. Atalanta scores 1.75 and concedes 1.88. League average: 3.15 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fiorentina 75%, Atalanta 75%. Over 2.5: Fiorentina 88%, Atalanta 75%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Fiorentina has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.56. Fiorentina: 15.4 shots per match, Atalanta: 14.4.
Match halves
Fiorentina: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.75. Atalanta: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Fiorentina: 61-75 (3 goals). Atalanta: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 3.15 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fiorentina hold a slight edge heading into this fixture, although they are yet to win at home, while Atalanta have lost all three of their away matches so far. The hosts create chances worth an average xG of 1.93 at home, while the visitors concede away opportunities worth 2.33 xG, giving Fiorentina a chance to get off the mark. Their finishing remains a concern, however: despite averaging 18.75 shots per match, they have scored just 0.75 goals per home game. Atalanta average 1 goal away from home, and both teams concede more than 2 goals per match in these conditions, so neither defence inspires much confidence. Fiorentina have scored 10 goals in their last five matches, compared with Atalanta's 8. Therefore, despite the clear risk of a draw or defeat, a home win is marginally more likely.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS landed in 75% of Fiorentina’s home matches and 67% of Atalanta’s away matches, both above the league average of 56%. Fiorentina score an average of 1.75 goals at home with an xG of 1.75, while Atalanta concede 2.33 goals per away match and have yet to keep a clean sheet on the road, making a home goal look likely. There is more uncertainty around the visitors: they score an average of 1.0 goal away from home and failed to score in 33% of those matches. Even so, Atalanta have averaged 1.6 goals across their last 5 matches, with an xG of 1.72, while Fiorentina have conceded 1.6 goals per match. The balance of evidence points towards both teams scoring, making BTTS - Yes the stronger pick, although Atalanta’s away scoring record limits confidence in the prediction.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Fiorentina average 1.75 goals and 6 shots on target per match at home, while Atalanta concede an average of 2.33 goals away, giving the hosts a clear chance to score. The visitors average 1.00 goal away from home, and Fiorentina have kept a clean sheet in only 25% of their home matches, so an Atalanta goal is also a realistic prospect. Fiorentina's last five matches have averaged 3.6 goals, compared with 3.4 in Atalanta's; at least three goals were scored in 80% and 60% of those matches, respectively. The strongest pick, however, is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 75% of Fiorentina's home matches and all of Atalanta's away matches, while the projected total of 3.15 goals offers a greater margin on this line than on Over 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Fiorentina led at the break in 2 of their 4 home matches, while Atalanta were trailing at half-time in 2 of their 3 away fixtures. The visitors have yet to score before half-time away from home, whereas the hosts have averaged 1.25 first-half goals. Fiorentina’s home record supports them holding on to their lead, with 3 wins from 4 matches, while Atalanta have lost all 3 away fixtures, conceding an average of 2.33 goals. The hosts also average 6 shots on target compared with the visitors’ 2.67, and their xG stands at 1.75 against the 2.33 xG Atalanta concede away from home. Over their last 5 matches, Fiorentina have averaged 1.2 goals after the break compared with Atalanta’s 0.4, making a Fiorentina lead at half-time and a full-time win the strongest HT/FT scenario (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fiorentina | Atalanta | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atalanta is 55% better for: goals scored per match.
1.13 goals / match - Fiorentina · 1.75 goals / match - Atalanta
Atalanta is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.38 goals / match - Fiorentina · 1.88 goals / match - Atalanta
Fiorentina scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Atalanta keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
Atalanta scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Fiorentina keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fiorentina
Over / Under - Atalanta
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atalanta is 138% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.63 pts / match - Fiorentina · 1.5 pts / match - Atalanta
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fiorentina - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atalanta - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fiorentina
Atalanta
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Fiorentina | Liga | Atalanta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.50 | 3.15 | ▲ 3.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 57% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 88% | 60% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 22% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 69% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 85% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Fiorentina 0 - 1 - 1 Atalanta. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fiorentina vs Atalanta?
The Serie A match finished Fiorentina 2:2 Atalanta. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Fiorentina and Atalanta?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 0, Atalanta won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Fiorentina vs Atalanta?
Fiorentina score 1.13 goals per game on average and Atalanta 1.75. The Serie A average is 3.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Fiorentina's matches and 75% of Atalanta's.
What form are Fiorentina and Atalanta in?
Over the last 5 games Fiorentina have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Atalanta 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fiorentina vs Atalanta?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Fiorentina vs Atalanta: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.