Flint Town United vs Connah's Quay: match statistics
Flint Town United vs Connah's Quay: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Flint Town United played Connah's Quay in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match was played on 31 August 2026. Venue: Ground Cae-y-Castell. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Flint Town United: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Connah's Quay: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Flint Town United scores 1.00 and concedes 1.80 goals per match. Connah's Quay scores 3.00 and concedes 0.60. League average: 3.10 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Flint Town United 60%, Connah's Quay 40%. Over 2.5: Flint Town United 40%, Connah's Quay 80%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Connah's Quay has higher xG: 1.98 vs 1.20. Flint Town United: 9.6 shots per match, Connah's Quay: 16.4.
Match halves
Flint Town United: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.20. Connah's Quay: half-time lead 100%, second-half goals 1.20.
Goals by minute
Flint Town United: 0-15 (2 goals). Connah's Quay: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 3.10 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Connah's Quay sit 4th, while Flint Town United are 13th, and the season record clearly favors the visitors: 3 wins and 12 goals scored compared with 4 defeats for the hosts and only 4 goals scored. Away from home, Connah's Quay have won both of their matches so far, averaging 2.5 goals scored and conceding just 0.5, whereas Flint have lost both home fixtures, conceding an average of 2 goals. The visitors create more high-quality chances, as confirmed by an xG of 1.89 compared with the hosts' 1.27, while also limiting opponents to an xG of just 0.78 against Flint Town United's 1.53. The advantage is also evident in attacking intensity: Connah's Quay average 16 shots and 6.5 on target away from home, while Flint record 11 attempts and 3 on target. The hosts have failed to keep a clean sheet in any home match and have failed to score in 50% of those fixtures, making an away win the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS scenario is primarily supported by current form: in their last 5 matches, both teams recorded BTTS in 60% of games. Flint Town United averaged 1.2 goals scored during this period but conceded as many as 2.0, while Connah's Quay scored 2.8 goals per match. The hosts allowed opponents an xG of 1.58, while the visitors created an average of 1.93 xG, significantly increasing the likelihood of them scoring. Flint’s recent xG is lower at 1.26, but Connah's Quay concede an average of 1.2 goals and allow opponents 1.11 xG, giving the hosts a realistic chance of finding the net as well. Neither side has failed to score in any of their matches, although 50% clean sheets for both teams reduce confidence and keep the BTTS - Yes prediction at a moderate level.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The signal for at least two goals is strong, as both teams have gone over the 1.5-goal line in 100% of their league matches so far. In their last five games, Flint Town United matches produced an average of 3.2 goals, while Connah's Quay matches averaged 4.0 goals, with 60% and 80% respectively finishing Over 2.5 goals. Flint Town United conceded an average of 2.0 goals during this period, while Connah's Quay scored 2.8, clearly strengthening the prediction of an away goal. The quality of chances created also points towards an open game: Connah's Quay's average xG is 1.93, while Flint Town United allowed chances worth 1.58 xG. The Over 1.5 line offers the greatest edge, as it requires only two goals to be covered, while the data supports a forecast of around 3.15 total goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Connah's Quay are showing significantly better current form: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while Flint Town United have failed to win any and have lost 4 of their 5 games. Over this period, the visitors averaged 2.8 goals scored per match and conceded 1.2, whereas the hosts scored just 1.2 and conceded as many as 2.0. Before half-time, Connah's Quay were leading in 80% of their last five appearances and averaged 1.4 goals, compared with Flint's 60% lead rate and 1.0 goal. After the break, the hosts scored just 0.2 goals per match in their last five games, while the visitors averaged 1.4, reinforcing the scenario of Connah's Quay leading at the break and maintaining their victory through full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Flint Town United | Connah's Quay | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Connah's Quay is 1100% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Flint Town United · 2.4 pts / match - Connah's Quay
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Connah's Quay is 200% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Flint Town United · 3 goals / match - Connah's Quay
Connah's Quay is 200% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.8 goals / match - Flint Town United · 0.6 goals / match - Connah's Quay
Flint Town United scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Connah's Quay keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).
Connah's Quay scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Flint Town United keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Flint Town United
Over / Under - Connah's Quay
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Connah's Quay is 114% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - Flint Town United · 3 pts / match - Connah's Quay
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Flint Town United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Connah's Quay - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 100% of matches and wins 80%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +8 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Flint Town United
Connah's Quay
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Flint Town United | Liga | Connah's Quay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.80 | 3.10 | ▲ 3.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 45% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 57% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 29% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal before half-time | • 80% | 80% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 80% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Flint Town United 0 - 0 - 2 Connah's Quay. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Flint Town United vs Connah's Quay?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Flint Town United 1:2 Connah's Quay. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Flint Town United and Connah's Quay?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Flint Town United won 0, Connah's Quay won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Flint Town United vs Connah's Quay?
Flint Town United score 1.00 goals per game on average and Connah's Quay 3.00. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Flint Town United's matches and 40% of Connah's Quay's.
What form are Flint Town United and Connah's Quay in?
Over the last 5 games Flint Town United have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Connah's Quay 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Flint Town United vs Connah's Quay?
The statistical background for Flint Town United vs Connah's Quay — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.