Flamengo vs Fluminense: match statistics
Flamengo vs Fluminense: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Flamengo played Fluminense in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Flamengo: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Fluminense: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Flamengo scores 1.97 and concedes 0.86 goals per match. Fluminense scores 1.66 and concedes 1.24. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Flamengo 52%, Fluminense 72%. Over 2.5: Flamengo 62%, Fluminense 55%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Flamengo has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.70. Flamengo: 15.6 shots per match, Fluminense: 14.9.
Match halves
Flamengo: half-time lead 59%, second-half goals 1.10. Fluminense: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.03.
Goals by minute
Flamengo: 0-15 (12 goals). Fluminense: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Flamengo are the favourites: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, conceding just 3 goals, while Fluminense have recorded 3 wins and conceded 6. At home, Flamengo win 71% of their matches and score an average of 2 goals, whereas Fluminense win only 21% of their away matches and concede an average of 1.57 goals. Flamengo’s advantage is also reflected in the quality of their chances: their home xG is 1.97, compared with Fluminense’s away xG of 1.37. The hosts also average 5.86 shots on target at home, versus 4.57 for Fluminense away, and keep a clean sheet in 50% of these matches, compared with 7% for the visitors. Although Fluminense have scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches, Flamengo’s stronger defence and clear home advantage point to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS occurred in 71% of Flamengo matches and 79% of Fluminense matches, meaning both teams exceeded the league average of 59%. Flamengo score an average of 1.71 goals with an xG of 1.97, while Fluminense concede 1.57 goals on average against opponents with an xG of 1.73, strongly pointing to a home goal. The visitors score an average of 1.43 goals and have failed to score in only 14% of their matches, so they also have a genuine chance of finding the net. Some caution is warranted because of Flamengo’s defence: they conceded an average of just 0.6 goals across their last five matches, while Fluminense’s attack generated an xG of 0.93. Despite this caveat, the season-long BTTS frequency for both teams provides a stronger signal in favour of a scenario in which both teams score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Flamengo average 1.71 goals scored, while Fluminense concede 1.57; the hosts’ advantage is also reflected in their xG of 1.97 compared with the 1.73 xG conceded by the visitors. Fluminense average 1.43 goals scored, although Flamengo’s defense concedes just 1.00, so I expect the visitors to score around 1.05 goals. At least two goals were scored in 71% of Flamengo’s matches and in as many as 93% of Fluminense’s, providing the strongest support for Over 1.5 goals. The 2.5 line is less certain, as it was surpassed in 64% of Flamengo’s matches but only 43% of Fluminense’s. The forecast of 2.90 total goals points to scoring potential, but Over 1.5 has the clearer statistical edge.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Flamengo were level at the break in 43% of their matches, including three of their last five. In those five games, the home side averaged just 0.2 goals before half-time, so their advantage may emerge later. After the break, Flamengo averaged 1.4 goals in their last five matches, while Fluminense conceded an average of 1.07 goals in second halves across the season. The case for a home win at full-time is also supported by their 71% win rate compared with their opponents’ 21%, as well as a higher attacking xG of 1.97 versus 1.37. Therefore, a draw at half-time followed by a Flamengo win is the HT/FT scenario with the strongest statistical backing.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Flamengo | Fluminense | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Flamengo is 30% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Flamengo · 2 pts / match - Fluminense
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Flamengo is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
1.97 goals / match - Flamengo · 1.66 goals / match - Fluminense
Flamengo is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.86 goals / match - Flamengo · 1.24 goals / match - Fluminense
Flamengo scores in 93% of matches (27 of 29 matches), while Fluminense keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 matches).
Fluminense scores in 90% of matches (26 of 29 matches), while Flamengo keeps a clean sheet in 41% (12 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Flamengo
Over / Under - Fluminense
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Flamengo is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Flamengo · 1.52 pts / match - Fluminense
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Flamengo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 59% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Fluminense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Flamengo
Fluminense
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Flamengo | Liga | Fluminense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.83 | 2.66 | ▲ 2.90 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 60% | ▲ 72% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 52% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 23% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 75% | ▼ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 79% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Flamengo 2 - 0 - 1 Fluminense. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Flamengo vs Fluminense?
The Serie A match finished Flamengo 1:0 Fluminense. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Flamengo and Fluminense?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Flamengo won 2, Fluminense won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Flamengo vs Fluminense?
Flamengo score 1.97 goals per game on average and Fluminense 1.66. The Serie A average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Flamengo's matches and 72% of Fluminense's.
What form are Flamengo and Fluminense in?
Over the last 5 games Flamengo have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Fluminense 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Flamengo vs Fluminense?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Flamengo vs Fluminense: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.