Firpo vs INCA-Aruba: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Firpo vs INCA-Aruba: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Firpo play INCA-Aruba in Salvadoran Primera División (El Salvador). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Sergio Torres Rivera.
Current form
Firpo: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. INCA-Aruba: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Firpo scores 1.86 and concedes 0.79 goals per match. INCA-Aruba scores 0.87 and concedes 1.80. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Firpo 43%, INCA-Aruba 60%. Over 2.5: Firpo 57%, INCA-Aruba 47%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Firpo has higher xG: 1.93 vs 1.31. Firpo: 12.7 shots per match, INCA-Aruba: 8.5.
Match halves
Firpo: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.93. INCA-Aruba: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Firpo: 76-90+ (8 goals). INCA-Aruba: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Salvadoran Primera División: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Firpo | INCA-Aruba | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 52% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Firpo is 38% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Firpo · 1.6 pts / match - INCA-Aruba
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Firpo is 114% better for: goals scored per match.
1.86 goals / match - Firpo · 0.87 goals / match - INCA-Aruba
Firpo is 128% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.79 goals / match - Firpo · 1.8 goals / match - INCA-Aruba
Firpo scores in 86% of matches (12 of 14 matches), while INCA-Aruba keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 matches).
INCA-Aruba scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Firpo keeps a clean sheet in 57% (8 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Firpo
Over / Under - INCA-Aruba
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Firpo is 155% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.86 pts / match - Firpo · 0.73 pts / match - INCA-Aruba
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Firpo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
INCA-Aruba - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Firpo
INCA-Aruba
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Salvadoran Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Firpo | Liga | INCA-Aruba | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.64 | 2.65 | • 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 55% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 51% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 57% | 28% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 67% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 76% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Firpo 0 - 1 - 0 INCA-Aruba. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
When do Firpo and INCA-Aruba play?
Firpo face INCA-Aruba on 18 October 2026 in Salvadoran Primera División at Estadio Sergio Torres Rivera. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Firpo vs INCA-Aruba?
Firpo score 1.86 goals per game on average and INCA-Aruba 0.87. The Salvadoran Primera División average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Firpo's matches and 60% of INCA-Aruba's.
What form are Firpo and INCA-Aruba in?
Over the last 5 games Firpo have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and INCA-Aruba 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Firpo vs INCA-Aruba?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.